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VLO 
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: VLO (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
21 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $187.11
1 Year Target Price $187.11
| 10 | Strong Buy |
| 7 | Buy |
| 4 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 20.69% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/09/2026 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 57.56B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 38.44 | 1Y Target Price 187.11 |
Price to earnings Ratio 38.44 | 1Y Target Price 187.11 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21 | Beta 0.77 | 52 Weeks Range 96.76 - 192.00 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 96.76 - 192.00 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.33% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.82 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.28% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.53% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.59% | Return on Equity (TTM) 5.24% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 38.44 | Forward PE 15.87 | Enterprise Value 64171425001 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.49 |
Enterprise Value 64171425001 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.49 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.52 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.89 | Shares Outstanding 305009539 | Shares Floating 303514992 |
Shares Outstanding 305009539 | Shares Floating 303514992 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.56 | Percent Institutions 85.3 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Valero Energy Corporation
Company Overview
History and Background
Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 as a natural gas company. It transitioned into petroleum refining in 1981 with the acquisition of two refineries. Key milestones include its initial public offering in 1990, significant refinery expansions and acquisitions throughout the 1990s and 2000s, and its emergence as one of the world's largest independent petroleum refiners and a leading ethanol producer.
Core Business Areas
- Refining: Operates a network of refineries producing gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other refined petroleum products. These refineries are strategically located to serve major markets.
- Renewable Fuels: Produces and markets renewable fuels, primarily ethanol and renewable diesel, contributing to cleaner energy alternatives.
- Convenience Stores and Wholesale Marketing: Operates convenience stores through its Diamond Shamrock brand and engages in the wholesale marketing of its refined products and renewable fuels.
Leadership and Structure
Valero Energy Corporation is led by a seasoned executive team, including its Chairman and CEO. The company is structured around its core business segments: Refining, Renewable Fuels, and Convenience Stores/Wholesale Marketing, each with dedicated management and operational oversight.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gasoline: A primary refined product, supplying a significant portion of the transportation fuel market in its operational regions. Competitors include other major refiners and integrated oil companies. Market share data for individual products is proprietary and not publicly disclosed in detail, but Valero is a top-tier producer in North America.
- Diesel Fuel: Another key transportation fuel product, serving commercial and industrial sectors. Competitors are similar to those in gasoline. Valero holds a substantial position in the diesel market.
- Jet Fuel: Supplies jet fuel to airlines, a critical component of the aviation industry. Competitors include other refiners with aviation fuel production capabilities. Valero is a significant supplier in its served regions.
- Ethanol: A biofuel blended with gasoline. Valero is one of the largest ethanol producers in the United States. Competitors include other large ethanol producers and agricultural cooperatives. Valero holds a significant market share in the US ethanol market.
- Renewable Diesel: A growing product in the company's portfolio, offering a lower-carbon alternative to traditional diesel. Competitors are emerging in this space, including other refiners and specialized biofuel companies. Valero is investing heavily to expand its presence.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The petroleum refining and renewable fuels industry is characterized by high capital intensity, cyclicality driven by crude oil prices and product demand, and increasing regulatory pressures related to environmental standards and emissions. The energy transition towards lower-carbon alternatives is a significant trend impacting the industry.
Positioning
Valero Energy Corporation is a leading independent refiner and a major producer of renewable fuels in North America. Its competitive advantages include a large, diversified refining network, strategic asset locations, operational efficiency, and a growing presence in renewable fuels, which positions it well for evolving energy demands.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for refined products (gasoline, diesel, jet fuel) is vast, encompassing global transportation and industrial energy needs, estimated in trillions of dollars annually. The TAM for renewable fuels is also growing rapidly, driven by mandates and consumer preferences for lower-carbon options. Valero is a significant player within the North American portion of this TAM, with capacity and distribution networks that allow it to capture substantial market share in its operational areas.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large-scale, diversified refining assets.
- Strategic refinery locations with access to feedstock and markets.
- Significant position in renewable fuels (ethanol and renewable diesel).
- Operational efficiency and cost management.
- Strong balance sheet and cash flow generation capabilities.
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price volatility (crude oil and refined products).
- Capital-intensive industry requiring significant ongoing investment.
- Potential for regulatory changes impacting fossil fuel consumption.
Opportunities
- Growing demand for renewable fuels and low-carbon energy solutions.
- Expansion of renewable diesel production capacity.
- Leveraging existing infrastructure for new energy technologies.
- Potential for strategic acquisitions and partnerships.
- Increased demand for refined products in certain global regions.
Threats
- Global economic downturns impacting energy demand.
- Increased competition from other refiners and alternative energy sources.
- Stricter environmental regulations and climate change policies.
- Geopolitical risks affecting crude oil supply and pricing.
- Advancements in electric vehicle technology reducing gasoline demand long-term.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)
- Phillips 66 (PSX)
- Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)
- Chevron Corporation (CVX)
- LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB)
Competitive Landscape
Valero's advantages include its focused refining operations and substantial renewable fuels business. However, integrated oil majors like ExxonMobil and Chevron possess broader upstream and downstream operations, offering diversification. Phillips 66 and Marathon Petroleum are direct competitors in the refining space, with comparable asset bases and market reach. Valero differentiates itself through its significant investment and leadership in renewable diesel.
Major Acquisitions
PBF Energy's Louisiana Refining System
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 737
- Strategic Rationale: To expand its refining capacity and market presence along the U.S. Gulf Coast, adding significant gasoline and diesel production capabilities.
Harvest New Energy
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1000
- Strategic Rationale: To significantly increase its renewable diesel production capacity and further its commitment to the renewable fuels market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Valero has experienced significant growth through strategic acquisitions, refinery expansions, and diversification into renewable fuels. Its historical growth has been characterized by adapting to market dynamics and capitalizing on opportunities in the energy sector.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates for Valero's future growth are generally positive, with expectations of continued strong performance in its refining segment and significant expansion in its renewable fuels business. Projections are contingent on factors like refining margins, crude oil prices, and the pace of energy transition.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives by Valero include significant investments in renewable diesel production capacity, expansions of existing refining operations, and efforts to optimize its asset portfolio to enhance profitability and sustainability. The company is actively pursuing opportunities to increase its renewable fuels output and reduce its carbon footprint.
Summary
Valero Energy Corporation is a strong player in the refining and renewable fuels sectors, benefiting from strategically located assets and operational efficiency. Its diversification into renewable diesel is a key strength, positioning it for future growth amidst the energy transition. However, the company remains susceptible to commodity price volatility and evolving regulatory landscapes. Continued investment in renewables and maintaining cost discipline are crucial for sustained success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Valero Energy Corporation Investor Relations
- Company Annual Reports (10-K)
- Company Quarterly Reports (10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Wall Street Journal)
- Industry Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Financial data and market share figures are subject to change and may vary depending on the reporting period and methodology. Valero's stock symbol is VLO.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Valero Energy Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters San Antonio, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1982-01-04 | CEO, President & Chairman Mr. R. Lane Riggs | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Full time employees 9898 | Website https://www.valero.com |
Full time employees 9898 | Website https://www.valero.com | ||
Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brands. The company owns and operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, as well as produces and sells renewable diesel, renewable naphtha, and neat sustainable aviation fuel under the Diamond Green Diesel brand name. In addition, it offers ethanol and various co-products, including dry distiller grains, syrup, and inedible distillers corn oil to animal feed customers. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
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