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Upturn AI Summary - About
Hormel Foods Corporation(HRL)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for HRL
11/06/2026: HRL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Hormel Foods Corporation is a well-established manufacturer of branded food products, including staples like SPAM and SKIPPY. The company benefits from a diversified portfolio, strong retail and foodservice distribution, and a notable history of reliable dividend payments, making it a staple for income-oriented investors. Its primary growth strategy involves moving into high-potential snacking categories and natural, organic segments. However, the company faces risks from fluctuating commodity prices, intense competition, and shifting consumer dietary habits. Investors should monitor the successful integration of its recent snack acquisitions and the execution of its 'GoFWD' strategic transformation for signs of improved operational efficiency and long-term margin growth.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | While Hormel focuses on growth through acquisitions and innovation, it is fundamentally a mature company with steady rather than explosive growth. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock typically exhibits low beta and steady movement, making it less attractive for those seeking rapid, trend-based price appreciation. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation is often premium due to brand strength and dividend history, requiring careful entry points for traditional value-seekers. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Hormel's status as a Dividend King with a long record of annual increases makes it a staple for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | The company's essential business model and history of reliable performance offer stability during market volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Low | The stock is generally less volatile than the broader market, though commodity price swings can create short-term fluctuations. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The stock often trades at a premium valuation relative to peers due to its high-quality brand portfolio and dividend consistency. |
| Competition risk (packaged foods) | Medium / high | Intense competition from both national brands and private labels puts pressure on pricing power and margins. |
| Business quality | Strong | Hormel maintains high-quality brand franchises that have stood the test of time, providing a competitive moat. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | The risk to the dividend is minimal given the company's strong cash flow and multi-decade track record of growth. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully integrating large acquisitions like Planters and executing the 'GoFWD' strategy are critical for long-term margin improvement. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -37% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/06/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 12.08B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 35.4 | 1Y Target Price 25.31 |
Price to earnings Ratio 35.4 | 1Y Target Price 25.31 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5.6M shares | Beta 0.26 | 52 Weeks Range 18.77 - 26.03 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 18.77 - 26.03 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.17% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.62 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | SPAM, SKIPPY, Applegate, and other shelf-stable and refrigerated products sold through retail channels. | This is the primary revenue engine, relying on consumer brand loyalty in grocery stores. |
| Foodservice | Prepared proteins and appetizers sold to restaurants and institutions. | A key growth driver linked to dining trends and out-of-home eating habits. |
| International | Export business and regional operations in markets like China and the Philippines. | Provides exposure to global middle-class growth and diverse regional consumer markets. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 35.4 | Forward PE 14.16 | Enterprise Value 14.07B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.99 |
Enterprise Value 14.07B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.99 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.16 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.12 | Shares Outstanding 550.35M | Shares Floating 290.74M |
Shares Outstanding 550.35M | Shares Floating 290.74M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.48 | Percent Institutions 91.68 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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