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LW 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (LW) company logo

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (LW)

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (LW) 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$59.53
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/08/2025: LW (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 1 star rating for performance

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

3 star rating from financial analysts

14 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $66

1 Year Target Price $66

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$66 Target price
52w Low $46.97
Current$59.53
52w High $81.86

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -22.3%
Avg. Invested days 34
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 12/08/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 8.32B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 28.7
1Y Target Price 66
Price to earnings Ratio 28.7
1Y Target Price 66
Volume (30-day avg) 14
Beta 0.43
52 Weeks Range 46.97 - 81.86
Updated Date 12/8/2025
52 Weeks Range 46.97 - 81.86
Updated Date 12/8/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.46%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.08

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-12-16
When After Market
Estimate 0.6337
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 4.56%
Operating Margin (TTM) 11.38%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.05%
Return on Equity (TTM) 16.22%

Valuation

Trailing PE 28.7
Forward PE 25.77
Enterprise Value 12212343056
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.29
Enterprise Value 12212343056
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.29
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.89
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.95
Shares Outstanding 139352480
Shares Floating 138411851
Shares Outstanding 139352480
Shares Floating 138411851
Percent Insiders 2.5
Percent Institutions 92.79

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc(LW) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. was founded in 1950 in Weston, Oregon, by brothers Bud and Ray Lamb. Initially a small potato processing business, it grew significantly under the ownership of ConAgra Foods, which acquired it in 1987. Lamb Weston was spun off as an independent, publicly traded company in November 2016. It has since become one of the world's largest producers of frozen potato products, known for its innovation in french fries and other potato specialties.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Global Segment: This segment encompasses the sale of frozen potato products, including fries, twirls, and other specialty items, to customers worldwide, primarily through food service distributors and direct sales to restaurant chains. It also includes sales of chilled potato products and a limited amount of other frozen vegetables.
  • Foodservice Segment: This segment focuses on the sale of frozen potato products to the North American food service market, including sales to K-12 schools, restaurant chains, and independent restaurants through distributors.
  • Retail Segment: This segment is responsible for the sale of frozen potato products to retail customers in North America, primarily for private label brands and some branded products sold in supermarkets and grocery stores.
  • International Segment: This segment involves the sale of frozen potato products, including fries and other potato specialties, to customers in markets outside of North America. This includes sales to international restaurant chains, distributors, and retailers.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. is led by a management team with extensive experience in the food industry. Key leadership positions include President and CEO, CFO, and heads of various operational and functional departments. The company operates through its various segments as outlined above, with a decentralized operational structure that allows for regional focus while maintaining global brand standards.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Description: Lamb Weston is a leading global producer of a wide variety of french fries, including standard cut, shoestring, crinkle cut, steak cut, and seasoned fries. These products are sold under various brands and for private label. Competitors include McCain Foods, J.R. Simplot Company, and various regional processors.
  • Market Share Data: Lamb Weston holds a significant share of the global frozen potato market, often cited as one of the top two players globally, with estimates ranging from 20-30% of the overall market depending on the specific product category and region. Specific revenue figures for french fries are not broken out but represent the largest portion of their product sales.
  • Product Name: French Fries
  • Description: This category includes products like potato twirls, wedges, chips, mashed potatoes, and other value-added potato items. These are designed for various culinary applications in food service and retail. Competitors are similar to those in the french fry market, with additional specialized players in specific niche products.
  • Market Share Data: While smaller than the french fry market share, potato specialties represent a growing segment for Lamb Weston, contributing to their overall market presence. Detailed market share for this specific sub-segment is not publicly disclosed but is a significant part of their revenue.
  • Product Name: Potato Specialties

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The frozen potato products industry is mature and highly competitive, characterized by large multinational players and a significant number of regional and private label producers. Demand is driven by global food service, retail, and convenience sectors. Key trends include increasing demand for convenience foods, growth in emerging markets, and a focus on product innovation and healthier options.

