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Upturn AI Summary - About
MDU Resources Group Inc(MDU)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MDU
09/24/2026: MDU (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
MDU Resources Group is a focused, regulated utility company providing essential electricity and natural gas services in the Northern Plains and Pacific Northwest. Following a significant strategic simplification, including the spin-off of its construction materials subsidiary and the divestiture of its construction services business, the company now operates as a pure-play utility. Its main strength lies in stable, regulated revenue streams backed by essential service demand. The primary growth opportunity involves capital investment in grid modernization. While the stock appeals to dividend-seeking and defensive investors, key risks include regulatory rate outcomes and sensitivity to interest rates. Investors should monitor rate case decisions and infrastructure execution.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | As a regulated utility, the company offers modest, stable growth rather than high-growth potential. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum fit is conditional on a positive, sustained price upturn signal. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company's focus on utility assets often appeals to value-oriented investors seeking stable, tangible assets. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company has a longstanding history of providing consistent dividend income. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | Regulated utilities typically exhibit lower volatility and defensive characteristics during market downturns. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Low | Utilities are generally less sensitive to market-wide volatility than growth stocks. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Utility stocks can be sensitive to interest rate changes that affect the attractiveness of dividend yields. |
| Competition risk (Regional Utility) | Low | Regulated utilities operate as natural monopolies in their specific service areas. |
| Business quality | Medium / high | The business benefits from regulated, predictable cash flows and essential service demand. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividend sustainability depends on regulatory approvals for rate base increases. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Capital expenditure projects for infrastructure must be executed on time and budget to earn regulated returns. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Very Smooth
The stock has followed a highly orderly price path with minimal short-term disruption.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 38.08% | Avg. Invested days 41 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/24/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.92B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 19.83 | 1Y Target Price 23.62 |
Price to earnings Ratio 19.83 | 1Y Target Price 23.62 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.7M shares | Beta 0.38 | 52 Weeks Range 16.91 - 22.66 | Updated Date 09/24/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 16.91 - 22.66 | Updated Date 09/24/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.05% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.94 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Regulated Electric Utility | Generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity to residential and commercial customers. | Steady income generated from providing essential electric service. |
| Regulated Natural Gas Utility | Transportation and distribution of natural gas to customers. | Stable revenue based on regulated natural gas delivery. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 19.83 | Forward PE 17.33 | Enterprise Value 6.43B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.14 |
Enterprise Value 6.43B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.14 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.52 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.79 | Shares Outstanding 210.35M | Shares Floating 209.16M |
Shares Outstanding 210.35M | Shares Floating 209.16M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.45 | Percent Institutions 94.31 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About MDU Resources Group Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters Bismarck, ND, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-11-05 | President, CEO & Director Ms. Nicole A. Kivisto | ||
Sector Utilities | Industry Utilities - Regulated Gas | Full time employees 2096 | Website https://www.mdu.com |
Full time employees 2096 | Website https://www.mdu.com | ||
MDU Resources Group, Inc. engages in the regulated energy delivery businesses in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Electric, Natural Gas Distribution, and Pipeline. It generates, transmits, and distributes electricity in Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming through approximately 3,400 miles of transmission and 4,900 miles of distribution lines, as well as 86 transmission and 299 distribution substations. The company also distributes natural gas in Idaho, Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, Oregon, South Dakota, Washington, and Wyoming through approximately 22,000 miles of distribution and 540 miles transmission systems; and supplies related value-added services. In addition, it provides natural gas transportation and underground storage services through a regulated pipeline system primarily in the Rocky Mountain and northern Great Plains regions; and cathodic protection non-regulated energy-related services. Further, the company offers transportation and storage services. MDU Resources Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in Bismarck, North Dakota.
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