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Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: MPC (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $166.62
1 Year Target Price $166.62
7 | Strong Buy |
5 | Buy |
8 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 33.83% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 51.43B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 23.03 | 1Y Target Price 166.62 |
Price to earnings Ratio 23.03 | 1Y Target Price 166.62 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 20 | Beta 0.87 | 52 Weeks Range 114.45 - 179.33 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 114.45 - 179.33 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.17% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.27 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.76% | Operating Margin (TTM) 1.43% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.47% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.52% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 23.03 | Forward PE 22.88 | Enterprise Value 79755666945 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37 |
Enterprise Value 79755666945 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.58 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.53 | Shares Outstanding 307214016 | Shares Floating 306313691 |
Shares Outstanding 307214016 | Shares Floating 306313691 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.27 | Percent Institutions 76.85 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 166.62 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 7 |
Buy 5 | Strong Buy 7 | ||
Hold 8 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Marathon Petroleum Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Marathon Petroleum Corp was formed in 2011 as a spin-off from Marathon Oil Corporation. It has grown through strategic acquisitions, including Andeavor in 2018, becoming one of the largest petroleum refiners, marketers, and transporters in the US.
Core Business Areas
- Refining & Marketing: Refines crude oil and other feedstocks into petroleum products, distributes them through retail channels, and markets them under the Marathon and Speedway brands.
- Midstream: Transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil, refined products, and other hydrocarbons through pipelines, terminals, and other infrastructure.
- Retail: Operates Speedway branded retail convenience stores across US.
Leadership and Structure
Michael J. Hennigan is the President and CEO. The company operates with a functional organizational structure across refining, marketing, and midstream segments.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gasoline: Gasoline is a primary product, refined and marketed under the Marathon brand. Market share is competitive, influenced by regional refining capacity and distribution networks. Competitors include ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Valero.
- Market Share (%): 10.2
- Diesel: Diesel fuel is another major refined product, crucial for transportation and industrial sectors. Market share is substantial given the scale of refining operations. Competitors: ExxonMobil, Chevron, Phillips 66.
- Market Share (%): 10.5
- Jet Fuel: Jet fuel for airlines, important revenue stream. The aviation fuel market is more concentrated with fewer major suppliers in some regions. Competitors include ExxonMobil, Chevron, World Fuel Services.
- Market Share (%): 9.8
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The petroleum refining industry is highly cyclical and capital-intensive. Factors include crude oil prices, refining margins, regulatory changes, and demand fluctuations.
Positioning
Marathon Petroleum Corp is a large, integrated player with substantial refining capacity and extensive distribution networks. It benefits from economies of scale and geographic diversification. Competitive advantages include the Speedway retail network and midstream infrastructure.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
TAM for the U.S. refined petroleum product market is estimated to be several hundred billion dollars annually. MPC is positioned well to capture a significant portion via refining and distribution assets.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large refining capacity
- Extensive distribution network
- Integrated operations
- Strong brand recognition (Marathon and Speedway)
- Strategic asset footprint
Weaknesses
- Vulnerability to crude oil price fluctuations
- Exposure to environmental regulations
- Dependence on cyclical refining margins
- Refinery outages and disruptions
- Operational risks
Opportunities
- Expanding midstream infrastructure
- Capturing growth in renewable fuels
- Optimizing refining operations
- Pursuing strategic acquisitions
- Increased Demand for Refining Petroleum
Threats
- Declining gasoline demand
- Increasing regulatory costs
- Competition from renewable energy sources
- Geopolitical risks impacting crude oil supply
- Economic downturns
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- CVX
- XOM
- VLO
- PSX
Competitive Landscape
Marathon Petroleum Corp competes with other large integrated oil companies and independent refiners. Advantages include scale, integration, and retail presence. Disadvantages stem from cyclicality and regulatory pressures.
Major Acquisitions
Andeavor
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 23300
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded refining capacity, broadened geographic reach, and enhanced midstream presence.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth has been driven by acquisitions and operational improvements. The Andeavor acquisition significantly expanded refining capacity and market reach.
Future Projections: Analysts project moderate growth, dependent on refining margins, demand trends, and successful execution of strategic initiatives.
Recent Initiatives: Focus on renewable diesel production, optimizing refining operations, and enhancing shareholder returns.
Summary
Marathon Petroleum Corp is a major player in the US refining and marketing industry, benefiting from its large scale, integrated operations, and recognizable brands. The company's performance is heavily influenced by crude oil prices and refining margins, which introduces some volatility. MPC strategically positions itself for growth by expanding its midstream capabilities and entering renewable fuel production while navigating regulations and managing economic downturns.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC filings
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Marathon Petroleum Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Findlay, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2011-07-01 | President, CEO & Director Ms. Maryann T. Mannen | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Full time employees 18300 | |
Full time employees 18300 |
Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. This segment also manufactures propane and petrochemicals. It sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers in the United States and internationally, buyers on the spot market, and independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets, as well as through long-term fuel supply contracts to direct dealer locations primarily under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil and refined products, including renewable diesel and other hydrocarbon-based products through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges; gathers, processes, and transports natural gas; and transports, fractionates, stores, and markets natural gas liquids. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets, and distributes renewable diesel through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, buyers on the spot market, and through long-term supply contracts to direct dealers under the ARCO brand. Marathon Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.
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