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MPC 
Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/13/2025: MPC (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
20 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $199
1 Year Target Price $199
| 7 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 8 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 41.12% | Avg. Invested days 41 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/13/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 59.19B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 20.97 | 1Y Target Price 199 |
Price to earnings Ratio 20.97 | 1Y Target Price 199 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 20 | Beta 0.71 | 52 Weeks Range 113.82 - 202.24 | Updated Date 11/12/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 113.82 - 202.24 | Updated Date 11/12/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.86% | Basic EPS (TTM) 9.39 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-04 | When Before Market | Estimate 3.16 | Actual 3.01 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.16% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.97% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.87% | Return on Equity (TTM) 18.89% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 20.97 | Forward PE 14.45 | Enterprise Value 91708574122 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.44 |
Enterprise Value 91708574122 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.44 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.69 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.05 | Shares Outstanding 300602479 | Shares Floating 299760792 |
Shares Outstanding 300602479 | Shares Floating 299760792 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.27 | Percent Institutions 76.95 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Marathon Petroleum Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) was founded in 1887 as The Ohio Oil Company. It became Marathon Oil in 1962. In 2011, Marathon Oil spun off its downstream business, creating Marathon Petroleum Corporation. MPC acquired Andeavor in 2018, significantly expanding its refining and retail footprint.
Core Business Areas
- Refining & Marketing (R&M): Refines crude oil and other feedstocks into petroleum products, which are then marketed through various channels, including Marathon-branded retail outlets, independent retailers, and wholesale customers.
- Midstream: Operates pipelines, terminals, and transportation assets for crude oil, refined products, and other hydrocarbons, primarily through its ownership in MPLX LP.
- Retail: Operates Speedway-branded convenience stores and gas stations which were sold to 7-Eleven in 2021.
Leadership and Structure
Michael J. Hennigan is the current President and CEO. The organizational structure is typical of a large corporation, with various departments reporting to executive leadership.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gasoline: Gasoline is a primary product, refined and marketed under various brands, including Marathon. Market share fluctuates based on regional presence and competition. Competitors include ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Shell.
- Diesel Fuel: Diesel fuel is another significant refined product, sold to commercial and retail customers. Competitors include Valero, Phillips 66, and HollyFrontier.
- Jet Fuel: Jet fuel is produced for airlines and other aviation customers. Market share varies by region. Competitors include Shell Aviation, BP Aviation, and World Fuel Services.
- Asphalt: Asphalt is produced to used for road paving. Competitors are companies like Martin Asphalt. Market share varies by region
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The oil refining industry is highly competitive and cyclical, influenced by factors such as crude oil prices, demand for refined products, regulatory changes, and geopolitical events.
Positioning
MPC is one of the largest refiners in the United States, with a significant refining capacity and a well-established midstream infrastructure. Its competitive advantage lies in its scale, integration, and geographic diversification.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for refined petroleum products is in the trillions of dollars globally. MPC is positioned to capture a portion of this market through its refining capacity and distribution network.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large refining capacity
- Integrated midstream operations through MPLX
- Strong retail presence (historical)
- Geographic diversification
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Exposure to volatile crude oil prices
- Environmental regulations and compliance costs
- Dependence on fossil fuels
- Refining margins sensitivity to product demand and supply
- Capital intensive
Opportunities
- Expanding renewable fuel production
- Investing in midstream infrastructure
- Optimizing refining operations
- Capitalizing on growing global demand for petroleum products in developing countries
- Develop carbon capture to reduce carbon impact
Threats
- Declining demand for gasoline due to electric vehicles
- Increased competition from other refiners
- Geopolitical risks and supply disruptions
- Stringent environmental regulations
- Economic recession
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- CVX
- XOM
- VLO
- PSX
- HFC
Competitive Landscape
Marathon Petroleum has a strong refining capacity and integrated midstream operations. Its disadvantages compared to competitors may include higher debt levels or lower refining margins in certain periods. ExxonMobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) are larger, more diversified, and more vertically integrated, giving them scale advantages. Valero (VLO) is another large independent refiner with strengths in operational efficiency. Phillips 66 (PSX) is also a major player in refining and chemicals. HollyFrontier (HFC) is smaller but has a strategic focus on specific regions.
Major Acquisitions
Andeavor
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 23300
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded MPC's refining capacity and geographic reach, particularly in the western United States.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: The historical growth trajectory can be assessed by examining past revenue, earnings, and capital expenditure trends from MPC's financial reports.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates for future growth can be obtained from financial news sources and investment research reports. This includes forecasts for revenue, earnings, and capital expenditures.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives are announced through press releases, investor presentations, and earnings calls. These activities may include acquisitions, divestitures, or investments in new technologies.
Summary
Marathon Petroleum is a major US refiner with significant capacity, integrated midstream assets, and a history of strategic acquisitions. The company is financially sound. MPC faces potential challenges from declining gasoline demand due to electric vehicles and stringent environmental regulations, requiring strategic investment in renewable energy and operational efficiencies.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Marathon Petroleum Corporation's Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance)
- Investment Research Reports (e.g., from Morningstar, S&P Capital IQ)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and analyst estimates. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change. This is not financial advice, and investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Marathon Petroleum Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Findlay, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2011-07-01 | President, CEO & Director Ms. Maryann T. Mannen | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Full time employees 18300 | |
Full time employees 18300 | |||
Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. This segment also manufactures propane and petrochemicals. It sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers in the United States and internationally, buyers on the spot market, and independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets, as well as through long-term fuel supply contracts to direct dealer locations primarily under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil and refined products, including renewable diesel and other hydrocarbon-based products through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges; gathers, processes, and transports natural gas; and transports, fractionates, stores, and markets natural gas liquids. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets, and distributes renewable diesel through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, buyers on the spot market, and through long-term supply contracts to direct dealers under the ARCO brand. Marathon Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.
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