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Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/17/2025: MPC (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $183.72
1 Year Target Price $183.72
7 | Strong Buy |
5 | Buy |
8 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 39.06% | Avg. Invested days 42 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 55.63B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 26.6 | 1Y Target Price 183.72 |
Price to earnings Ratio 26.6 | 1Y Target Price 183.72 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 20 | Beta 0.95 | 52 Weeks Range 113.82 - 186.28 | Updated Date 09/17/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 113.82 - 186.28 | Updated Date 09/17/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.02% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.88 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.6% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.82% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.4% | Return on Equity (TTM) 14.63% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 26.6 | Forward PE 14.75 | Enterprise Value 83994676343 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.42 |
Enterprise Value 83994676343 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.42 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.62 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.36 | Shares Outstanding 304020000 | Shares Floating 303147771 |
Shares Outstanding 304020000 | Shares Floating 303147771 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.27 | Percent Institutions 77.59 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Marathon Petroleum Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Marathon Petroleum Corp was formed in 2011 as a spin-off from Marathon Oil Corporation. It traces its roots back to The Ohio Oil Company, founded in 1887. Significant milestones include various acquisitions and expansions to become one of the largest refiners in the US.
Core Business Areas
- Refining & Marketing: Refines crude oil and other feedstocks into transportation fuels, asphalt, and other petroleum products. Markets these products through various channels, including branded retail outlets and wholesale distribution.
- Midstream: Transports, stores, and gathers crude oil, natural gas, and refined products. Operations are primarily conducted through MPLX LP, a master limited partnership.
- Retail: Through Speedway and other retail brands, it sells gasoline, convenience items, and other products at retail locations.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team is headed by the CEO. The organizational structure includes various departments such as refining, marketing, midstream, and corporate functions, each led by senior executives. Michael J. Hennigan is the current CEO.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gasoline: Gasoline is a primary product, with market share varying regionally. Competitors include ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Valero. Marathon has retail locations through its Speedway and other brands. This is their largest revenue generator.
- Diesel Fuel: Diesel fuel is another key product used in transportation and industry. Competitors include ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Valero. Market share also varies regionally.
- Jet Fuel: Supplies jet fuel to airlines and other aviation customers. Competitors include ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Phillips 66.
- Asphalt: Supplies asphalt for road construction and maintenance projects. Competitors include Valero, and local asphalt producers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The petroleum refining industry is cyclical and sensitive to changes in crude oil prices, demand for refined products, and regulatory factors. There is a consolidation trend as well as pressure to transition to renewable fuels.
Positioning
Marathon Petroleum Corp is one of the largest independent refiners in the US, with a strong midstream presence through MPLX. Its competitive advantages include its scale, integrated operations, and extensive retail network.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global oil and gas market is estimated to be worth trillions of dollars. Marathon Petroleum Corp is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market, primarily in the US and through its export operations.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large refining capacity
- Integrated operations (refining, midstream, retail)
- Extensive retail network
- Strong midstream presence through MPLX
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Exposure to volatile crude oil prices
- Dependence on fossil fuels
- Environmental liabilities
- Refinery downtime risk
- Geographic concentration in the US
Opportunities
- Increasing demand for refined products in developing countries
- Expansion of midstream infrastructure
- Investment in renewable energy and biofuels
- Acquisitions of smaller refiners
- Technological advancements in refining processes
Threats
- Government regulations on emissions
- Shift towards electric vehicles and alternative fuels
- Economic recessions
- Geopolitical instability
- Cybersecurity threats
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- CVX
- XOM
- VLO
- PSX
Competitive Landscape
Marathon Petroleum Corp competes with other large refiners based on refining capacity, operational efficiency, and access to crude oil and markets. MPC has an advantage in retail and midstream presence.
Major Acquisitions
Andeavor
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 23300
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Marathon Petroleum Corp's refining capacity and geographic reach. Gave them a larger West Coast presence.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Marathon Petroleum Corp's growth has been driven by acquisitions and expansions of its refining and midstream assets.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth in revenue and earnings, driven by increasing demand for refined products and the expansion of its midstream operations. The focus on cost-cutting is a key growth factor.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include investing in renewable energy projects, optimizing its refining operations, and expanding its midstream infrastructure.
Summary
Marathon Petroleum Corp is a strong player in the US refining industry, benefiting from its integrated operations and extensive retail network. High demand for refined products is supporting its financial performance. MPC needs to watch out for governmental regulations and the shift to electric vehicles. Marathon's midstream assets provide a stable source of income and room to invest in more cost-effective sources of energy.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings
- Company Investor Relations
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual risk tolerance and due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Marathon Petroleum Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Findlay, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2011-07-01 | President, CEO & Director Ms. Maryann T. Mannen | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Full time employees 18300 | |
Full time employees 18300 |
Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. This segment also manufactures propane and petrochemicals. It sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers in the United States and internationally, buyers on the spot market, and independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets, as well as through long-term fuel supply contracts to direct dealer locations primarily under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil and refined products, including renewable diesel and other hydrocarbon-based products through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges; gathers, processes, and transports natural gas; and transports, fractionates, stores, and markets natural gas liquids. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets, and distributes renewable diesel through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, buyers on the spot market, and through long-term supply contracts to direct dealers under the ARCO brand. Marathon Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.

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