New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares logo

New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares(NCEW)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
2-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$16.92
10/02/2026
(24-hour delay)

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*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NCEW

10/02/2026: NCEW (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited is a niche player in the international freight and supply chain services industry. The company is known for its focused approach to cross-border logistics and its ability to maintain agility within specific trade corridors. Its primary growth opportunity lies in the digital transformation of its shipping processes and potential expansion into emerging markets. However, the company faces stiff competitive risks from global logistics conglomerates and is vulnerable to fluctuations in global trade and fuel costs. The stock may best suit investors looking for exposure to logistics with a higher tolerance for the risks inherent in a smaller-cap service firm.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth potential is tied to macroeconomic trade factors which can be unpredictable.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock often lacks the high-volume trading and volatility cycles favored by momentum strategies.
Value investorMixed fitValuation depends on long-term earnings sustainability in a competitive industry.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not have a track record of consistent dividend payments.
Low-risk investorWeak fitExposure to logistics and trade cycles introduces volatility that may not suit low-risk profiles.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highLogistics stocks are sensitive to fuel costs and global demand shifts.
Valuation riskMediumMarket pricing of niche logistics firms can fluctuate based on broader economic sentiment.
Competition risk (Logistics)HighThe company faces immense pressure from global giants with superior economies of scale.
Business qualityMediumOperational success is heavily dependent on execution within volatile trade routes.
Dividend incomeLow / noneIncome investors will likely find little support from the company's capital allocation.
Execution riskMedium / highComplexity in supply chain management leaves little room for operational error.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Highly Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Highly Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 163.78%
Avg. Invested days 48
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/02/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
NCEW receives a 2-star rating, reflecting soft or weak scores across the available pillars. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft company fundamentals, and soft analyst coverage.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
NCEW has soft overall fundamentals (2 stars), with soft financial health, weak growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-4960.1%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -7.9%), negative revenue growth (-89.2%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
NCEW's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 225.5%). Operating efficiency is weak (1 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
NCEW's growth profile is soft, with the least-weak measure being revenue growth at -89.2% FY2025 versus FY2024. By comparison, while earnings growth (-4960.1%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-131.0%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 0.0% (soft) and 20.1% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable (soft). Insider ownership of 87.70% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

UBS Group AG 0.01%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
NCEW generates approximately $3 of gross profit, $-1,899 of operating income, and $-79 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -678.02% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
NCEW has a relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Low VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap Risk

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 54.14M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price -
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price -
Volume (30-day avg) 630.0 shares
Beta 0.58
52 Weeks Range 2.80 - 20.83
Updated Date 10/02/2026
52 Weeks Range 2.80 - 20.83
Updated Date 10/02/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -3.09

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Freight ForwardingCommission and service fees for arranging cargo movement across air, sea, and land.They make money by acting as a middleman in the complex process of moving goods internationally.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 57.17M
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.06
Enterprise Value 57.17M
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.06
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.12
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 24.4
Shares Outstanding 3.20M
Shares Floating 643.74K
Shares Outstanding 3.20M
Shares Floating 643.74K
Percent Insiders 87.7
Percent Institutions 0.01

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters -
IPO Launch date 2024-12-18
Executive Chairman & CEO Mr. Ching Shun Ngan
Sector Industrials
Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics
Full time employees 39
Full time employees 39

New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides freight forwarding services in Hong Kong. The company offers air and ocean export and import freight forwarding services, including cargo space and pick up, off-airport air cargo security screening, palletization, preparation of shipping documentation, arrangement of customs clearance, and cargo handling at ports; and consultancy services. It is also involved in the provision of ancillary logistics services comprising warehousing and distribution services, such as storage, inventory management, stock take, access to warehousing management systems, pick and pack, labeling, and repackaging services, as well as loading and unloading services; X-ray; and gate charge services. New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.