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Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$135.82
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
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Upturn Advisory Summary

08/14/2025: VLO (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

21 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $155.83

1 Year Target Price $155.83

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$155.83 Target price
52w Low $97.37
Current$135.82
52w High $153.86

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 19.02%
Avg. Invested days 47
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/14/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 42.50B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 55.16
1Y Target Price 155.83
Price to earnings Ratio 55.16
1Y Target Price 155.83
Volume (30-day avg) 21
Beta 1
52 Weeks Range 97.37 - 153.86
Updated Date 08/16/2025
52 Weeks Range 97.37 - 153.86
Updated Date 08/16/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.24%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.48

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-07-24
When Before Market
Estimate 1.76
Actual 2.28

Profitability

Profit Margin 0.65%
Operating Margin (TTM) 3.6%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.2%
Return on Equity (TTM) 2.76%

Valuation

Trailing PE 55.16
Forward PE 19.27
Enterprise Value 48607158579
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.36
Enterprise Value 48607158579
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.36
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.39
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.36
Shares Outstanding 310652000
Shares Floating 309126444
Shares Outstanding 310652000
Shares Floating 309126444
Percent Insiders 0.55
Percent Institutions 86.86

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Valero Energy Corporation

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 as a spin-off from Coastal States Gas Corporation. It grew through acquisitions, becoming one of the largest independent refiners in the United States.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Refining: Valero's primary business is refining crude oil and other feedstocks into transportation fuels, petrochemicals, and other products.
  • Renewable Diesel: Valero produces renewable diesel through its Diamond Green Diesel joint venture.
  • Marketing: Valero markets refined products through its wholesale channels and retail outlets under the Valero, Diamond Shamrock, and Ultramar brands.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Valero Energy Corporation is led by its Chairman and CEO, Joe Gorder. The organizational structure includes various executive vice presidents overseeing different operational areas.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Gasoline: Valero produces gasoline for sale in the US and internationally. Gasoline demand is relatively consistent, but impacted by fuel efficiency and economic activity. Competitors include Marathon Petroleum, ExxonMobil, and Chevron.
  • Diesel: Valero produces diesel fuel for transportation and industrial uses. Diesel demand fluctuates with freight activity and economic conditions. Competitors include Marathon Petroleum, ExxonMobil, and Chevron.
  • Renewable Diesel: Valero produces renewable diesel through its Diamond Green Diesel joint venture. It is a growing area with market share on the rise due to environmental regulations. Competitors include Neste, Renewable Energy Group (REG).
  • Jet Fuel: Valero produces Jet Fuel for commercial and military use. The demand of jet fuel depends on the commercial airlines activity. Competitors include Marathon Petroleum, ExxonMobil, and Chevron.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The refining industry is characterized by fluctuating crude oil prices, changes in demand for refined products, and increasing environmental regulations.

Positioning

Valero is one of the largest independent refiners in the US, with a focus on high-complexity refineries and a strong presence in key markets. Its competitive advantages include its scale, operational efficiency, and access to advantaged feedstocks.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global petroleum refining market is estimated at over $2 trillion. Valero's is positioned well to capture its share through its refineries and geographic distribution.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Large refining capacity
  • High-complexity refineries
  • Strong retail network
  • Renewable diesel production
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Sensitivity to crude oil price fluctuations
  • Exposure to environmental regulations
  • Dependence on economic cycles
  • Refining margins volatility

Opportunities

  • Growing demand for renewable fuels
  • Expansion of refining capacity in strategic locations
  • Increased exports of refined products
  • Technological advancements in refining processes

Threats

  • Declining demand for gasoline
  • Increased competition from other refiners
  • Environmental regulations and carbon taxes
  • Geopolitical instability

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • MPC
  • CVX
  • XOM
  • PSX

Competitive Landscape

Valero has a competitive advantage due to its large refining capacity, high complexity refineries, and renewable diesel production. It competes with other major refiners based on price, product quality, and geographic location.

Major Acquisitions

Ultramar Diamond Shamrock Corporation

  • Year: 2001
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 6000
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded Valero's refining capacity and retail presence in the US.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Valero has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion of its refining capacity and renewable diesel production.

Future Projections: Future growth is expected to come from increased renewable fuel production, improved refining efficiency, and strategic acquisitions.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in renewable diesel projects, upgrades to existing refineries, and expansion of its retail network.

Summary

Valero is a large and diversified refiner with a significant presence in the US market and is competitively positioned due to it large market cap share. Its strength lies in high complexity refineries and renewable fuels, however it is also exposed to crude oil prices, regulations, and cyclical demand. The company should focus on managing costs and expanding renewables to maintain market leadership. Watch out for the rise of renewables as adoption increases.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings
  • Industry Reports
  • Financial News Outlets

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on your own research and due diligence.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Valero Energy Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters San Antonio, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 1982-01-04
CEO, President & Chairman Mr. R. Lane Riggs
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Full time employees 9898
Full time employees 9898

Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brand names. The company owns and operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, as well as produces renewable diesel and naphtha under the Diamond Green Diesel brand name. In addition, it offers ethanol and various co-products, including dry distiller grains, syrup, and inedible distillers corn oil to animal feed customers. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.