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nCino Inc (NCNO)NCNO
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/02/2024: NCNO (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -37% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/02/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -37% | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/02/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.85B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 39.36 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.26 |
Volume (30-day avg) 978608 | Beta 0.55 |
52 Weeks Range 28.09 - 43.20 | Updated Date 12/2/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.85B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 39.36 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.26 | Volume (30-day avg) 978608 | Beta 0.55 |
52 Weeks Range 28.09 - 43.20 | Updated Date 12/2/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -5.78% | Operating Margin (TTM) -5.2% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.89% | Return on Equity (TTM) -2.76% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 4841624118 | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.59 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 276.51 |
Shares Outstanding 115560000 | Shares Floating 89573648 |
Percent Insiders 2.95 | Percent Institutions 100.92 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 4841624118 | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.59 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 276.51 | Shares Outstanding 115560000 | Shares Floating 89573648 |
Percent Insiders 2.95 | Percent Institutions 100.92 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.94 | Target Price 34.82 | Buy 7 |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 5 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.94 | Target Price 34.82 | Buy 7 | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 5 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
nCino Inc. - A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
nCino Inc. was founded in 2012 with the vision to revolutionize the financial industry by developing cloud-based software for banks and credit unions. Headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware, the company started its journey with a $3.5 million investment. Today, nCino has grown to become a global leader in cloud banking, serving more than 1,200 financial institutions worldwide.
Core Business Areas:
nCino focuses on providing innovative and comprehensive cloud-based solutions to streamline banking processes. Their primary product, the Bank Operating System (nBOS), empowers banks with functionalities for loan origination, customer onboarding, commercial/corporate banking, payments and treasury management, and fraud detection/AML compliance. The platform is designed to be highly scalable and adaptable to individual financial institutions' needs.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
The company is led by Pierre Naudé, co-founder and CEO, with a seasoned and diverse management team comprising experts in technology, finance, and banking industries. The corporate structure is based on a Board of Directors that provides strategic oversight and governance. nCino currently employs over 2,000 employees globally.
Top Products and Market Share:
Product Portfolio:
- nBOS (Bank Operating System): nCino's flagship product, a comprehensive cloud-based platform for managing the entire customer journey from onboarding to loan origination and account servicing.
- Deposit Account Opening: Online account opening tools for retail and commercial clients.
- Commercial/Corporate Banking: Streamlines complex workflows for commercial loans, treasury management, and international trade finance.
- Fraud Detection & AML: Tools that leverage AI and machine learning to mitigate fraud risk and ensure compliance with Anti-Money Laundering regulations.
Market Share:
nCino holds a significant share in the growing cloud banking market. As per a 2022 report by Grand View Research, the global cloud banking market size was valued at USD 23.5 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach USD 82.8 billion by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of 17.8%. nCino is estimated to hold approximately 13% market share in the US and is considered one of the top 3 players alongside FIS and Temenos.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for nCino encompasses a vast landscape of financial institutions, including:
- Traditional Banks: Large commercial/investment banks, regional/community banks, and savings and loan associations.
- Credit Unions: Cooperative financial institutions owned and operated by their members.
- FinTech & Challenger Banks: Emerging digital-first financial services providers.
The global financial services industry represented an estimated value of $26.5 trillion in 2022 and is anticipated to reach $38.1 trillion by 2026, showcasing substantial growth potential for cloud-based banking solutions.
Financial Performance
Recent financial performance of nCino indicates consistent growth:
- Revenue: FY23 revenue reached $356.4 million, a 35% YoY increase.
- Net Income: Net income for FY23 was $13.4 million, compared to a net loss of $49.5 million in FY22, demonstrating profitability improvement.
- Profit Margin: Gross profit margin for FY23 stood at 72.2%, showcasing healthy product margins.
- EPS: Diluted EPS for FY23 was $0.22, compared to a loss of $0.83 in FY22, highlighting a substantial improvement in earnings.
Cash flow from operations increased to $34.2 million in FY23, indicating efficient cash management. The company's balance sheet remained healthy with low debt levels and ample cash reserves.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Currently, nCino does not pay dividends as the company is focused on reinvesting profits towards aggressive expansion and product development. Total shareholder returns, however, have been impressive. Over the past year (as of November 14, 2023), nCino stock has provided a total return of 42%, outperforming the S&P 500. Over 5 years, the return stands at 475%, showcasing the strong growth story.
