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CVNA 
Carvana Co (CVNA)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/05/2025: CVNA (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Outstanding Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, have historically outperformed the market, making them a top-tier choice for investors.
Number of Analysts
23 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $421.15
1 Year Target Price $421.15
| 6 | Strong Buy |
| 6 | Buy |
| 10 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 345.12% | Avg. Invested days 35 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/05/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 36.23B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 70.41 | 1Y Target Price 421.15 |
Price to earnings Ratio 70.41 | 1Y Target Price 421.15 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 23 | Beta 3.54 | 52 Weeks Range 148.25 - 413.33 | Updated Date 11/5/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 148.25 - 413.33 | Updated Date 11/5/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.4 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-10-29 | When After Market | Estimate 1.32 | Actual 1.03 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.44% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.79% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 12.46% | Return on Equity (TTM) 68.15% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 70.41 | Forward PE 60.61 | Enterprise Value 58288936706 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.98 |
Enterprise Value 58288936706 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.98 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.58 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 31.32 | Shares Outstanding 116947000 | Shares Floating 138719182 |
Shares Outstanding 116947000 | Shares Floating 138719182 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.21 | Percent Institutions 94.23 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Carvana Co
Company Overview
History and Background
Carvana Co. was founded in 2012 as a subsidiary of DriveTime Automotive Group. It launched its first car vending machine in 2013. Carvana focuses on online car buying and selling.
Core Business Areas
- Online Car Sales: Carvana's primary business is the online retail of used cars. They offer a wide selection of vehicles with detailed information and 360-degree views. Customers can purchase, finance, and schedule delivery or pickup entirely online.
- Vehicle Financing: Carvana provides financing options to its customers, streamlining the car buying process. This includes direct financing as well as facilitating third-party financing.
- Trade-Ins: Carvana accepts trade-ins of existing vehicles, offering a convenient way for customers to offset the cost of their new purchase.
- Wholesale: Carvana sells vehicles that don't meet retail standards through wholesale channels.
Leadership and Structure
Ernest Garcia, III is the CEO. The company has a hierarchical structure with various departments focusing on technology, operations, finance, and marketing.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Competitors: CarMax (KMX),AutoNation (AN),Vroom (VRM),Traditional Dealerships
- Used Car Sales: Carvana's main product is the sale of used cars online. Market share is significant but volatile, estimated to be around 2% - 3% of the US used car market. Competitors include CarMax (KMX), AutoNation (AN), and Vroom (VRM), as well as traditional dealerships.
- Competitors: Banks,Credit Unions,Ally Financial (ALLY)
- Financing Solutions: Carvana provides finance options directly to its customers when buying their cars. They are a direct competitor to banks and other traditional financing solutions.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The used car market is large and fragmented, with increasing competition from online retailers. Trends include a growing preference for online shopping and a demand for transparent pricing.
Positioning
Carvana aims to disrupt the traditional used car market with its online-only model, transparent pricing, and convenient delivery options. It differentiates itself through automation and customer experience.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The US used car market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Carvana is positioned to capture a larger share of this market by expanding its reach and improving its service offerings.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Online-only model
- Transparent pricing
- Customer convenience
- National reach
- Automated processes
Weaknesses
- High operational costs
- Inventory management challenges
- Dependence on financing
- Profitability issues
- Negative publicity
Opportunities
- Expanding market share
- Increasing brand awareness
- Partnerships with other companies
- Technological advancements
- Growth in online car buying
Threats
- Competition from other online retailers
- Economic downturn
- Changes in consumer preferences
- Regulatory changes
- Supply chain disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- CarMax (KMX)
- AutoNation (AN)
- Vroom (VRM)
- Penske Automotive Group (PAG)
Competitive Landscape
Carvana faces intense competition from established players like CarMax and AutoNation, as well as other online retailers like Vroom. Carvana's competitive advantage lies in its online-only model and customer experience, but it needs to improve profitability to compete effectively.
Major Acquisitions
ADESA U.S.
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2200
- Strategic Rationale: Increase inspection and reconditioning capacity to support Carvana's growth.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Carvana experienced rapid revenue growth in its early years, but this growth has slowed, and profitability has been a challenge.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary widely, with some expecting a recovery and others projecting continued losses. Future growth depends on improving profitability and managing debt.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include cost-cutting measures, debt restructuring, and focusing on improving operational efficiency.
Summary
Carvana is trying to disrupt the used car market with a purely online model. While they have gained popularity for user convenience, they face significant challenges like profitability, high costs, and strong competition. Recent debt restructuring could improve the balance sheet but they need to improve efficiency and control costs to reach sustainable profitability. Carvana needs to manage its inventory and customer service to ensure future profitability.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Market research reports
- Analyst estimates
- News articles
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Carvana Co
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Tempe, AZ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-04-28 | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Ernest C. Garcia III | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships | Full time employees 17400 | Website https://www.carvana.com |
Full time employees 17400 | Website https://www.carvana.com | ||
Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States. The company offers vehicle acquisition, inspection and reconditioning, online search and shopping experience, financing, complementary products, logistics network and distinctive fulfillment experience, and post-sale customer support services. It also operates auction sites. Carvana Co. was founded in 2012 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
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