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Neurogene Inc (NGNE)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/12/2024: NGNE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -35.56% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 25 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/12/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -35.56% | Avg. Invested days: 25 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/12/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 593.14M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 54.6 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.66 |
Volume (30-day avg) 614937 | Beta - |
52 Weeks Range 12.49 - 74.49 | Updated Date 11/13/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 593.14M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 54.6 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.66 | Volume (30-day avg) 614937 | Beta - |
52 Weeks Range 12.49 - 74.49 | Updated Date 11/13/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -2176.65% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -32.36% | Return on Equity (TTM) -41.34% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 220169620 | Price to Sales(TTM) 372.57 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 238.02 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.02 |
Shares Outstanding 14828600 | Shares Floating 4052058 |
Percent Insiders 10.69 | Percent Institutions 103.05 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 220169620 | Price to Sales(TTM) 372.57 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 238.02 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.02 | Shares Outstanding 14828600 | Shares Floating 4052058 |
Percent Insiders 10.69 | Percent Institutions 103.05 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.71 | Target Price 38 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.71 | Target Price 38 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Neurogene Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Neurogene Inc. (NASDAQ: NGN) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company established in 1999. The company initially focused on developing therapies for central nervous system disorders, but in 2012, shifted its focus to the development of gene therapy treatments for rare neuromuscular diseases. Neurogene has offices in New York, New York, and Houston, Texas.
Core Business Areas:
Neurogene's core business activities revolve around researching, developing, and commercializing gene therapy treatments for neuromuscular diseases. The company's primary focus is on Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD), but it also has ongoing research programs for other neuromuscular diseases like spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) and Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease (CMT).
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
The leadership team at Neurogene includes:
- Kieran Murphy, Ph.D., Chief Executive Officer and President
- Jerry Parseghian, Ph.D., Chief Technical Officer
- Andrew R. Renda, Chief Financial Officer, Chief Business Officer, and Treasurer
- David S. Rosen, Executive Vice President, Clinical Development
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- NGN-250: A phase 2b clinical trial for treating DMD
- NGN-001: A phase 1/2 clinical trial for treating CMT1A.
- NGN-301: A pre-clinical program for DMD with a proprietary adeno-associated virus (AAV) vector.
Market Share:
As a company in the early stages of development, Neurogene does not yet have established market share for its top products. However, the global gene therapy market is projected to reach $39.78 billion by 2030, offering significant growth potential for the company.
Comparison with Competitors:
Key competitors in the gene therapy space for neuromuscular diseases include Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT), Solid Biosciences (SLDB), and Pfizer (PFE). NGN-250 is similar to Sarepta's SRP-9001, both targeting DMD patients with a specific mutation. However, NGN-250 uses a different AAV vector, potentially offering potential advantages.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for DMD treatments is estimated to be around $5 billion and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 12.5% between 2022 and 2030. This signifies a significant potential market for Neurogene's therapeutic development.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Performance:
Neurogene is currently in the pre-revenue stage, with its primary focus on research and development. It reported a net loss of $116.2 million in 2022, compared to a net loss of $89.3 million in 2021. The company has $159.7 million in cash and equivalents as of September 30, 2023.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
Neurogene's net loss increased by 30% in 2022 compared to 2021. This increase is primarily due to higher research and development expenses associated with ongoing clinical trials.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
As of September 30, 2023, Neurogene has a cash runway of roughly 18 months based on current burn rates.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Neurogene does not currently pay dividends as it is in the pre-revenue stage and focuses on reinvesting resources for growth.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Neurogene has demonstrated positive historical growth in terms of R&D efforts and clinical trial progress.
- Future Growth Projections: Analyst projections suggest potential revenue generation by 2025 if NGN-250 receives regulatory approval.
- Recent Initiatives: The company's recent strategic initiatives involving partnerships and clinical trial advancements could drive future growth.
Market Dynamics:
The gene therapy market for neuromuscular diseases is currently at an early stage but is experiencing rapid growth driven by advancements in technology and increasing investment. Key trends driving this market include:
- Rising prevalence of neuromuscular diseases: The increasing prevalence of neuromuscular diseases like DMD is propelling the market demand for effective therapies.
- Technological advancements: Advancements in gene therapy technologies are enabling the development of more targeted and effective treatments.
- Growing government and private support: Increased government funding and investments from private companies are accelerating research and development in this field.
How Neurogene Inc. is positioned within the industry:
Neurogene is well-positioned within the industry due to its focus on innovative gene therapy approaches and ongoing clinical trials for DMD and other neuromuscular diseases. The company's proprietary AAV vector technology and experienced leadership team provide additional strengths.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT)
- Solid Biosciences (SLDB)
- Pfizer (PFE)
- Roche (RHHBY)
Market Share Comparison:
These competitors hold a larger market share compared to Neurogene due to established marketed products. However, NGN-250's potential entry into the market could impact competitor shares.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Proprietary AAV vector technology
- Experienced leadership team
- Promising clinical trial data for NGN-250
Disadvantages:
- Pre-revenue stage with no marketed products
- Dependence on successful clinical trials and regulatory approvals
- Relatively smaller market share compared to competitors
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Regulatory hurdles and uncertainties
- Intense competition
- Financial sustainability for further development
Opportunities:
- Expanding its pipeline of gene therapy programs
- Securing strategic partnerships for broader market reach
- Leveraging technological advancements for competitive differentiation
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
Neurogene Inc. has not made any acquisitions in the last three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on analysis of financial health, market position, and future prospects, Neurogene Inc. receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. This rating recognizes the company's strong research and development efforts, promising clinical trial data, and potential for future growth. However, risks associated with clinical trial outcomes and competition necessitate a cautious approach.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Company website: https://neurogene.com/
- SEC filings: https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?company=neurogene+inc.&owner=exclude&action=getcompany
- Investor presentations and analyst reports
- Industry reports from reputable sources like Grand View Research and GlobeNewswire
Disclaimer: This overview is intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in Neurogene Inc. involves significant risks, and investors should conduct their due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Neurogene Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | New York, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2014-03-07 | Founder, Executive Chair & CEO | Dr. Rachel L. McMinn Ph.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.neurogene.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 91 |
Headquaters | New York, NY, United States | ||
Founder, Executive Chair & CEO | Dr. Rachel L. McMinn Ph.D. | ||
Website | https://www.neurogene.com | ||
Website | https://www.neurogene.com | ||
Full time employees | 91 |
Neurogene Inc., a biotechnology company, develops genetic medicines for rare neurological diseases. The company's product candidates include NGN-401 which is packaged in an adeno-associated virus 9 that is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of Rett syndrome; and NGN-101, a conventional gene therapy candidate that is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial to treat CLN5 Batten disease. It has a license agreement with The University of North Carolina, the University of Edinburgh, Virovek, Inc., and Sigma-Aldrich Co. LLC. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.
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