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Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: MPC (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $180.39
1 Year Target Price $180.39
7 | Strong Buy |
5 | Buy |
8 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 35.32% | Avg. Invested days 47 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 49.35B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 23.59 | 1Y Target Price 180.39 |
Price to earnings Ratio 23.59 | 1Y Target Price 180.39 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 20 | Beta 0.87 | 52 Weeks Range 114.45 - 183.10 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 114.45 - 183.10 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.25% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.88 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-05 | When Before Market | Estimate 3.23 | Actual 3.96 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.6% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.82% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.4% | Return on Equity (TTM) 14.63% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 23.59 | Forward PE 21.79 | Enterprise Value 77710576556 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37 |
Enterprise Value 77710576556 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.58 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.76 | Shares Outstanding 304020000 | Shares Floating 303126489 |
Shares Outstanding 304020000 | Shares Floating 303126489 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.27 | Percent Institutions 77.76 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Marathon Petroleum Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Marathon Petroleum Corp. traces its roots back to 1887 with the formation of The Ohio Oil Company. In 2011, Marathon Oil Corporation split into two independent companies: Marathon Oil (upstream) and Marathon Petroleum Corporation (downstream). Since then, MPC has grown through strategic acquisitions and expansions to become a leading refiner, marketer, and transporter of petroleum products.
Core Business Areas
- Refining & Marketing: This segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks into petroleum products, including gasoline, distillates, and asphalt. It also markets these products through various channels, including branded retail outlets and wholesale distribution.
- Midstream: This segment transports, stores, and gathers crude oil, refined products, and other hydrocarbons through pipelines, terminals, and transportation assets. This business is primarily operated through MPLX LP, a publicly traded master limited partnership.
Leadership and Structure
Michael J. Hennigan serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer. The company is structured with executive leadership overseeing key functional areas, including refining, marketing, midstream, and corporate functions. The refining and midstream businesses operate with substantial autonomy.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gasoline: Gasoline is a primary product, sold under brands like Marathon and Speedway. The market is highly competitive. Competitors: ExxonMobil, Chevron, Valero. Market share is dependent on regional presence, with Marathon having a strong presence in the Midwest.
- Diesel: Diesel fuel is another key product, serving transportation and industrial sectors. Competitors: ExxonMobil, Chevron, Valero. Market share is dependent on regional presence, with Marathon having a strong presence in the Midwest.
- Jet Fuel: Jet fuel is sold primarily to airlines and other aviation companies. Competitors: ExxonMobil, Chevron, Valero. Market share is dependent on regional presence.
- Asphalt: Asphalt is sold for road construction and maintenance. Competitors: Many local and regional asphalt producers. Market share is dependent on regional presence.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The petroleum refining industry is characterized by high capital intensity, cyclical demand, and sensitivity to crude oil prices and regulatory changes. It's subject to global supply/demand dynamics and geopolitical factors.
Positioning
Marathon Petroleum is one of the largest independent refiners in the US. Its integrated downstream and midstream operations provide a competitive advantage. The Speedway acquisition has bolstered its retail presence.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global refining market is valued in the trillions of USD. MPC captures a significant portion of the US refining market, with opportunities to expand its market share through operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large refining capacity
- Integrated midstream operations (MPLX)
- Strong retail network (Speedway)
- Geographic diversification
- Strong brand recognition in key markets
Weaknesses
- Exposure to volatile crude oil prices
- Environmental risks and regulations
- Dependence on cyclical demand
- Refinery outages
Opportunities
- Expanding midstream infrastructure
- Increasing renewable fuel production
- Optimizing refinery operations
- Strategic acquisitions
- Growth in export markets
Threats
- Declining demand for gasoline due to electric vehicles
- Increasing environmental regulations
- Geopolitical instability affecting crude oil supply
- Economic downturns reducing fuel demand
- Competition from other refiners
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- CVX
- XOM
- VLO
- PSX
Competitive Landscape
Marathon Petroleum competes with other major refiners and independent operators. Its competitive advantages include its large refining capacity, integrated midstream operations, and strong retail presence. Challenges include volatile crude oil prices and increasing environmental regulations.
Major Acquisitions
Andeavor
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 23300
- Strategic Rationale: Acquired Andeavor to expand its geographic footprint and increase its refining capacity.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Marathon Petroleum's growth has been driven by organic expansion and strategic acquisitions, particularly in the midstream and retail segments.
Future Projections: Future growth depends on factors like refining margins, crude oil prices, and demand for refined products. Analyst estimates can be found on financial news websites.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in renewable fuels, optimization of refinery operations, and expansion of midstream infrastructure. Return of cash to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases is also key.
Summary
Marathon Petroleum is a major player in the refining and midstream sectors, benefiting from its scale and integrated operations. The Speedway acquisition boosted its retail presence, but the company faces volatility in crude prices and increasing environmental regulations. Recent strategic initiatives in renewable fuels and midstream expansion position it for future growth. Careful management of operational efficiency and adaptation to changing energy demands are crucial for MPC's continued success.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Industry Reports
- Financial News Websites
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Marathon Petroleum Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Findlay, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2011-07-01 | President, CEO & Director Ms. Maryann T. Mannen | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Full time employees 18300 | |
Full time employees 18300 |
Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. This segment also manufactures propane and petrochemicals. It sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers in the United States and internationally, buyers on the spot market, and independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets, as well as through long-term fuel supply contracts to direct dealer locations primarily under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil and refined products, including renewable diesel and other hydrocarbon-based products through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges; gathers, processes, and transports natural gas; and transports, fractionates, stores, and markets natural gas liquids. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets, and distributes renewable diesel through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, buyers on the spot market, and through long-term supply contracts to direct dealers under the ARCO brand. Marathon Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.

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