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CarMax Inc (KMX)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$67.21
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/30/2025: KMX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

19 Analysts rated it

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Year Target Price $85.07

Year Target Price $85.07

Analyst’s Price TargetsFor last 52 week
$85.07Target price
Low$61.34
Current$67.21
high$91.25

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -19.41%
Avg. Invested days 31
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/30/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 10.09B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 18.57
1Y Target Price 85.07
Price to earnings Ratio 18.57
1Y Target Price 85.07
Volume (30-day avg) 19
Beta 1.38
52 Weeks Range 61.34 - 91.25
Updated Date 06/30/2025
52 Weeks Range 61.34 - 91.25
Updated Date 06/30/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.62

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-06-19
When Before Market
Estimate 1.1666
Actual 1.38

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.95%
Operating Margin (TTM) 3.86%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.97%
Return on Equity (TTM) 8.97%

Valuation

Trailing PE 18.57
Forward PE 17.7
Enterprise Value 29108678335
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.35
Enterprise Value 29108678335
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.35
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.09
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.06
Shares Outstanding 150072000
Shares Floating 149317289
Shares Outstanding 150072000
Shares Floating 149317289
Percent Insiders 0.38
Percent Institutions 110.15

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4
Target Price 85.07
Buy 4
Strong Buy 8
Buy 4
Strong Buy 8
Hold 4
Sell 3
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

CarMax Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

CarMax was founded in 1993 as a division of Circuit City Stores, Inc. Its first store opened in Richmond, Virginia, in September 1993. CarMax was spun off as a separate publicly traded company in 2002. The company pioneered the concept of a no-haggle, transparent car-buying experience.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Retail Sales: Selling used vehicles directly to consumers through a network of retail locations and online platform. This is the core business, driving the majority of revenue.
  • Wholesale Sales: Auctioning vehicles that do not meet CarMax's retail standards to licensed dealers. This provides an outlet for inventory and contributes to profitability.
  • Auto Finance: Providing financing options to customers purchasing vehicles, generating interest income and facilitating sales. CarMax Auto Finance (CAF) is a significant contributor.
  • Service Operations: Offering vehicle repair and maintenance services at retail locations, providing an additional revenue stream and customer service point.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Bill Nash serves as President and CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with various departments like sales, finance, marketing, technology, and operations, overseen by executive leadership and a board of directors.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Used Vehicles: CarMax's primary product is used vehicles of various makes and models. As of 2023, CarMax holds approximately 4% of the used car market share in the United States. Competitors include AutoNation, Penske Automotive Group, Lithia Motors, and online platforms like Carvana and Vroom.
  • Auto Financing: CarMax Auto Finance (CAF) provides financing options for customers purchasing vehicles. The market share is not directly quantifiable, as it depends on the overall auto loan market. Competitors include banks, credit unions, and captive finance companies of other auto manufacturers.
  • Extended Warranties: CarMax offers extended warranties, also known as service contracts, providing coverage for repairs beyond the manufacturer's warranty. Revenue from this is bundled within the total revenue numbers. Competitors include third-party warranty providers.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The used car market is large and fragmented, with numerous independent dealers, franchised dealers, and online platforms. Demand is influenced by economic conditions, consumer confidence, and vehicle affordability. The shift to online car buying is increasing competitive pressure.

Positioning

CarMax positions itself as a trusted and transparent used car retailer, offering a no-haggle pricing model and a wide selection of vehicles. Its large network of stores and online platform provide convenience and accessibility. The company's competitive advantages include its brand reputation, scale, and integrated business model.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The used car market TAM in the US is estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars annually. CarMax is positioned to capture a larger share through its online and retail presence, aiming to increase market penetration.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong Brand Reputation
  • Large Network of Stores
  • No-Haggle Pricing
  • Integrated Business Model (Retail, Wholesale, Finance)
  • Online Platform
  • Extensive Inventory

Weaknesses

  • Relatively Low Market Share
  • Inventory Management Challenges
  • Capital Intensive
  • Reliance on Consumer Spending

Opportunities

  • Expansion of Online Sales
  • Growth in Used Car Market
  • Increased Financing Penetration
  • Strategic Acquisitions
  • Expansion into New Markets

Threats

  • Economic Downturn
  • Increased Competition from Online Retailers
  • Changes in Consumer Preferences
  • Fluctuations in Used Car Values
  • Rising Interest Rates

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • AN
  • GPK
  • LAD
  • CVNA

Competitive Landscape

CarMax faces increasing competition from online retailers like Carvana and Vroom, as well as traditional auto retailers like AutoNation and Penske Automotive Group. CarMax's competitive advantages include its brand reputation, scale, and integrated business model.

Major Acquisitions

Edmunds

  • Year: 2021
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 404
  • Strategic Rationale: Increase customer engagement and personalization across omni-channel platform. CarMax completed its acquisition of the remaining outstanding shares of Edmunds.com, Inc.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: CarMax experienced significant growth in its early years, driven by expansion of its store network and the adoption of its no-haggle pricing model. Growth has slowed in recent years due to market saturation and increased competition.

Future Projections: Analysts project moderate revenue growth for CarMax in the coming years, driven by expansion of its online platform and increased financing penetration. Profit margins are expected to remain under pressure due to competition.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding the online car buying platform, enhancing the customer experience, and investing in technology to improve operational efficiency.

Summary

CarMax is a leading used car retailer with a strong brand and integrated business model, but faces increasing competition and economic headwinds. Its online platform offers growth potential, but margins are pressured. CarMax needs to effectively manage its inventory, enhance customer experience, and adapt to changing consumer preferences to maintain its competitive position and improve market share. Expansion of the online platform could improve the business but rising interest rates present a headwind.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Company Investor Relations Materials
  • Third-party Market Research Reports
  • Financial News Articles

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual research and consultation with a financial advisor. Financial data is based on estimates and projections and may not be accurate. Market conditions are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About CarMax Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Richmond, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 1997-02-04
President, CEO & Director Mr. William D. Nash C.P.A.
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships
Full time employees 30000
Full time employees 30000

CarMax, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer of used vehicles and related products in the United States. The company operates in two segments: CarMax Sales Operations and CarMax Auto Finance. The CarMax Sales Operations segment offers customers a range of makes and models of used vehicles, including domestic, imported, and luxury vehicles, as well as hybrid and electric vehicles; used vehicle auctions; extended protection plans to customers at the time of sale; and reconditioning and vehicle repair services. The CarMax Auto Finance segment provides financing alternatives for retail customers across a range of credit spectrum and arrangements with various financial institutions. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Richmond, Virginia.