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Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/18/2025: MPC (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 34.89% | Avg. Invested days 42 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 51.43B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 23.03 | 1Y Target Price 166.53 |
Price to earnings Ratio 23.03 | 1Y Target Price 166.53 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2430550 | Beta 0.87 | 52 Weeks Range 114.45 - 179.33 | Updated Date 06/20/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 114.45 - 179.33 | Updated Date 06/20/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.17% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.27 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.76% | Operating Margin (TTM) 1.43% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.47% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.52% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 23.03 | Forward PE 23.09 | Enterprise Value 80281002591 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.38 |
Enterprise Value 80281002591 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.38 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.58 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.59 | Shares Outstanding 307214016 | Shares Floating 306313691 |
Shares Outstanding 307214016 | Shares Floating 306313691 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.27 | Percent Institutions 76.83 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.95 | Target Price 165.1 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 7 |
Buy 5 | Strong Buy 7 | ||
Hold 8 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Marathon Petroleum Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Marathon Petroleum Corp. traces its roots back to 1887 as part of The Ohio Oil Company. It spun off from Marathon Oil Corporation in 2011. Through strategic acquisitions and organic growth, it has become one of the largest refiners and marketers of petroleum products in the US.
Core Business Areas
- Refining & Marketing: Refines crude oil and other feedstocks into petroleum products, which are then marketed through various channels.
- Midstream: Transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil, refined products, and other hydrocarbons through pipelines, terminals, and other facilities.
- Retail: Operates retail fuel outlets under the Speedway brand, offering gasoline, diesel, and convenience store products.
Leadership and Structure
Michael J. Hennigan serves as President and CEO. The company operates with a functional organizational structure, divided into key business segments, each headed by senior executives.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gasoline: Marathon Petroleum is a major gasoline producer and marketer. They compete with other large refiners, retailers and brands like ExxonMobil and Chevron. Their gasoline market share varies by region but is estimated to be approximately 10% nationally.
- Diesel Fuel: A significant portion of Marathon's refined products is diesel fuel, supplied to various transportation and industrial sectors. Competitors include Valero and Phillips 66. The national diesel fuel market share is estimated to be approximately 12%.
- Jet Fuel: Marathon also produces and sells jet fuel, used by commercial and military aviation. Competitors include Chevron and ExxonMobil. The jet fuel market share is estimated to be approximately 9%.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The petroleum refining industry is highly competitive and subject to commodity price fluctuations, environmental regulations, and geopolitical events. Demand is influenced by economic growth, vehicle fuel efficiency, and alternative energy sources.
Positioning
Marathon Petroleum is one of the largest independent refiners in the US, with a significant midstream presence. Its scale and integrated operations provide a competitive advantage.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global refined petroleum products market is valued at over $2 trillion. Marathon Petroleum, as one of the largest players in the US market, captures a significant portion of this TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large refining capacity
- Integrated operations (refining, midstream, retail)
- Strategic asset locations
- Strong distribution network
- Established brand recognition
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price volatility
- Dependence on crude oil supply
- Environmental risks and liabilities
- Retail segment faces competition from smaller players
- Vulnerability to economic downturns
Opportunities
- Expanding refining capacity
- Investing in renewable energy and lower-carbon fuels
- Growing midstream infrastructure
- Acquiring complementary businesses
- Increasing exports of refined products
Threats
- Stringent environmental regulations
- Fluctuations in crude oil prices
- Decreasing demand for gasoline due to electric vehicles
- Geopolitical instability
- Increased competition from other refiners
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- CVX
- XOM
- VLO
- PSX
Competitive Landscape
Marathon Petroleum benefits from scale and integrated operations. However, competitors like Chevron and ExxonMobil have stronger global presence and brand recognition. Valero focuses primarily on refining and marketing.
Major Acquisitions
Andeavor
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 23300
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Marathon's refining capacity and geographic footprint on the West Coast and in the Rocky Mountain region.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Marathon Petroleum has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion. Need data.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary, but growth is expected to be driven by increased demand for refined products and strategic investments in midstream infrastructure. Need Data.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in renewable energy projects and acquisitions to expand the midstream business.
Summary
Marathon Petroleum is a large, integrated refiner with a strong market position. The company benefits from its scale and integrated operations, but faces challenges from commodity price volatility, environmental regulations, and the transition to renewable energy. Recent acquisitions and investments in midstream infrastructure position the company for future growth, but the company must navigate the complexities of the evolving energy landscape and manage its environmental liabilities effectively. MPC appears to be a solid company but the financials need to be reviewed more carefully, as well as keeping a close eye on the risks and threats.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Industry reports
- Analyst estimates
- Market research reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on available information and general market conditions, and should not be considered financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Marathon Petroleum Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Findlay, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2011-07-01 | President, CEO & Director Ms. Maryann T. Mannen | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Full time employees 18300 | |
Full time employees 18300 |
Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. This segment also manufactures propane and petrochemicals. It sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers in the United States and internationally, buyers on the spot market, and independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets, as well as through long-term fuel supply contracts to direct dealer locations primarily under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil and refined products, including renewable diesel and other hydrocarbon-based products through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges; gathers, processes, and transports natural gas; and transports, fractionates, stores, and markets natural gas liquids. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets, and distributes renewable diesel through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, buyers on the spot market, and through long-term supply contracts to direct dealers under the ARCO brand. Marathon Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.
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