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Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: VLO (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $155.83
1 Year Target Price $155.83
10 | Strong Buy |
7 | Buy |
4 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 19.02% | Avg. Invested days 47 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 42.50B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 55.16 | 1Y Target Price 155.83 |
Price to earnings Ratio 55.16 | 1Y Target Price 155.83 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21 | Beta 1 | 52 Weeks Range 97.37 - 153.86 | Updated Date 08/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 97.37 - 153.86 | Updated Date 08/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.24% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.48 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-07-24 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.76 | Actual 2.28 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.65% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.6% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.2% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.76% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 55.16 | Forward PE 19.27 | Enterprise Value 48607158579 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.36 |
Enterprise Value 48607158579 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.36 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.39 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.36 | Shares Outstanding 310652000 | Shares Floating 309126444 |
Shares Outstanding 310652000 | Shares Floating 309126444 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.55 | Percent Institutions 86.86 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Valero Energy Corporation

Company Overview
History and Background
Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 as a spin-off from Coastal States Gas Corporation. It grew through acquisitions, becoming one of the largest independent refiners in the United States.
Core Business Areas
- Refining: Valero's primary business is refining crude oil and other feedstocks into transportation fuels, petrochemicals, and other products.
- Renewable Diesel: Valero produces renewable diesel through its Diamond Green Diesel joint venture.
- Marketing: Valero markets refined products through its wholesale channels and retail outlets under the Valero, Diamond Shamrock, and Ultramar brands.
Leadership and Structure
Valero Energy Corporation is led by its Chairman and CEO, Joe Gorder. The organizational structure includes various executive vice presidents overseeing different operational areas.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gasoline: Valero produces gasoline for sale in the US and internationally. Gasoline demand is relatively consistent, but impacted by fuel efficiency and economic activity. Competitors include Marathon Petroleum, ExxonMobil, and Chevron.
- Diesel: Valero produces diesel fuel for transportation and industrial uses. Diesel demand fluctuates with freight activity and economic conditions. Competitors include Marathon Petroleum, ExxonMobil, and Chevron.
- Renewable Diesel: Valero produces renewable diesel through its Diamond Green Diesel joint venture. It is a growing area with market share on the rise due to environmental regulations. Competitors include Neste, Renewable Energy Group (REG).
- Jet Fuel: Valero produces Jet Fuel for commercial and military use. The demand of jet fuel depends on the commercial airlines activity. Competitors include Marathon Petroleum, ExxonMobil, and Chevron.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The refining industry is characterized by fluctuating crude oil prices, changes in demand for refined products, and increasing environmental regulations.
Positioning
Valero is one of the largest independent refiners in the US, with a focus on high-complexity refineries and a strong presence in key markets. Its competitive advantages include its scale, operational efficiency, and access to advantaged feedstocks.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global petroleum refining market is estimated at over $2 trillion. Valero's is positioned well to capture its share through its refineries and geographic distribution.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large refining capacity
- High-complexity refineries
- Strong retail network
- Renewable diesel production
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Sensitivity to crude oil price fluctuations
- Exposure to environmental regulations
- Dependence on economic cycles
- Refining margins volatility
Opportunities
- Growing demand for renewable fuels
- Expansion of refining capacity in strategic locations
- Increased exports of refined products
- Technological advancements in refining processes
Threats
- Declining demand for gasoline
- Increased competition from other refiners
- Environmental regulations and carbon taxes
- Geopolitical instability
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- MPC
- CVX
- XOM
- PSX
Competitive Landscape
Valero has a competitive advantage due to its large refining capacity, high complexity refineries, and renewable diesel production. It competes with other major refiners based on price, product quality, and geographic location.
Major Acquisitions
Ultramar Diamond Shamrock Corporation
- Year: 2001
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 6000
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Valero's refining capacity and retail presence in the US.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Valero has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion of its refining capacity and renewable diesel production.
Future Projections: Future growth is expected to come from increased renewable fuel production, improved refining efficiency, and strategic acquisitions.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in renewable diesel projects, upgrades to existing refineries, and expansion of its retail network.
Summary
Valero is a large and diversified refiner with a significant presence in the US market and is competitively positioned due to it large market cap share. Its strength lies in high complexity refineries and renewable fuels, however it is also exposed to crude oil prices, regulations, and cyclical demand. The company should focus on managing costs and expanding renewables to maintain market leadership. Watch out for the rise of renewables as adoption increases.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Industry Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on your own research and due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Valero Energy Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters San Antonio, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1982-01-04 | CEO, President & Chairman Mr. R. Lane Riggs | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Full time employees 9898 | Website https://www.valero.com |
Full time employees 9898 | Website https://www.valero.com |
Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brand names. The company owns and operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, as well as produces renewable diesel and naphtha under the Diamond Green Diesel brand name. In addition, it offers ethanol and various co-products, including dry distiller grains, syrup, and inedible distillers corn oil to animal feed customers. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.

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