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Carvana Co (CVNA)




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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: CVNA (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Year Target Price $301.12
Year Target Price $301.12
6 | Strong Buy |
6 | Buy |
10 | Hold |
0 | Under performing |
1 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 397.8% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 37.34B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 111.24 | 1Y Target Price 301.12 |
Price to earnings Ratio 111.24 | 1Y Target Price 301.12 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 23 | Beta 3.65 | 52 Weeks Range 118.50 - 351.43 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 118.50 - 351.43 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.87 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.68% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.31% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.84% | Return on Equity (TTM) 99.59% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 111.24 | Forward PE 116.28 | Enterprise Value 46817581858 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.52 |
Enterprise Value 46817581858 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.52 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.15 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 28.55 | Shares Outstanding 116947000 | Shares Floating 131523628 |
Shares Outstanding 116947000 | Shares Floating 131523628 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.68 | Percent Institutions 92.16 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 301.12 | Buy 6 | Strong Buy 6 |
Buy 6 | Strong Buy 6 | ||
Hold 10 | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 | |
Strong Sell 1 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Carvana Co

Company Overview
History and Background
Carvana Co. was founded in 2012 as a subsidiary of DriveTime Automotive Group and spun off as a separate entity in 2017. It pioneered the online car buying experience, including virtual tours, financing, and delivery.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Sales: Online platform for buying, selling, and financing used cars, offering a wide selection of vehicles and a convenient, transparent process.
- Wholesale Sales: Selling vehicles acquired through trade-ins or auctions to other dealerships and wholesalers.
- Finance: Providing financing options to customers purchasing vehicles through Carvana's platform.
- Other: Includes extended warranties, service contracts, and other ancillary products.
Leadership and Structure
Ernest Garcia III is the CEO. The organizational structure consists of functional departments such as operations, technology, finance, and marketing, with regional teams managing logistics and customer service.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Used Vehicle Sales: Carvana's primary offering is the sale of used vehicles through its online platform. They offer a wide selection of makes and models. Market share is approximately 1.4% of the total used car market. Competitors include CarMax (KMX), AutoNation (AN), Vroom (VRM), and local dealerships.
- Vehicle Financing: Carvana provides financing options to customers, simplifying the purchase process. Specific market share data for financing is unavailable, but it represents a significant portion of Carvana's revenue. Competitors include traditional banks, credit unions, and other auto lenders.
- CarvanaCare Extended Warranty: This allows users to get extended car warranty at the point of purchase.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The used car market is large and fragmented, with increasing online penetration. Digital retailing is gaining popularity due to convenience and transparency.
Positioning
Carvana positions itself as a disruptive innovator in the used car market, offering a fully online, hassle-free experience. Its competitive advantages include a wide selection, transparent pricing, and convenient delivery.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The U.S. used car market is estimated at over $800 billion annually. Carvana is positioned to capture a larger share of this market through its online platform and expanding infrastructure.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Online platform
- Transparent pricing
- Convenient delivery
- Wide selection of vehicles
- National brand recognition
Weaknesses
- High operating expenses
- Logistics challenges
- Customer service issues
- History of unprofitability
- Debt load
Opportunities
- Increasing online penetration in used car market
- Expansion into new markets
- Partnerships with other automotive companies
- Growth in ancillary products and services
- Increasing efficiency in logistics
Threats
- Intense competition
- Economic downturn impacting car sales
- Changes in consumer preferences
- Rising interest rates impacting financing
- Supply chain disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- KMX
- AN
- VRM
- GO
Competitive Landscape
Carvana faces intense competition from established players like CarMax and AutoNation, as well as other online retailers like Vroom. Carvana's advantages include its online platform and transparent pricing, while its disadvantages include its high operating expenses and unproven profitability.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Carvana has experienced rapid revenue growth since its inception, driven by increasing online adoption and expansion into new markets.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are dependent on market conditions and the company's ability to achieve profitability. Analysts' estimates vary widely.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include cost-cutting measures, improving operational efficiency, and expanding service offerings.
Summary
Carvana is a disruptive force in the used car market, offering a convenient online buying experience. Its revenue growth has been impressive, but profitability remains a significant challenge. High debt levels and competition pose risks. The company must focus on efficiency and cost control to achieve sustainable success.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC filings
- Company presentations
- Industry reports
- Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Carvana Co
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Tempe, AZ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-04-28 | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Ernest C. Garcia III | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships | Full time employees 17400 | Website https://www.carvana.com |
Full time employees 17400 | Website https://www.carvana.com |
Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States. The company offers vehicle acquisition, inspection and reconditioning, online search and shopping experience, financing, complementary products, logistics network and distinctive fulfillment experience, and post-sale customer support services. It also operates auction sites. Carvana Co. was founded in 2012 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
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