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Upturn AI Summary - About
Helmerich and Payne Inc(HP)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for HP
10/23/2026: HP (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Helmerich and Payne is a major land drilling contractor known for its advanced, high-performance 'FlexRig' fleet and a strong, conservative balance sheet. The company has a leading position in the U.S. shale market and is currently executing a strategy to expand its international presence through acquisitions. Its primary investment story centers on its high-spec rig technology and growing digital services segment. Investors should monitor risks related to the cyclical nature of energy commodity prices and the successful execution of international expansion. The stock may be most suitable for value-oriented or dividend-focused investors looking for exposure to the energy services sector through a financially disciplined operator.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is highly dependent on cyclical energy market conditions rather than consistent secular expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock tends to perform well during sustained upturns in oil prices and rig count increases. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company is often priced based on book value and asset strength, providing potential value opportunities during market dips. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Helmerich and Payne has a long track record of consistent dividend payments and financial stability. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company's earnings are highly sensitive to energy price volatility and cyclical industry downturns. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The business model is directly tied to the highly volatile global oil and gas commodity markets. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market valuations for oil service companies often swing widely based on sentiment and cyclical expectations. |
| Competition risk (drilling services) | Medium | Maintaining price premiums requires constant technological differentiation against competitors like NBR and PTEN. |
| Business quality | Strong | H&P is recognized for having a high-quality, specialized rig fleet and a strong, disciplined management team. |
| Dividend income | Low | While consistent, dividends are subject to the financial health of the cyclical energy industry. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully integrating large acquisitions like KCA Deutag is critical for future performance. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 42.76% | Avg. Invested days 61 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.89B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 45.44 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 45.44 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.1M shares | Beta 0.69 | 52 Weeks Range 23.91 - 48.17 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 23.91 - 48.17 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.69% | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.46 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| North America Drilling | Day-rate contracts for super-spec land drilling rigs in U.S. shale regions. | This is the primary revenue driver, tied directly to the activity levels of North American oil and gas producers. |
| International Drilling | Long-term contracts for land drilling operations in global markets. | Provides geographic diversification and long-term, stable cash flow streams compared to the domestic market. |
| Technology Services | Digital software and automated drilling services. | A high-margin, growth-oriented segment that differentiates H&P from traditional commodity-based drillers. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 35.84 | Enterprise Value 5.61B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.97 |
Enterprise Value 5.61B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.97 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.4 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.06 | Shares Outstanding 99.94M | Shares Floating 96.10M |
Shares Outstanding 99.94M | Shares Floating 96.10M | ||
Percent Insiders 3.82 | Percent Institutions 103.99 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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