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Upturn AI Summary - About
Carvana Co(CVNA)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CVNA
10/23/2026: CVNA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Carvana Co is a major player in the U.S. used-vehicle e-commerce market, known for its digital-first buying platform and signature automated vending machines. The company has moved from an aggressive growth phase to a strategic focus on operational efficiency and profitability. Key strengths include its vertically integrated logistics network, while risks remain centered on its high debt load and sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations affecting consumer demand. The stock is primarily suitable for growth-oriented investors who are comfortable with high volatility. Investors should monitor the company’s ability to maintain positive free cash flow and manage its debt obligations in a changing economic landscape.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | Carvana's focus on digital disruption and scale makes it a candidate for those seeking high-growth potential. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often exhibits high volatility, making it attractive to momentum traders during periods of clear price trends. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company's valuation and earnings profile do not currently align with traditional value-oriented metrics. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Carvana does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused investors. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The high operational and financial risk profile makes this an unsuitable choice for risk-averse portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is subject to sharp price swings driven by macro-economic factors and sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Investor sentiment regarding future growth can cause significant fluctuations in valuation multiples. |
| Competition risk | High | Traditional dealers with large physical networks are aggressively investing in digital platforms to compete with Carvana. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the platform is innovative, the company is still establishing consistent long-term profitability. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | The company prioritizes cash for operations and debt management over shareholder distributions. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Scaling a national logistics network efficiently remains a complex and execution-heavy task. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 6.91% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 64.08B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 30.59 | 1Y Target Price 82.19 |
Price to earnings Ratio 30.59 | 1Y Target Price 82.19 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8.1M shares | Beta 3.55 | 52 Weeks Range 54.46 - 97.38 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 54.46 - 97.38 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.89 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Retail Vehicle Sales | Direct sales of used vehicles through online interface. | This is the company's primary way of generating revenue from customers. |
| Finance and Ancillary | Auto loans, warranties, and insurance products. | High-margin service revenue that adds to the bottom line of vehicle sales. |
| Wholesale | Sale of trade-in vehicles at auction. | A necessary way to clear inventory that doesn't fit the retail platform. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-28 | When After Market | Estimate 0.47 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.26% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.22% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 11.7% | Return on Equity (TTM) 58.77% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 30.59 | Forward PE 30.58 | Enterprise Value 74.46B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.56 |
Enterprise Value 74.46B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.56 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.97 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 524.36 | Shares Outstanding 719.92M | Shares Floating 706.40M |
Shares Outstanding 719.92M | Shares Floating 706.40M | ||
Percent Insiders 2.09 | Percent Institutions 105.29 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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