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Upturn AI Summary - About
Energy Vault Holdings Inc(NRGV)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NRGV
10/12/2026: NRGV (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 3 days. Simulated Profits (-21.38%). Updated daily EoD!
Energy Vault Holdings is a small-cap clean-tech firm focused on gravity-based storage and integrated grid-management software. The company offers a unique physical energy storage technology designed to compete with lithium-ion batteries, supported by a growing software platform. Its primary investment story hinges on the large-scale adoption of its storage systems to solve grid intermittency. However, the company faces significant execution, financial, and competitive risks, including intense pressure from established battery providers and ongoing cash burn. NRGV is best suited for speculative investors who believe in the long-term potential of alternative storage solutions and are willing to monitor project commissioning milestones and cash flow developments closely.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | High growth potential is offset by significant execution and financial risks. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock has historically struggled with sustained upward momentum. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | Negative earnings and lack of cash flow make it unattractive for value investors. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | No dividend is paid or expected in the near term. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The stock exhibits high volatility and fundamental business risks. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock experiences significant price swings due to its speculative nature. |
| Valuation risk | High | The company trades based on future potential, leaving it sensitive to growth narrative shifts. |
| Competition risk (Battery and Energy Storage) | High | Large competitors like Tesla have better economies of scale. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business model is in the early stages of proving scalability. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Income investors should not look to NRGV for yield. |
| Execution risk | High | Successfully delivering multi-year utility projects is inherently complex. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Highly Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -6.24% | Avg. Invested days 19 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/12/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 590.98M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.21 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.21 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.9M shares | Beta 1.25 | 52 Weeks Range 2.50 - 6.64 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 2.50 - 6.64 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.67 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Gravity Storage Systems | Design, construction, and licensing of gravity-based energy storage hardware. | Revenue comes from building and deploying physical energy storage infrastructure. |
| Energy Management Software | Software-as-a-Service and licensing for grid management and battery optimization. | Revenue is earned from software that helps utilities manage power grids more efficiently. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1.02B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.62 |
Enterprise Value 1.02B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.62 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.51 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.29 | Shares Outstanding 181.84M | Shares Floating 147.13M |
Shares Outstanding 181.84M | Shares Floating 147.13M | ||
Percent Insiders 17.66 | Percent Institutions 61.23 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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