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Shopify Inc (SHOP)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/29/2025: SHOP (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 6 days. Simulated Profits (-1.00%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $177.63
1 Year Target Price $177.63
| 24 | Strong Buy |
| 11 | Buy |
| 14 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 94.43% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 222.39B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 124.69 | 1Y Target Price 177.63 |
Price to earnings Ratio 124.69 | 1Y Target Price 177.63 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 50 | Beta 2.83 | 52 Weeks Range 69.84 - 182.19 | Updated Date 12/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 69.84 - 182.19 | Updated Date 12/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.37 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 16.65% | Operating Margin (TTM) 17.37% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.74% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.74% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 124.69 | Forward PE 96.15 | Enterprise Value 217159821751 | Price to Sales(TTM) 20.79 |
Enterprise Value 217159821751 | Price to Sales(TTM) 20.79 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 20.3 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 126.77 | Shares Outstanding 1222600912 | Shares Floating 1218837392 |
Shares Outstanding 1222600912 | Shares Floating 1218837392 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.19 | Percent Institutions 74.28 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Shopify Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Shopify Inc. was founded in 2006 by Tobias Lu00fctke, Daniel Weinand, and Scott Lake in Ottawa, Canada, initially as a store for snowboarding equipment called Snowdevil. Recognizing the need for a user-friendly e-commerce platform, they pivoted to creating Shopify. Key milestones include its IPO in 2015 and its significant expansion into areas like logistics and point-of-sale systems, transforming it into a comprehensive commerce solution provider.
Core Business Areas
- Merchant Solutions: This is Shopify's primary revenue driver, encompassing its subscription services (e.g., Shopify POS, Shopify Payments) that enable merchants to create and manage their online stores, process payments, and access other commerce tools. This also includes fees from apps and services sold on its platform.
- Financing Solutions: Shopify offers various financing options to its merchants, such as Shopify Capital, providing working capital loans and advances to help businesses grow. This segment also includes the Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) services offered through partnerships.
- Logistics: Shopify is investing heavily in building a robust logistics network to offer merchants fulfillment and shipping services, aiming to compete with major players in e-commerce delivery.
Leadership and Structure
Shopify's leadership is headed by CEO Tobias Lu00fctke. The company operates with a decentralized structure, empowering teams to innovate. Key executive roles include those for product, engineering, marketing, and finance, with a focus on a mission-driven culture.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Shopify Platform: A comprehensive suite of e-commerce tools allowing businesses to set up, manage, and scale online stores. This includes website building, inventory management, payment processing, marketing tools, and more. Competitors include WooCommerce (WordPress), BigCommerce, Wix eCommerce, Squarespace, and Adobe Commerce (Magento). While precise market share for individual product features is hard to isolate, Shopify is a leading player in the overall e-commerce platform market.
- Shopify Payments: An integrated payment gateway that simplifies transactions for merchants, offering competitive rates and reducing the need for third-party payment processors. Its market share is intertwined with the platform's overall adoption, competing with Stripe, PayPal, Square, and other payment processors.
- Shopify POS: A point-of-sale system that allows merchants to sell in-person, integrating seamlessly with their online store inventory and sales data. Competitors include Square POS, Lightspeed, and Clover.
- Shopify Capital: A service providing merchants with access to capital through merchant cash advances and loans, based on their sales history on the Shopify platform. Competitors include Kabbage, OnDeck, and traditional business lenders.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The e-commerce industry is experiencing robust growth driven by increasing internet penetration, mobile commerce, and the shift towards online shopping. The SaaS e-commerce platform segment is competitive, with a constant demand for innovation in features, user experience, and integrated services like payments and logistics.
Positioning
Shopify is positioned as a leading all-in-one e-commerce platform, particularly strong with small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) and increasingly catering to larger enterprises. Its competitive advantage lies in its ease of use, extensive app ecosystem, integrated payment solutions, and growing logistics capabilities, enabling merchants to focus on selling rather than managing complex infrastructure.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for e-commerce platforms and related services is substantial and growing, estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars globally. Shopify is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market, especially as it continues to expand its offerings into areas like enterprise solutions and international markets.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- User-friendly platform for businesses of all sizes.
- Comprehensive suite of integrated tools and services (payments, shipping, marketing).
- Vast app ecosystem providing customization and scalability.
