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Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (LW)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/08/2026: LW (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $54.64
1 Year Target Price $54.64
| 2 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 9 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -22.3% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.61B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 14.6 | 1Y Target Price 54.64 |
Price to earnings Ratio 14.6 | 1Y Target Price 54.64 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 14 | Beta 0.44 | 52 Weeks Range 39.83 - 66.67 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 39.83 - 66.67 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.56% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.76 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-12-19 | When After Market | Estimate 0.67 | Actual 0.69 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.06% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.47% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.91% | Return on Equity (TTM) 23.16% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 14.6 | Forward PE 13.57 | Enterprise Value 9628292783 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.87 |
Enterprise Value 9628292783 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.87 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.46 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.61 | Shares Outstanding 138879884 | Shares Floating 137942445 |
Shares Outstanding 138879884 | Shares Floating 137942445 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.51 | Percent Institutions 93.27 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1950 by brothers George and George Fredrickson in Weston, Oregon. Initially a small potato processing operation, it grew significantly over the decades, becoming a leading global producer of frozen potato products. A pivotal moment was its spin-off from Conagra Brands in 2016, becoming an independent publicly traded company. The company has since focused on expanding its global presence and product innovation.
Core Business Areas
- Global: This segment encompasses all of Lamb Weston's operations outside of North America. It includes manufacturing, sales, and marketing of frozen potato products to foodservice and retail customers in international markets. This segment is crucial for the company's growth, tapping into expanding global demand for convenient and high-quality potato offerings.
- United States: This segment covers Lamb Weston's business within the United States. It includes manufacturing, sales, and marketing of frozen potato products to both foodservice (restaurants, hotels, institutions) and retail (supermarkets, grocery stores) customers. This is the company's foundational market and a significant contributor to its revenue.
- Commercial: This segment includes the company's non-potato products, such as frozen vegetables and appetizers. It also covers the operations of its joint venture with a customer that manufactures and sells fries in certain export markets. While smaller than the potato segments, it represents diversification of offerings.
Leadership and Structure
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. is led by a Board of Directors and a senior executive team. Key figures include Tom Werner (CEO), and Michael Sargent (CFO). The company operates through a divisional structure primarily segmented by geography (Global, United States) and a smaller commercial segment.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- French Fries: Lamb Weston is a leading global producer of French fries, offering a wide variety of cuts, styles, and coatings for both foodservice and retail. Market share data for specific product lines is not publicly disclosed, but the company is a dominant player in the global French fry market. Key competitors include McCain Foods, Simplot, and private label brands.
- Potato Specialties: This category includes a range of value-added potato products such as potato wedges, hash browns, tater tots, and seasoned fries. These products cater to evolving consumer preferences for convenience and variety. Competitors are similar to those in the French fry market, with many private label options available.
- Other Potato Products: Lamb Weston also produces other frozen potato products like mashed potatoes and potato bites, serving diverse culinary applications in foodservice and retail. The competitive landscape includes a mix of large processors and smaller specialty producers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The frozen potato products industry is mature but continues to grow due to increasing demand for convenience foods, global population growth, and the expanding foodservice sector, particularly in emerging markets. Factors like changing consumer dietary preferences, sustainability concerns in agriculture, and supply chain volatility (affecting potato availability and cost) are significant industry influences.
Positioning
Lamb Weston is a global leader in the frozen potato products market, distinguished by its scale, operational efficiency, extensive distribution network, and strong brand recognition, particularly in the foodservice sector. Its competitive advantages include its long-standing customer relationships, product innovation, and ability to serve diverse global markets.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global potato processing market is substantial, with the frozen segment representing a significant portion. While specific TAM figures vary by source and scope, it is estimated to be in the tens of billions of USD annually. Lamb Weston, as a top global player, holds a significant share of this market, particularly in value-added frozen products.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Global Scale and Distribution Network
- Strong Brand Recognition and Customer Loyalty (especially in foodservice)
- Operational Efficiency and Manufacturing Expertise
- Product Innovation and Diversification
- Long-standing relationships with potato growers
Weaknesses
- Reliance on agricultural commodity prices (potatoes)
- Exposure to currency fluctuations in international markets
- Competition from private label brands
- Potential for supply chain disruptions
Opportunities
- Growing demand in emerging international markets
- Expansion of value-added and specialty potato products
- Strategic acquisitions to enhance market presence or capabilities
- Increased focus on plant-based and convenient meal solutions
- Leveraging technology for improved efficiency and sustainability
Threats
- Volatile raw material costs (potatoes)
- Increasing competition
- Changing consumer dietary trends (e.g., low-carb diets)
- Trade barriers and geopolitical risks
- Environmental regulations and sustainability pressures
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- McCain Foods Limited (Private)
- J.R. Simplot Company (Private)
- Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW)
Competitive Landscape
Lamb Weston holds a strong position due to its global reach and established foodservice relationships. However, it faces intense competition from privately held giants like McCain Foods and Simplot, which also have extensive product portfolios and distribution networks. The presence of strong private label offerings from retailers adds another layer of competition, especially in the retail segment.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Lamb Weston has experienced consistent historical growth, fueled by expanding international markets, increased demand for processed potato products, and strategic operational improvements. Its spin-off from Conagra allowed for a more focused approach on its core business.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Lamb Weston's future growth are generally positive, anticipating continued expansion in its Global segment, driven by rising disposable incomes and evolving food consumption patterns in developing economies. Growth in the US segment is expected to be more moderate but stable. Investments in capacity and efficiency are key to future growth.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding manufacturing capacity in the US and Europe, focusing on product innovation to meet consumer demand for healthier and more convenient options, and optimizing supply chain logistics. The company also actively engages in strategic partnerships and potential acquisitions to bolster its market position.
Summary
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. is a strong global leader in the frozen potato products market, benefiting from consistent demand for convenience foods and its established distribution. Its significant market share and operational efficiency are key strengths. However, the company must navigate volatile potato costs, intense competition from private label and major rivals, and evolving consumer preferences. Continued investment in international growth and product innovation will be crucial for its sustained success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. Investor Relations
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Research Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered financial advice. Market share data is an estimation and can vary depending on the source and specific market segment. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Eagle, ID, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2016-11-10 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Michael Jared Smith | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Packaged Foods | Full time employees 10100 | Website https://www.lambweston.com |
Full time employees 10100 | Website https://www.lambweston.com | ||
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. engages in the production, distribution, and marketing of frozen potato products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It offers frozen potatoes, commercial ingredients, and appetizers under the Lamb Weston brand, as well as under various customer labels. The company also provides its products under its owned or licensed brands, such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, and other licensed brands, as well as under retailers' own brands. It sells its products through a network of internal sales personnel and independent brokers, agents, and distributors to quick service and full-service restaurants and chains, wholesale, grocery, mass merchants, club retailers, and specialty retailers, as well as foodservice distributors and institutions, including businesses, educational institutions, independent restaurants, regional chain restaurants, and convenience stores. Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Eagle, Idaho.

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