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Upturn AI Summary - About
Carvana Co(CVNA)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CVNA
09/25/2026: CVNA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Carvana Co is a digital-first automotive retailer known for its online platform and signature vehicle vending machines. The company has a leading position in the digital-only used car market and has recently shifted its focus toward improving unit profitability and cash flow. Its primary growth opportunity lies in further scaling its logistics network and increasing the attach rate of ancillary services. However, investors face risks regarding high debt levels, macroeconomic sensitivity, and intense competition from traditional dealerships. The stock may best suit growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance who are monitoring the company's ability to maintain margin expansion while managing its capital structure.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | Carvana offers high growth potential through its disruptive digital-first model. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | The stock often exhibits high volatility dependent on macroeconomic signals. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company's valuation is often premium based on growth expectations rather than current earnings multiples. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Carvana does not pay a dividend. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company faces significant operational and financial risks. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock price is highly sensitive to changes in consumer spending and interest rates. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Market expectations for future growth create potential for rapid valuation corrections. |
| Competition risk (traditional dealer digital transformation) | Medium | Traditional dealers upgrading their online presence poses a threat to Carvana's market share. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company has demonstrated the viability of its platform but faces ongoing execution challenges. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors should not expect income from this equity. |
| Execution risk | High | Successful management of logistics and debt remains critical to long-term survival. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 34.72% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/25/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 72.12B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 34.24 | 1Y Target Price 82.97 |
Price to earnings Ratio 34.24 | 1Y Target Price 82.97 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 7.6M shares | Beta 3.5 | 52 Weeks Range 54.46 - 97.38 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 54.46 - 97.38 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.9 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Retail Vehicle Sales | Direct sales of used cars to consumers. | This is the primary way Carvana brings in revenue. |
| Wholesale Sales | Selling cars at auction that don't fit retail standards. | A secondary stream that helps manage inventory. |
| Finance and Ancillary | Auto loans and add-on products like vehicle protection. | Higher-margin services that increase customer lifetime value. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 34.24 | Forward PE 29.85 | Enterprise Value 72.86B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.88 |
Enterprise Value 72.86B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.88 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.91 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 513.12 | Shares Outstanding 719.92M | Shares Floating 706.36M |
Shares Outstanding 719.92M | Shares Floating 706.36M | ||
Percent Insiders 2.1 | Percent Institutions 105.34 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
News (Last Updated: 09/27/2026)
About Carvana Co
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters Tempe, AZ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-04-28 | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Ernest C. Garcia III | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships | Full time employees 23100 | Website https://www.carvana.com |
Full time employees 23100 | Website https://www.carvana.com | ||
Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. It provides vehicle acquisition, inspection and reconditioning, online search and shopping experience, financing, complementary products, logistics network and distinctive fulfillment experience, and post-sale customer support services. The company also operates auction sites. Carvana Co. was founded in 2012 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
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