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Carvana Co (CVNA)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/26/2025: CVNA (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 18 days. Simulated Profits (14.73%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $446.43
1 Year Target Price $446.43
| 6 | Strong Buy |
| 6 | Buy |
| 10 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 410.67% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 95.06B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 100.11 | 1Y Target Price 446.43 |
Price to earnings Ratio 100.11 | 1Y Target Price 446.43 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 23 | Beta 3.52 | 52 Weeks Range 148.25 - 485.33 | Updated Date 12/27/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 148.25 - 485.33 | Updated Date 12/27/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.38 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.44% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.79% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 12.46% | Return on Equity (TTM) 68.15% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 100.11 | Forward PE 64.94 | Enterprise Value 64986827434 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.2 |
Enterprise Value 64986827434 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.2 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.56 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 33.62 | Shares Outstanding 116947000 | Shares Floating 138822420 |
Shares Outstanding 116947000 | Shares Floating 138822420 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.16 | Percent Institutions 98.48 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Carvana Co

Company Overview
History and Background
Carvana Co. was founded in 2012 by Ernie Garcia. It rapidly grew as an online used car retailer, disrupting the traditional car buying experience. Key milestones include its IPO in 2017 and its aggressive expansion into new markets and acquisition of ADESA in 2022, significantly increasing its physical footprint and auction capabilities.
Core Business Areas
- Online Used Car Retail: Carvana's primary business involves selling used cars directly to consumers online. Customers can browse, finance, purchase, and arrange delivery of vehicles through its e-commerce platform. This includes a 7-day money-back guarantee and home delivery services.
- Carvana's Vehicle Acquisition and Remarketing (AVR): This segment includes Carvana's acquisition of used vehicles, primarily through its online platform and physical locations, and its remarketing of vehicles, particularly through its acquisition of ADESA, a leading auto auction company.
- Financing and Warranties: Carvana offers in-house financing options to customers and sells vehicle service contracts (warranties) to enhance its revenue streams and customer experience.
Leadership and Structure
Carvana's leadership is headed by its founder and CEO, Ernie Garcia. The company operates with a decentralized structure focused on technology and customer experience. Its organizational structure is geared towards supporting its online retail model and growing logistics network.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Used Vehicle Sales: Carvana sells a wide selection of used cars online. While specific revenue figures per product are not detailed, it represents the bulk of its revenue. Competitors include traditional dealerships, other online retailers like Vroom (VRRM), and classified platforms like Craigslist and Facebook Marketplace.
- CarvanaCare Vehicle Service Contracts: Extended warranties offered on vehicles sold. This is a significant ancillary revenue stream. Competitors include third-party warranty providers and dealer-offered plans.
- Financing Services: Carvana offers auto loans to its customers. Revenue is generated from interest income and fees. Competitors include traditional banks, credit unions, and other auto financing companies.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The used car market is a massive and historically fragmented industry. The shift towards online purchasing has accelerated, driven by convenience and transparency. The industry faces challenges related to vehicle sourcing, reconditioning, and logistics, as well as economic sensitivity to consumer spending.
Positioning
Carvana has positioned itself as a disruptive innovator in the used car market, offering a unique online buying experience. Its competitive advantages include its brand recognition, proprietary technology, significant investment in logistics and reconditioning infrastructure, and the acquisition of ADESA, which strengthens its wholesale operations.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The US used car market is valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Carvana aims to capture a significant share of this market by offering a superior online purchasing experience. However, it currently represents a small fraction of the overall TAM, indicating substantial room for growth.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
- Proprietary technology platform enhancing customer experience.
- Significant investment in logistics and reconditioning infrastructure.
- Acquisition of ADESA enhances vehicle sourcing and remarketing capabilities.
Weaknesses
- Historically high operational costs and negative profitability.
- Dependence on a large volume of used car inventory.
- Challenges in managing a complex logistics network.
- Significant debt load.
Opportunities
- Continued growth in online car purchasing trends.
- Expansion into new geographic markets.
- Leveraging ADESA's wholesale network for inventory sourcing and sales.
- Development of new ancillary services and revenue streams.
Threats
- Intensifying competition from traditional dealerships and online players.
- Economic downturns impacting consumer spending on vehicles.
- Fluctuations in used car inventory prices and availability.
- Regulatory changes affecting the auto industry.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Vroom Inc. (VRM)
- Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD)
- AutoNation, Inc. (AN)
- Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI)
Competitive Landscape
Carvana's primary advantage lies in its direct-to-consumer online model and brand. However, traditional dealerships (LAD, AN, GPI) have established physical presences, service centers, and deep customer relationships. Vroom (VRM) is its most direct online competitor, though Carvana has generally outpaced it in scale and brand recognition. Carvana's acquisition of ADESA also positions it more strongly in the wholesale market, a segment less directly competed by pure online retailers.
Major Acquisitions
ADESA
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2200
- Strategic Rationale: To significantly expand its physical footprint, enhance vehicle sourcing capabilities through a leading auction platform, and create a more integrated online and offline automotive ecosystem.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Carvana has demonstrated impressive historical growth in terms of revenue and unit sales, establishing itself as a major player in the online used car market. Its expansion into new markets and its innovative business model have been key drivers.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Carvana are mixed. While revenue growth is generally expected to continue, the timeline to sustained profitability remains a key focus for investors. Projections often hinge on the company's ability to efficiently integrate ADESA and improve its operational leverage.
Recent Initiatives: Key recent initiatives include the transformative acquisition of ADESA, which provides significant opportunities in wholesale remarketing and physical infrastructure. Carvana is also focused on optimizing its logistics network and improving its cost structure.
Summary
Carvana has built a strong brand in the online used car market, driven by innovation and customer convenience. Its revenue growth has been impressive, but profitability remains a significant challenge. The acquisition of ADESA offers substantial strategic benefits but also adds complexity and financial burden. Carvana needs to demonstrate a clear path to sustainable profitability and effective integration of its new wholesale operations to solidify its long-term success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Carvana Co. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Carvana Co
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Tempe, AZ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-04-28 | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Ernest C. Garcia III | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships | Full time employees 17400 | Website https://www.carvana.com |
Full time employees 17400 | Website https://www.carvana.com | ||
Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States. The company offers vehicle acquisition, inspection and reconditioning, online search and shopping experience, financing, complementary products, logistics network and distinctive fulfillment experience, and post-sale customer support services. It also operates auction sites. Carvana Co. was founded in 2012 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.

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