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Natera Inc (NTRA)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/30/2025: NTRA (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 52 days. Simulated Profits (27.38%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $246.26
1 Year Target Price $246.26
| 12 | Strong Buy |
| 8 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 73.59% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 32.25B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 246.26 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 246.26 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21 | Beta 1.63 | 52 Weeks Range 125.38 - 246.90 | Updated Date 12/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 125.38 - 246.90 | Updated Date 12/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.29 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -14.61% | Operating Margin (TTM) -16.48% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -12.89% | Return on Equity (TTM) -29.02% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 31751126308 | Price to Sales(TTM) 15.24 |
Enterprise Value 31751126308 | Price to Sales(TTM) 15.24 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 15 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -26.8 | Shares Outstanding 139449120 | Shares Floating 133879552 |
Shares Outstanding 139449120 | Shares Floating 133879552 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.09 | Percent Institutions 95.02 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Natera Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Natera Inc. was founded in 2004 and initially focused on molecular diagnostics. The company has evolved significantly, becoming a leader in non-invasive genetic testing, particularly for prenatal and oncology applications. Key milestones include the development and commercialization of its proprietary technology platforms, such as the Panoramau00ae non-invasive prenatal test (NIPT) and the Signaterau2122 molecular residual disease (MRD) test.
Core Business Areas
- Prenatal Diagnostics: Natera's flagship prenatal offerings include the Panoramau00ae NIPT, which screens for common chromosomal aneuploidies, and the Horizonu2122 carrier screening test. These tests utilize Natera's proprietary SNP-based technology for increased accuracy and reduced false positives/negatives.
- Oncology Diagnostics: The Signaterau2122 test is a personalized, tumor-informed molecular residual disease (MRD) test that helps oncologists monitor cancer recurrence and treatment response in real-time. This segment leverages Natera's expertise in liquid biopsy and genomic sequencing.
- Other Genetic Testing: Natera also offers a range of other genetic tests, including those for rare inherited diseases and infectious diseases, catering to various clinical needs.
Leadership and Structure
Natera is led by a management team with extensive experience in biotechnology and healthcare. The company's structure is organized around its core business segments, with dedicated research and development, commercial, and laboratory operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Panoramau00ae NIPT: A leading non-invasive prenatal test for the detection of common chromosomal aneuploidies. Market share is significant within the NIPT market, though precise figures are proprietary. Competitors include Illumina (Verinata Health), Quest Diagnostics, and Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings.
- Signaterau2122: A personalized, tumor-informed molecular residual disease (MRD) test for oncology. This is a rapidly growing segment with increasing adoption. Competitors include Guardant Health, Foundation Medicine (Roche), and Exact Sciences.
- Horizonu2122 Carrier Screening: A comprehensive carrier screening test to identify individuals who are carriers of genetic diseases. Competes with other genetic testing providers offering similar services.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Natera operates within the rapidly expanding diagnostics and precision medicine markets. The demand for genetic testing is driven by advancements in genomic sequencing technology, increased awareness of genetic predispositions to diseases, and the development of personalized treatment strategies.
Positioning
Natera is positioned as a leader in advanced genetic diagnostics, particularly in the prenatal and oncology spaces. Its proprietary technology, commitment to innovation, and strong clinical validation provide competitive advantages.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for Natera's core segments (prenatal diagnostics, oncology diagnostics) is substantial and growing. The global NIPT market is projected to reach tens of billions of dollars, and the oncology diagnostics market, especially for MRD testing, is also expanding significantly. Natera is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through its innovative products and expanding reach.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary technology platforms (e.g., SNP-based technology)
- Strong clinical data and validation for key products
- Expanding product portfolio in high-growth areas (prenatal, oncology)
- Growing market adoption and payer coverage
- Experienced leadership team
Weaknesses
- Reliance on third-party payers and reimbursement rates
- High R&D and operational costs
- Competitive market landscape
- Need for continued innovation to maintain leadership
Opportunities
- Expansion into new therapeutic areas and disease indications
- Further penetration into international markets
- Advancements in AI and machine learning for data analysis
- Partnerships with pharmaceutical companies and research institutions
- Increased adoption of MRD testing in routine clinical practice
Threats
- Regulatory changes and challenges
- New entrants and disruptive technologies
- Pricing pressures from competitors and payers
- Data security and privacy concerns
- Potential for reimbursement cuts
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Illumina, Inc. (ILMN)
- Guardant Health, Inc. (GH)
- Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (DGX)
- Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings (LH)
- Exact Sciences Corporation (EXAS)
- Foundation Medicine, Inc. (a Roche company)
Competitive Landscape
Natera holds a strong competitive position due to its proprietary technology and focus on differentiated products. Its personalized MRD test (Signaterau2122) is a key differentiator in the oncology market. However, it faces intense competition from established diagnostic giants and innovative startups. The ability to secure favorable reimbursement and demonstrate superior clinical utility will be crucial for maintaining its advantage.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Natera has shown consistent historical revenue growth over the past several years, driven by the increasing adoption of its NIPT and Signaterau2122 tests. The company has successfully expanded its sales force and payer coverage.
Future Projections: Analyst projections indicate continued strong revenue growth for Natera in the coming years, fueled by the expanding oncology MRD market and sustained demand for its prenatal diagnostics. The company is expected to move towards profitability as it scales.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the expansion of its Signaterau2122 platform for broader oncology applications, strategic partnerships to increase market access, and ongoing investment in R&D for new diagnostic solutions.
Summary
Natera Inc. is a rapidly growing diagnostics company with strong positions in the prenatal and oncology markets. Its proprietary technology and focus on innovation drive its competitive edge. The company is successfully expanding its revenue and market share, though it continues to invest heavily, resulting in net losses. Key watch points include navigating reimbursement landscapes, managing competitive pressures, and continuing to deliver on its robust pipeline of innovative solutions.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Natera Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Market Research Reports (various)
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data and projections are estimates and subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Natera Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Austin, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-07-02 | CEO & Director Mr. Steven Leonard Chapman | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Diagnostics & Research | Full time employees 4424 | Website https://www.natera.com |
Full time employees 4424 | Website https://www.natera.com | ||
Natera, Inc., a diagnostics company, provides molecular testing services worldwide. Its products include Panorama, a non-invasive prenatal test that screens for chromosomal abnormalities of a fetus, as well as in twin pregnancies; Horizon carrier screening test for individuals and couples determine if they are carriers of genetic variations that cause certain genetic conditions; Vistara single-gene NIPT screens for 25 single-gene disorders; Spectrum, preimplantation genetic tests for couples undergoing IVF; Anora that analyzes miscarriage tissue from women; Empower, a hereditary cancer screening test; and non-invasive prenatal paternity product, which allows a couple to establish paternity without waiting for the child to be born. The company also provides Signatera molecular residual disease test for assessment and surveillance of disease recurrence in patients previously diagnosed with cancer; Altera, a tissue based genomic profiling test, that provides insight into genomic alterations and biomarkers; Prospera to assess active rejection in patients who have undergone kidney, heart, and lung transplantation; and Renasight, a kidney gene panel test. In addition, it offers Constellation, a cloud-based software product. It serves independent laboratories, national and regional reference laboratories, medical centers and physician practices, research laboratories, and pharmaceutical companies through its direct sales force, and a network of laboratory and distribution partners. It has a partnership agreement with BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize NGS-based genetic testing assays; and Foundation Medicine, Inc. to develop and commercialize personalized circulating tumor DNA monitoring assays. The company was formerly known as Gene Security Network, LLC and changed its name to Natera, Inc. in January 2012. Natera, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

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