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Upturn AI SWOT - About
NGVC 
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/20/2025: NGVC (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Moderate Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.
Number of Analysts
0 Analysts rated it
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Year Target Price $19
Year Target Price $19
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Under performing |
| 0 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 73.14% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 06/20/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 900.11M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 22.03 | 1Y Target Price 19 |
Price to earnings Ratio 22.03 | 1Y Target Price 19 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 1.33 | 52 Weeks Range 21.03 - 61.07 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 21.03 - 61.07 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.22% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.78 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.18% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.24% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.46% | Return on Equity (TTM) 23.38% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 22.03 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1214468903 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.69 |
Enterprise Value 1214468903 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.69 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.94 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.89 | Shares Outstanding 22950400 | Shares Floating 10486258 |
Shares Outstanding 22950400 | Shares Floating 10486258 | ||
Percent Insiders 44.37 | Percent Institutions 36.91 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price 19 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc. was founded in 1955 in Golden, Colorado, by Margaret and Philip Isely. Starting as a door-to-door nutrition education business, it evolved into retail stores focused on natural and organic groceries, dietary supplements, and body care products. The company emphasizes affordability and nutritional education.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Sales: Operates retail stores selling natural and organic groceries, including produce, meats, dairy, bakery items, bulk foods, and private-label products.
- Dietary Supplements and Body Care: Offers a wide range of vitamins, minerals, herbs, and supplements, as well as natural body care products.
- Nutritional Education: Provides free nutritional education classes, individual consultations, and recipe demonstrations to customers.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by Kemper Isely, Co-President. Heather Isely and Raoul Isely also serve as Co-Presidents. The organizational structure includes departments for retail operations, procurement, marketing, finance, and human resources.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Produce: Organic and natural produce, representing a significant portion of sales. Competitors include Whole Foods Market (AMZN), Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM), and conventional grocers offering organic options. Market share data is not readily available at the product level.
- Dietary Supplements: Vitamins, minerals, and herbal supplements, another core product category. Competitors include GNC, Vitamin Shoppe (VSI), and online retailers like Amazon. Market share data is not readily available at the product level.
- Bulk Foods: A variety of nuts, seeds, grains, and spices sold in bulk. This provides a cost-effective option for customers and sets Natural Grocers apart. Competitors include specialty food stores and online retailers. Market share data is not readily available at the product level.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The natural and organic food industry is experiencing steady growth, driven by increasing consumer awareness of health and wellness. Demand for clean label products and sustainable practices is rising. The industry is competitive, with large and small players vying for market share.
Positioning
Natural Grocers positions itself as a value-oriented retailer of natural and organic products. Its focus on affordability, nutritional education, and community engagement differentiates it from some competitors. The company emphasizes high-quality products at competitive prices.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The US organic food market is expected to reach $100 billion. Natural Grocers is positioned to capture a share of this growing market by emphasizing affordability and quality. Data for the total addressable market of dietary supplements is in addition to the organic food market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand reputation for quality and affordability
- Focus on nutritional education and customer service
- Emphasis on natural and organic products
- Decentralized purchasing system
- Loyal customer base
Weaknesses
- Smaller store footprint compared to larger competitors
- Limited geographic presence
- Higher prices compared to conventional grocers (though competitive within the natural/organic segment)
- Dependence on supplier relationships
- Smaller marketing budget compared to larger chains
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Increased demand for natural and organic products
- Growing consumer interest in health and wellness
- Partnerships with local farmers and suppliers
- Expansion of private-label offerings
Threats
- Increased competition from larger grocery chains
- Economic downturn affecting consumer spending
- Changes in consumer preferences
- Supply chain disruptions
- Regulatory changes in the natural and organic food industry
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Whole Foods Market (AMZN)
- Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)
- Kroger (KR)
Competitive Landscape
Natural Grocers differentiates itself with its focus on nutritional education and affordability. It competes with larger chains like Whole Foods and Kroger, as well as smaller players like Sprouts. Its competitive advantages include a loyal customer base and a strong brand reputation.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by opening new stores and increasing same-store sales. The company has focused on expanding its presence in existing markets and entering new states.
Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on factors such as store expansion plans, market conditions, and competition. Analyst estimates would provide specific growth targets for revenue and earnings.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its private-label product offerings, enhancing its online presence, and investing in infrastructure to support future growth.
Summary
Natural Grocers is a stable company with a solid brand reputation and loyal customer base. Its focus on affordability in the natural and organic market is a key strength. The company faces challenges from larger competitors and needs to carefully manage its growth and expansion. The company must be aware of supply chain issues and a potential down turn in spending.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Research Reports
- Company Website
- SEC Edgar Database
- IBISWorld Research
Disclaimers:
The data provided is based on available information and is subject to change. Market share estimates may vary. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Lakewood, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2012-07-25 | CEO - | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Grocery Stores | Full time employees 3332 | Website https://www.naturalgrocers.com |
Full time employees 3332 | Website https://www.naturalgrocers.com | ||
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, retails natural and organic groceries, and dietary supplements in the United States. The company's stores offer natural and organic grocery products, such as organic produce; private label repackaged bulk products, including dried fruits, nuts, grains, granolas, teas, herbs, and spices, as well as peanut and almond butters; private label products comprising grocery staples, household products, bulk foods, and vitamins and dietary supplements, as well as organic eggs, organic flavored coffee, and organic mustard; dry, frozen, and canned groceries; meat and seafood products; dairy products, dairy substitutes, and eggs; prepared foods; bread and baked products; beverages; and beer, wine, and hard cider products. Its stores also provide name-brand supplements, as well as private label dietary supplements; body care products consisting of cosmetics, skin care, hair care, fragrance, and personal care products containing natural and organic ingredients; pet care and food products; household and general merchandise, including cleaning supplies, paper products, and dish and laundry soaps, as well as other common household products, such as diapers; and books and handouts. The company operates its retail stores under the Natural Grocers, Vitamin Cottage, Health Hotline, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage trademark, as well as Vitamin Cottage Natural Grocers and Health Hotline trademarks. The company also offers science-based nutrition education programs to help customers make informed health and nutrition choices. The company was formerly known as Vitamin Cottage Natural Food Markets, Inc. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.
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