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MPC logo MPC
Upturn stock rating
MPC logo

Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)

Upturn stock rating
$195.63
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY-0.06%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 2 days
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Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
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Upturn Advisory Summary

10/30/2025: MPC (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

20 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $196.11

1 Year Target Price $196.11

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$196.11 Target price
52w Low $113.82
Current$195.63
52w High $201.61

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 41.88%
Avg. Invested days 40
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/30/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 59.51B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 28.49
1Y Target Price 196.11
Price to earnings Ratio 28.49
1Y Target Price 196.11
Volume (30-day avg) 20
Beta 0.88
52 Weeks Range 113.82 - 201.61
Updated Date 10/30/2025
52 Weeks Range 113.82 - 201.61
Updated Date 10/30/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 1.89%
Basic EPS (TTM) 6.87

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-11-04
When Before Market
Estimate 3.16
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.6%
Operating Margin (TTM) 5.82%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 3.4%
Return on Equity (TTM) 14.63%

Valuation

Trailing PE 28.49
Forward PE 13.64
Enterprise Value 86806864202
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.44
Enterprise Value 86806864202
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.44
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.65
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.78
Shares Outstanding 304020309
Shares Floating 303144731
Shares Outstanding 304020309
Shares Floating 303144731
Percent Insiders 0.27
Percent Institutions 76.79

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Marathon Petroleum Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) was founded in 1887 as The Ohio Oil Company. It became Marathon Oil in 1962. In 2011, Marathon Oil spun off its downstream business, creating Marathon Petroleum Corporation. MPC acquired Andeavor in 2018, significantly expanding its refining and retail footprint.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Refining & Marketing (R&M): Refines crude oil and other feedstocks into petroleum products, which are then marketed through various channels, including Marathon-branded retail outlets, independent retailers, and wholesale customers.
  • Midstream: Operates pipelines, terminals, and transportation assets for crude oil, refined products, and other hydrocarbons, primarily through its ownership in MPLX LP.
  • Retail: Operates Speedway-branded convenience stores and gas stations which were sold to 7-Eleven in 2021.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Michael J. Hennigan is the current President and CEO. The organizational structure is typical of a large corporation, with various departments reporting to executive leadership.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Gasoline: Gasoline is a primary product, refined and marketed under various brands, including Marathon. Market share fluctuates based on regional presence and competition. Competitors include ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Shell.
  • Diesel Fuel: Diesel fuel is another significant refined product, sold to commercial and retail customers. Competitors include Valero, Phillips 66, and HollyFrontier.
  • Jet Fuel: Jet fuel is produced for airlines and other aviation customers. Market share varies by region. Competitors include Shell Aviation, BP Aviation, and World Fuel Services.
  • Asphalt: Asphalt is produced to used for road paving. Competitors are companies like Martin Asphalt. Market share varies by region

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The oil refining industry is highly competitive and cyclical, influenced by factors such as crude oil prices, demand for refined products, regulatory changes, and geopolitical events.

Positioning

MPC is one of the largest refiners in the United States, with a significant refining capacity and a well-established midstream infrastructure. Its competitive advantage lies in its scale, integration, and geographic diversification.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for refined petroleum products is in the trillions of dollars globally. MPC is positioned to capture a portion of this market through its refining capacity and distribution network.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Large refining capacity
  • Integrated midstream operations through MPLX
  • Strong retail presence (historical)
  • Geographic diversification
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to volatile crude oil prices
  • Environmental regulations and compliance costs
  • Dependence on fossil fuels
  • Refining margins sensitivity to product demand and supply
  • Capital intensive

Opportunities

  • Expanding renewable fuel production
  • Investing in midstream infrastructure
  • Optimizing refining operations
  • Capitalizing on growing global demand for petroleum products in developing countries
  • Develop carbon capture to reduce carbon impact

Threats

  • Declining demand for gasoline due to electric vehicles
  • Increased competition from other refiners
  • Geopolitical risks and supply disruptions
  • Stringent environmental regulations
  • Economic recession

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • CVX
  • XOM
  • VLO
  • PSX
  • HFC

Competitive Landscape

Marathon Petroleum has a strong refining capacity and integrated midstream operations. Its disadvantages compared to competitors may include higher debt levels or lower refining margins in certain periods. ExxonMobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) are larger, more diversified, and more vertically integrated, giving them scale advantages. Valero (VLO) is another large independent refiner with strengths in operational efficiency. Phillips 66 (PSX) is also a major player in refining and chemicals. HollyFrontier (HFC) is smaller but has a strategic focus on specific regions.

Major Acquisitions

Andeavor

  • Year: 2018
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 23300
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded MPC's refining capacity and geographic reach, particularly in the western United States.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: The historical growth trajectory can be assessed by examining past revenue, earnings, and capital expenditure trends from MPC's financial reports.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates for future growth can be obtained from financial news sources and investment research reports. This includes forecasts for revenue, earnings, and capital expenditures.

Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives are announced through press releases, investor presentations, and earnings calls. These activities may include acquisitions, divestitures, or investments in new technologies.

Summary

Marathon Petroleum is a major US refiner with significant capacity, integrated midstream assets, and a history of strategic acquisitions. The company is financially sound. MPC faces potential challenges from declining gasoline demand due to electric vehicles and stringent environmental regulations, requiring strategic investment in renewable energy and operational efficiencies.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Marathon Petroleum Corporation's Investor Relations
  • SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Financial News Outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance)
  • Investment Research Reports (e.g., from Morningstar, S&P Capital IQ)

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and analyst estimates. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change. This is not financial advice, and investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Marathon Petroleum Corp

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Findlay, OH, United States
IPO Launch date 2011-07-01
President, CEO & Director Ms. Maryann T. Mannen
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Full time employees 18300
Full time employees 18300

Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. This segment also manufactures propane and petrochemicals. It sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers in the United States and internationally, buyers on the spot market, and independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets, as well as through long-term fuel supply contracts to direct dealer locations primarily under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil and refined products, including renewable diesel and other hydrocarbon-based products through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges; gathers, processes, and transports natural gas; and transports, fractionates, stores, and markets natural gas liquids. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets, and distributes renewable diesel through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, buyers on the spot market, and through long-term supply contracts to direct dealers under the ARCO brand. Marathon Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.