Energy Vault Holdings Inc logo

Energy Vault Holdings Inc(NRGV)

upturn advisory logo
EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$2.62
10/26/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NRGV

10/26/2026: NRGV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Energy Vault Holdings is a renewable energy technology company specializing in grid-scale storage solutions, ranging from proprietary gravity-based systems to integrated lithium-ion battery projects. The company's core strength lies in its diversified technology portfolio and energy management software platform, which aim to address grid intermittency. Its primary growth story involves scaling its gravity storage technology to provide cost-effective, long-duration power. However, investors face risks related to project execution, capital-intensive operations, and intense competition from larger battery integrators. This stock may suit growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance who are looking for exposure to emerging energy transition technologies and are prepared to monitor long-term project deployment progress.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers exposure to high-growth energy transition trends but carries substantial execution and financial risks.
Momentum investorWeak fitMomentum is highly conditional on news flow regarding project completions; fit is only appropriate during confirmed technical breakthroughs.
Value investorWeak fitThe company does not meet traditional value metrics due to lack of profitability and high operational expenditures.
Dividend investorWeak fitThere is no dividend income as capital is entirely dedicated to growth.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe stock's high volatility and early-stage business model are generally unsuitable for risk-averse investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is susceptible to significant price swings driven by project delays and market sentiment on renewable energy.
Valuation riskMedium / highValuation is often based on long-term growth potential rather than current fundamentals, creating downside risk if milestones are missed.
Competition risk (battery integrators)HighEstablished players like Tesla and Fluence possess stronger balance sheets and deeper supply chain access.
Business qualityMediumThe company's technology is innovative, but commercial scalability and profitability remain unproven at mass-market levels.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect any income return from this stock.
Execution riskHighSuccessful long-term value creation depends on meeting project timelines and achieving cost efficiencies in gravity storage construction.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Highly Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Highly Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -6.24%
Avg. Invested days 19
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/26/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
NRGV receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
NRGV has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with soft financial health, solid growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+23.7%) and strong revenue growth (+340.9%) are partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -22.9%), weak profitability (net margin -50.9%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
NRGV's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being soft liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets -14.0%). Overall financial-health metrics support a 2-star score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is NRGV's strongest growth driver at +340.9% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Earnings growth (+23.7%, solid) and free-cash-flow growth (+59.3%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 61.3% and approximately 80.9% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 17.66% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

SB INVESTMENT ADVISERS (UK) LTD 8.54%
BlackRock Inc 6.15%
SCOGGIN LLC 3.40%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 3.32%
Legal & General Group PLC 2.98%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
NRGV generates approximately $236 of gross profit, $-365 of operating income, and $-229 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -8.10% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
NRGV has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 463.69M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.96
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.96
Volume (30-day avg) 4.1M shares
Beta 1.25
52 Weeks Range 2.46 - 6.64
Updated Date 10/25/2026
52 Weeks Range 2.46 - 6.64
Updated Date 10/25/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.67

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Gravity Storage ProjectsDesign, engineering, and equipment delivery for EVx gravity towers.Revenue is recognized when long-term, high-value infrastructure projects reach completion stages.
Battery Energy Storage (BESS)Hardware delivery and integration of lithium-ion systems.A key revenue stream based on current market demand for immediate grid stabilization.
Software ServicesSubscription and licensing fees for the energy management software platform.Provides recurring revenue potential, though it currently represents a smaller portion of total sales.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Advertisement

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 1.02B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.05
Enterprise Value 1.02B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.05
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.51
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.29
Shares Outstanding 181.84M
Shares Floating 147.13M
Shares Outstanding 181.84M
Shares Floating 147.13M
Percent Insiders 17.66
Percent Institutions 61.34

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.