Growth Trajectory
Historical analysis indicates consistent revenue growth for nCino. Over the past 5 years, revenue has grown at a CAGR of over 40%. Future growth projections remain optimistic. The company forecasts revenue to increase by 30-32% in FY24, driven by robust customer acquisition and strong product adoption. Recent strategic acquisitions, like SimpleNexus in 2022, further enhance growth prospects by expanding into new customer segments like mortgage lending.
Market Dynamics
The cloud banking market is characterized by several dynamics:
- Rising Adoption: The global shift towards cloud adoption and the need for faster innovation in the financial industry are acting as key growth drivers for cloud banking.
- Increased Competition: Several established financial technology providers and emerging startups compete in this space, leading to intense competition.
- Regulatory Changes: Ongoing regulatory changes and increased focus on data security are impacting the cloud banking landscape.
- Technological Advancements: Advancements in AI, ML, and Big Data analytics will continue shaping the future of cloud banking.
nCino is well-positioned within this dynamic market, focusing on continuous product innovation, security enhancements, and strategic partnerships with leading technology players.
Competitors
Key competitors in the cloud banking space include:
- FIS (NYSE: FIS) - A large, established provider of financial technology and services with a cloud banking offering.
- Temenos (SIX: TEMN) - A global provider of banking software, also competing aggressively in the cloud banking market.
- Jack Henry & Associates (NASDAQ: JKHY) - Providing core banking and payments solutions, including cloud-based offerings for smaller financial institutions.
- Q2 Holdings Inc. (NYSE: QTWO) - Delivers cloud-based digital banking and lending solutions, primarily targeting community banks and credit unions.
nCino enjoys strong competitive advantages like its user-friendly and adaptable nBOS platform, strong customer focus, and strategic acquisitions. However, the company faces stiff competition
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Competition and Market Consolidation: Intense competition from established and emerging players could impact market share and pricing pressure.
- Integration Challenges: Successfully integrating acquisitions like SimpleNexus will be crucial for long-term success.
- Cybersecurity Threats: Maintaining high levels of security and ensuring data compliance will remain crucial for nCino.
Major Opportunities:
- Market Growth and Expansion: The growing cloud banking market offers ample opportunities for further customer acquisition and revenue growth.
- New Product Innovations: Continuous investment in product development and launching innovative solutions can drive competitive advantages.
- Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with technology companies and leading financial institutions can strengthen the market position.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
1. SimpleNexus (2022): nCino acquired SimpleNexus, a leading digital mortgage lending platform, for $1.2 billion. This move significantly expanded nCino's reach into the mortgage market and solidified its position as a comprehensive provider of cloud-based lending solutions.
2. BankLabs (2021): The acquisition of BankLabs for an undisclosed amount strengthened nCino's capabilities in treasury management and international banking solutions, enhancing its product portfolio for larger financial institutions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About nCino Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Wilmington, NC, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2020-07-14 | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO | Mr. Pierre Naude |
Sector | Technology | Website | https://www.ncino.com |
Industry | Software - Application | Full time employees | 1653 |
Headquaters | Wilmington, NC, United States | ||
Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO | Mr. Pierre Naude | ||
Website | https://www.ncino.com | ||
Website | https://www.ncino.com | ||
Full time employees | 1653 |
nCino, Inc., a software-as-a-service company, provides cloud-based software applications to financial institutions in the United States and internationally. Its nCino Bank Operating System connects financial institution employees, clients and third parties on a single cloud-based platform which include client onboarding, deposit account opening, loan origination, end-to-end mortgage suite, and powerful ecosystem. The company's nIQ, an application suite that utilizes data analytics and artificial intelligence and machine learning to provide its customers with automation and insights into their operations, such as tools for analyzing, measuring, and managing credit risk, as well as to enhance their ability to comply with regulatory requirements. It also offers SimpleNexus, a cloud-based mobile-first homeownership software solution. The company serves financial institution customers, including global financial institutions, enterprise banks, regional banks, community banks, credit unions, new market entrants, and independent mortgage banks through business development representatives, account executives, field sales engineers, and customer success managers. nCino, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Wilmington, North Carolina.
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