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KMX logo KMX
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
KMX logo

CarMax Inc (KMX)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$71.32
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Upturn Advisory Summary

03/21/2025: KMX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -38.23%
Avg. Invested days 25
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 03/21/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 9.93B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 20.26
1Y Target Price 83.88
Price to earnings Ratio 20.26
1Y Target Price 83.88
Volume (30-day avg) 1930819
Beta 1.59
52 Weeks Range 61.67 - 91.25
Updated Date 04/25/2025
52 Weeks Range 61.67 - 91.25
Updated Date 04/25/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.21

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-04-09
When Before Market
Estimate 0.6616
Actual 0.58

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.78%
Operating Margin (TTM) 2.34%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.81%
Return on Equity (TTM) 8.13%

Valuation

Trailing PE 20.26
Forward PE 17.24
Enterprise Value 28904072151
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.35
Enterprise Value 28904072151
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.35
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.1
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.75
Shares Outstanding 152684000
Shares Floating 151849042
Shares Outstanding 152684000
Shares Floating 151849042
Percent Insiders 0.39
Percent Institutions 111.6

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.63
Target Price 89.33
Buy 5
Strong Buy 5
Buy 5
Strong Buy 5
Hold 6
Sell 3
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

CarMax Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

CarMax was founded in 1993 as a division of Circuit City Stores and later spun off as a separate public company in 2002. It pioneered the no-haggle pricing and large selection model for used car sales.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Retail Used Vehicle Sales: This segment focuses on selling used vehicles directly to consumers through CarMax's retail locations and online platform.
  • Wholesale Vehicle Sales: This segment sells vehicles acquired through trade-ins or purchased directly from consumers at auction.
  • Auto Finance: CarMax Auto Finance (CAF) provides financing options to customers purchasing vehicles from CarMax.
  • Service Operations: This includes repair services for the used cars it sells.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Bill Nash is the President and CEO of CarMax. The company has a traditional corporate structure with a board of directors and executive leadership team overseeing various departments and functions.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Used Vehicle Sales: CarMax offers a wide selection of used vehicles with no-haggle pricing. It holds approximately 4% of the used car market share in the US. Competitors include AutoNation, Group 1 Automotive, and online platforms like Carvana and Vroom.
  • Auto Financing: CarMax Auto Finance (CAF) provides financing options for customers purchasing vehicles. Market share data for CAF specifically is not publicly available. Competitors include banks, credit unions, and other auto finance companies.
  • Extended Service Plans (ESPs): CarMax offers extended service plans for vehicle repair coverage. Revenue contribution for ESPs is significant but not broken out individually. Competitors include third-party warranty providers.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The used car market is large and fragmented. Factors such as new car affordability, consumer confidence, and economic conditions influence the market. There is increasing adoption of online sales models.

Positioning

CarMax is positioned as a leader in the used car market, known for its no-haggle pricing, large selection, and customer-friendly experience. It aims to provide a transparent and trustworthy car-buying process.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The US used car market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars annually. CarMax has a single-digit market share. CarMax has room to grow by expanding its market presence and enhancing its online offerings.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Large inventory and selection
  • No-haggle pricing
  • Integrated auto finance arm
  • National footprint

Weaknesses

  • Relatively higher prices compared to some competitors
  • Dependence on used car availability
  • Capital intensive business model
  • Profit margins susceptible to pricing fluctuation

Opportunities

  • Expansion of online sales platform
  • Growth in the used car market
  • Increased demand for electric vehicles and hybrid vehicles in used car segment
  • Partnerships with other automotive companies

Threats

  • Economic downturns affecting consumer spending
  • Increased competition from online retailers
  • Changes in consumer preferences
  • Supply chain disruptions impacting vehicle availability

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • AN
  • GPI
  • CVNA

Competitive Landscape

CarMax benefits from a strong brand and integrated financing. However, online retailers like Carvana offer a more convenient shopping experience. Traditional dealerships have established customer relationships.

Major Acquisitions

Edmunds.com

  • Year: 2021
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 406
  • Strategic Rationale: To enhance its online car buying and selling experience.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: CarMax has experienced consistent revenue growth over the past decade, driven by store expansion and increased used car sales. Growth has slowed recently due to economic factors.

Future Projections: Analyst projections for CarMax's future growth vary depending on market conditions. Expansion of online sales and focus on value for consumers should help.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its online platform, enhancing its customer experience, and increasing its inventory sourcing capabilities.

Summary

CarMax is a well-established player in the used car market with a strong brand and customer-focused approach. While its online presence is growing, it faces increasing competition from pure-play online retailers. The company's integrated financing arm is a key strength, but overall profit margins are susceptible to fluctuations in used car prices and economic conditions. Its no haggle policy can be seen as both a benefit and sometimes as costing the consumer more than is available from other dealers.

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GPIratingrating

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), Company website, Press releases, Analyst reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data is subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About CarMax Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Richmond, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 1997-02-04
President, CEO & Director Mr. William D. Nash CPA
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships
Full time employees 30048
Full time employees 30048

CarMax, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer of used vehicles and related products in the United States. The company operates in two segments: CarMax Sales Operations and CarMax Auto Finance. The CarMax Sales Operations segment offers customers a range of makes and models of used vehicles, including domestic, imported, and luxury vehicles, as well as hybrid and electric vehicles; used vehicle auctions; extended protection plans to customers at the time of sale; and reconditioning and vehicle repair services. The CarMax Auto Finance segment provides financing alternatives for retail customers across a range of credit spectrum and arrangements with various financial institutions. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Richmond, Virginia.

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