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Upturn AI Summary - About
Intrepid Potash Inc(IPI)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for IPI
11/10/2026: IPI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Intrepid Potash is a niche producer of potash and the specialty fertilizer langbeinite, serving both agricultural and oilfield sectors. Its primary strengths are its unique domestic production of specialty nutrients and its diversified oilfield water service business, which helps buffer against the cyclical nature of potash markets. The company's growth opportunity lies in further scaling its water management services and focusing on premium fertilizer segments. However, investors must consider risks including high commodity price volatility, significant competition from lower-cost global players, and ongoing execution challenges in mining. The stock may best suit investors comfortable with commodity cycles and should be monitored for energy sector and global crop trends.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company operates in a mature, cyclical commodity industry with limited explosive growth potential. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock can exhibit significant price movement driven by sudden shifts in global fertilizer commodity prices. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation often tracks the cyclical trough of commodity prices, which can present opportunities, but requires careful timing. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not provide a consistent, reliable dividend income stream. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High sensitivity to commodity price cycles and operational risks makes this stock inherently volatile. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Revenues are directly tied to the highly cyclical and volatile global fertilizer and commodity markets. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | The stock price often trades at premiums or discounts based on cyclical commodity expectations. |
| Competition risk (Commodity producers) | High | The company competes against much larger global entities with significantly lower production costs. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the specialty Trio product is unique, the core potash business faces stiff global headwinds. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors should not rely on this company for income generation. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Operational success depends on efficient mining extraction and water service contract management. |
Price Behavior

Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -39.3% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals 
Financial Health Rating 
Growth Momentum Score 
Ownership 
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue) 
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile 
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 444.50M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 41.58 | 1Y Target Price 34.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio 41.58 | 1Y Target Price 34.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 194.4K shares | Beta 1.04 | 52 Weeks Range 24.12 - 50.34 | Updated Date 11/10/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 24.12 - 50.34 | Updated Date 11/10/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.8 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Agriculture (Potash & Trio) | Potassium-based fertilizers for global crop production. | The company makes money when farmers buy fertilizers, which is tied to global food demand. |
| Oilfield Water Solutions | Water sourcing, transport, and disposal for energy companies. | The company benefits from increased drilling activity in the Permian Basin requiring water management. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-03 | When After Market | Estimate 0.13 | Actual 0.14 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 10.08% | Operating Margin (TTM) 1.29% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.01% | Return on Equity (TTM) 3.3% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 41.58 | Forward PE 41.15 | Enterprise Value 281.12M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.84 |
Enterprise Value 281.12M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.84 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.93 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.89 | Shares Outstanding 13.36M | Shares Floating 10.53M |
Shares Outstanding 13.36M | Shares Floating 10.53M | ||
Percent Insiders 19.13 | Percent Institutions 63.48 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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