Neurogene Inc(NGNE)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$30.42
10/28/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NGNE

10/28/2026: NGNE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Neurogene Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company that develops precision gene therapies for rare, severe neurological diseases. Its primary strength lies in its proprietary EXACT platform, which aims to improve the safety and efficacy of genetic medicines. The company's investment story hinges on the success of its lead programs, NGN-401 and NGN-101, which are currently progressing through clinical trials. Primary risks include the high probability of clinical failure, intense competition in the gene therapy space, and the need for ongoing capital to fund operations. This stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance who are closely monitoring clinical trial data and regulatory updates.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitNeurogene offers high-growth potential linked to breakthrough gene therapy technology, but carries extreme binary risk.
Momentum investorMixed fitThis stock may see sharp price moves on clinical data, but fits best only during confirmed positive trend signals.
Value investorWeak fitAs a pre-revenue biotech firm, traditional valuation metrics like P/E ratios are not applicable.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay dividends and is in an aggressive cash-spending phase.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe high volatility and clinical risk inherent in early-stage biotech make this unsuitable for risk-averse investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighClinical-stage biotech stocks frequently experience massive swings based on regulatory or trial news.
Valuation riskMedium / highValuation is speculative and heavily dependent on long-term, unproven clinical success.
Competition risk (gene therapy)HighThe sector is crowded with well-funded competitors racing to provide solutions for the same rare diseases.
Business qualityMediumThe company relies on a novel, proprietary technology platform that has not yet been validated by an approved product.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no income generation for investors from this security.
Execution riskHighSuccessful execution of complex clinical trials and the regulatory path to approval is difficult and uncertain.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -47.6%
Avg. Invested days 23
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/28/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
NGNE receives a 3-star rating, supported by strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
NGNE has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-20.2%), soft cash generation (FCF margin 0.0%), negative revenue growth (-100.0%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
NGNE's financial health is supported by strong efficiency, including operating-expense and cost-of-revenue discipline (opex 0.0% of revenue). Profitability is weak (1 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
NGNE's growth profile is soft, with the least-weak measure being free-cash-flow growth at -9.7% FY2025 versus FY2024. By comparison, while revenue growth (-100.0%, negative) and earnings growth (-20.2%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 100.4% and approximately 56.5% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 6.98% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Samsara BioCapital, LLC 8.58%
Casdin Capital, LLC 7.72%
Redmile Group, LLC 7.06%
RTW INVESTMENTS, LLC 6.81%
EcoR1 Capital, LLC 6.35%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
NGNE generates approximately $-0 of gross profit, $-0 of operating income, and $-0 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.00%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
NGNE has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 540.11M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 77.88
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 77.88
Volume (30-day avg) 387.3K shares
Beta 2.09
52 Weeks Range 15.93 - 43.66
Updated Date 10/28/2026
52 Weeks Range 15.93 - 43.66
Updated Date 10/28/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -5.04

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Research and DevelopmentClinical trial development and intellectual property related to gene therapy platforms.The company currently spends money to create products and has no commercial revenue yet.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 254.43M
Price to Sales(TTM) 438.73
Enterprise Value 254.43M
Price to Sales(TTM) 438.73
Enterprise Value to Revenue 480.94
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.02
Shares Outstanding 20.01M
Shares Floating 11.30M
Shares Outstanding 20.01M
Shares Floating 11.30M
Percent Insiders 6.98
Percent Institutions 100.38

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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