- Strong brand recognition and a large, loyal merchant base.
- Continuous innovation and investment in new technologies (e.g., AI, logistics).
Weaknesses
- Reliance on subscription revenue can be sensitive to economic downturns.
- Increasing competition from larger tech players and specialized solutions.
- High transaction fees for merchants using Shopify Payments in some cases.
- Potential challenges in scaling logistics operations efficiently and cost-effectively.
- Dependence on third-party app developers for certain functionalities.
Opportunities
- Expansion into enterprise-level solutions and larger merchants.
- Further development and integration of its logistics network.
- Growth in emerging markets and international expansion.
- Leveraging AI for personalized merchant experiences and customer insights.
- Acquisition of complementary technologies and businesses.
Threats
- Intensifying competition from platforms like Amazon and BigCommerce.
- Changes in e-commerce regulations and data privacy laws.
- Economic recessions impacting consumer spending and SMBs.
- Cybersecurity threats and data breaches.
- Platform dependency can lead to merchant churn if value proposition diminishes.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)
- BigCommerce Holdings Inc. (BIGC)
- Etsy Inc. (ETSY)
- Squarespace Inc. (SQSP)
- Wix.com Ltd. (WIX)
- Adobe Inc. (ADBE) (Magento)
Competitive Landscape
Shopify's advantage lies in its ease of use and comprehensive feature set for SMBs. Amazon, while a dominant marketplace, also competes as a service provider. BigCommerce, Squarespace, and Wix offer competing platforms, each with its own strengths. Adobe (Magento) targets larger enterprises. Shopify's ongoing investment in logistics and payments aims to create a more complete ecosystem, setting it apart.
Major Acquisitions
Deliverr
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1000
- Strategic Rationale: To significantly enhance Shopify's fulfillment capabilities and build a comprehensive logistics network for its merchants, enabling faster and more reliable shipping.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Shopify has experienced exponential growth since its inception, driven by the booming e-commerce market and its ability to attract and retain merchants. The company has consistently expanded its product offerings and geographic reach.
Future Projections: Analysts generally project continued revenue growth for Shopify, driven by its expanding merchant base, new product launches, and increasing adoption of its full commerce solutions. Projections often anticipate mid-to-high double-digit revenue growth in the coming years.
Recent Initiatives: Key recent initiatives include the development of its own fulfillment network, the acquisition of Deliverr to bolster its logistics capabilities, enhancements to its payment processing services, and the introduction of AI-powered tools for merchants. The recent spin-off of its logistics business to Flexport is a significant strategic move.
Summary
Shopify Inc. is a leading e-commerce platform with strong market positioning, a user-friendly interface, and a comprehensive suite of tools. Its core strength lies in empowering SMBs to sell online. While growth has been robust, increasing competition and the need for continued investment in logistics present challenges. The company's future success hinges on its ability to maintain innovation and expand its offerings effectively in a dynamic market.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Shopify Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Market research reports (e.g., Statista, eMarketer)
- Financial news outlets (e.g., Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg)
- Analyst reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is an estimation and can vary by source and methodology. Financial figures are subject to change and audit. Investment decisions should be made in consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Shopify Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Ottawa, ON, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-05-21 | Founder, Chairman, CEO and Head of R&D Mr. Tobias Lutke | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 8100 | Website https://www.shopify.com |
Full time employees 8100 | Website https://www.shopify.com | ||
Shopify Inc., a commerce technology company, provides tools to start, scale, market, and run a business of various sizes in Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The Company offers Shopify platform that enables merchants to manage products and inventory, process orders and payments, fulfill and ship orders, build customer relationships, source products, leverage analytics, and reporting and access financing for running their business across all of their sales channels, including web and mobile storefronts, physical retail locations, social media storefronts, and marketplaces. It also provides Shopify Payments, a fully integrated payment processing service that allows merchants to accept and process payment cards online and offline. In addition, the company engages in the sale of themes and apps; shipping labels through Shopify Shipping; point-of-sale hardware; advertising on the Shopify App Store; and Shop Campaigns for buyer acquisitions, as well as registration of domain names. Shopify Inc. was formerly known as Jaded Pixel Technologies Inc. and changed its name to Shopify Inc. in November 2011. Shopify Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Ottawa, Canada.

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