Positioning

Lamb Weston is positioned as a leading global supplier of high-quality frozen potato products, with a strong emphasis on innovation and customer service. Its competitive advantages include its extensive global distribution network, strong customer relationships with major restaurant chains and retailers, proprietary processing technology, and economies of scale. The company is known for its ability to customize products for specific customer needs.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global frozen potato market is substantial, with estimates placing its value in the tens of billions of U.S. dollars annually. Lamb Weston is a dominant player within this TAM, holding a significant market share and benefiting from growth trends in both developed and emerging economies. The company's global presence allows it to tap into various regional market opportunities.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong global brand recognition and reputation for quality.
  • Extensive global distribution network and supply chain capabilities.
  • Long-standing relationships with major food service and retail customers.
  • Proprietary processing technologies and innovation in product development.
  • Economies of scale leading to cost efficiencies.

Weaknesses

  • Susceptibility to fluctuations in potato commodity prices.
  • Reliance on a few key customers for a significant portion of revenue.
  • Potential for supply chain disruptions due to weather or disease affecting potato crops.
  • Intense competition leading to pricing pressures.

Opportunities

  • Expansion into emerging markets with growing demand for convenience foods.
  • Development and marketing of healthier or specialty potato products.
  • Strategic acquisitions to expand product offerings or geographic reach.
  • Leveraging sustainability initiatives to appeal to environmentally conscious consumers.
  • Increasing demand from the plant-based food sector.

Threats

  • Increasing global competition from established players and new entrants.
  • Shifts in consumer dietary preferences away from processed foods.
  • Adverse weather conditions impacting potato harvests and increasing input costs.
  • Changes in trade policies and tariffs affecting international sales.
  • Economic downturns impacting consumer spending on food away from home.

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • McCain Foods (Private)
  • J.R. Simplot Company (Private)
  • Aviko (Publicly Traded - Royal Cosun, Netherlands)

Competitive Landscape

Lamb Weston holds a strong competitive position, often vying for the top spot globally with McCain Foods. Its advantages lie in its extensive global reach, diversified customer base, and strong brand recognition. However, it faces intense competition from other large players and regional processors, which can lead to pricing pressures. The private nature of key competitors like McCain and Simplot makes direct year-over-year performance comparisons challenging. Aviko, while publicly traded, is part of a larger cooperative, adding another layer of complexity to direct competitive analysis.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Lamb Weston has a strong track record of historical growth, driven by increasing global demand for its products, strategic market expansion, and product innovation. The company has consistently grown its revenue and profitability over the past several years, outperforming many peers in the food processing sector.

Future Projections: Analyst projections generally indicate continued growth for Lamb Weston, driven by expansion in international markets, new product introductions, and an increase in demand for its core french fry products. Expected growth rates are typically in the mid-to-high single digits for revenue and earnings, supported by strategic investments in production capacity and market penetration.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives by Lamb Weston include significant investments in expanding production capacity, particularly in international markets like Europe and Asia, to meet growing demand. The company has also focused on leveraging technology and data analytics to improve operational efficiency and supply chain management. Additionally, Lamb Weston continues to invest in product innovation to cater to evolving consumer preferences, such as healthier options and value-added potato products.

Summary

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. is a leading global frozen potato product manufacturer with a strong history of growth and a robust market position. The company benefits from brand recognition, extensive distribution, and customer relationships. While facing competition and commodity price volatility, it has opportunities in emerging markets and product innovation. Its financial performance has been strong, and projections indicate continued expansion.

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. Investor Relations
  • Financial news and data providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv)
  • Industry research reports

Disclaimers:

This information is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Financial data and market share estimates are based on publicly available information and may not be entirely precise or up-to-date. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

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About Lamb Weston Holdings Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Eagle, ID, United States
IPO Launch date 2016-11-10
President, CEO & Director Mr. Michael Jared Smith
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Packaged Foods
Full time employees 10100
Full time employees 10100

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. engages in the production, distribution, and marketing of frozen potato products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It offers frozen potatoes, commercial ingredients, and appetizers under the Lamb Weston brand, as well as under various customer labels. The company also provides its products under its owned or licensed brands, such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, and other licensed brands, as well as under retailers' own brands. It sells its products through a network of internal sales personnel and independent brokers, agents, and distributors to quick service and full-service restaurants and chains, wholesale, grocery, mass merchants, club retailers, and specialty retailers, as well as foodservice distributors and institutions, including businesses, educational institutions, independent restaurants, regional chain restaurants, and convenience stores. Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Eagle, Idaho.