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Natera Inc (NTRA)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$161.57
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY0.92%
upturn advisory
Regular Buy
BUY since 39 days
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Advisory Summary

07/02/2025: NTRA (4-star) is a REGULAR-BUY. BUY since 39 days. Profits (0.92%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Number of Analysts

rating

21 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $192.78

1 Year Target Price $192.78

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$192.78Target price
Low$92.14
Current$161.57
high$183

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 47.82%
Avg. Invested days 38
Today’s Advisory Regular Buy
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 07/02/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 21.95B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 192.78
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 192.78
Volume (30-day avg) 21
Beta 1.74
52 Weeks Range 92.14 - 183.00
Updated Date 07/2/2025
52 Weeks Range 92.14 - 183.00
Updated Date 07/2/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.46

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-06-12
When After Market
Estimate -0.7
Actual -0.5

Profitability

Profit Margin -10.36%
Operating Margin (TTM) -15.78%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -8.87%
Return on Equity (TTM) -18.66%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 21148400871
Price to Sales(TTM) 11.99
Enterprise Value 21148400871
Price to Sales(TTM) 11.99
Enterprise Value to Revenue 11.55
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -26.8
Shares Outstanding 136547008
Shares Floating 132177089
Shares Outstanding 136547008
Shares Floating 132177089
Percent Insiders 3.25
Percent Institutions 96.37

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4
Target Price 192.78
Buy 8
Strong Buy 12
Buy 8
Strong Buy 12
Hold -
Sell 1
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Natera Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Natera, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas. The company focuses on genetic testing and diagnostics, initially specializing in non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT). Over time, it has expanded its portfolio to include oncology and organ health testing.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Women's Health: Offers non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) like Panorama, which screens for chromosomal abnormalities in a fetus using a blood sample from the mother. It detects conditions like Down syndrome, Edwards syndrome, and Patau syndrome.
  • Oncology: Provides personalized cancer testing services under the Signatera brand. This includes circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) testing to monitor treatment response, detect minimal residual disease (MRD), and identify recurrence in cancer patients.
  • Organ Health: Offers Prospera, a test used to assess organ transplant rejection risk by measuring donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) in the recipient's blood. It aids in managing kidney, heart, and lung transplant patients.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The company is led by Steve Chapman, CEO. The organizational structure consists of functional departments such as R&D, Sales and Marketing, Operations, and Finance, with a board of directors providing oversight.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Panorama NIPT: A non-invasive prenatal test that screens for chromosomal abnormalities. Competitors include Illumina (VeriSeq), Roche (Harmony), and PerkinElmer. Market share information varies but Natera is considered a significant player in the NIPT market. Revenue from this product is not separately disclosed.
  • Prospera: A test to assess organ transplant rejection risk. CareDx is a key competitor (AlloSure). Natera does not disclose exact market share.
  • Signatera ctDNA: A personalized cancer test for monitoring treatment response, detecting MRD, and identifying recurrence. Key competitors include Guardant Health (Guardant360), Exact Sciences (OncoDetect), and Roche. Natera does not disclose exact market share but is considered a key player with Signatera.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The genetic testing and diagnostics industry is experiencing rapid growth, driven by advancements in technology, increasing awareness, and demand for personalized medicine. The market is highly competitive and subject to regulatory oversight.

Positioning

Natera is positioned as a leader in cell-free DNA testing, offering a comprehensive portfolio of products across women's health, oncology, and organ health. Its competitive advantages include its proprietary technology, strong brand reputation, and established relationships with healthcare providers.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for Natera's offerings is substantial, estimated in the billions of dollars across its three core areas. The company is strategically positioned to capture a significant share of this market through continued innovation and expansion of its product portfolio.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Proprietary technology in cell-free DNA analysis
  • Diverse product portfolio across multiple healthcare segments
  • Strong brand recognition and reputation
  • Established relationships with healthcare providers
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • High operating expenses and net losses
  • Reliance on reimbursement from insurance companies
  • Competition from larger, more established players
  • Potential for technological obsolescence

Opportunities

  • Expanding into new geographic markets
  • Developing new diagnostic tests and applications
  • Partnering with pharmaceutical companies
  • Increasing awareness and adoption of genetic testing
  • Growth in personalized medicine

Threats

  • Changes in reimbursement policies
  • Increasing competition
  • Regulatory challenges
  • Potential for patent infringement lawsuits
  • Economic downturn affecting healthcare spending

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • ILMN
  • Caredx
  • GH

Competitive Landscape

Natera's advantages include its innovative technology and diverse product portfolio. Disadvantages include its smaller size and limited financial resources compared to some competitors.

Major Acquisitions

Biotrove, Inc.

  • Year: 2020
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 41
  • Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of core cell-free DNA technology patents.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Natera has experienced significant revenue growth in recent years, driven by increased adoption of its products and expansion into new markets.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued revenue growth for Natera, driven by increasing demand for genetic testing and the company's strong competitive position. However, profitability remains a challenge.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding the Signatera platform for cancer monitoring, developing new tests for organ health, and increasing investments in R&D and sales and marketing.

Summary

Natera has shown significant growth driven by their products in the NIPT, cancer, and organ health spaces. The company's revenue is growing as its market footprint becomes bigger. However, profitability is a problem due to the operational costs of doing business and a high amount of debt. Natera should watch out for potential competition from larger, more established companies, regulatory or reimbursement changes and patent challenges.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Research Reports
  • Market Data

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market share data is approximate and may vary based on source and methodology.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Natera Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Austin, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2015-07-02
CEO & Director Mr. Steven Leonard Chapman
Sector Healthcare
Industry Diagnostics & Research
Full time employees 4424
Full time employees 4424

Natera, Inc., a diagnostics company, provides molecular testing services worldwide. Its products include Panorama, a non-invasive prenatal test that screens for chromosomal abnormalities of a fetus, as well as in twin pregnancies; Horizon carrier screening test for individuals and couples determine if they are carriers of genetic variations that cause certain genetic conditions; Vistara single-gene NIPT screens for 25 single-gene disorders; Spectrum, preimplantation genetic tests for couples undergoing IVF; Anora that analyzes miscarriage tissue from women; Empower, a hereditary cancer screening test; and non-invasive prenatal paternity product, which allows a couple to establish paternity without waiting for the child to be born. The company also provides Signatera molecular residual disease test for assessment and surveillance of disease recurrence in patients previously diagnosed with cancer; Altera, a tissue based genomic profiling test, that provides insight into genomic alterations and biomarkers; Prospera to assess active rejection in patients who have undergone kidney, heart, and lung transplantation; and Renasight, a kidney gene panel test. In addition, it offers Constellation, a cloud-based software product. It serves independent laboratories, national and regional reference laboratories, medical centers and physician practices, research laboratories, and pharmaceutical companies through its direct sales force, and a network of laboratory and distribution partners. It has a partnership agreement with BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize NGS-based genetic testing assays; and Foundation Medicine, Inc. to develop and commercialize personalized circulating tumor DNA monitoring assays. The company was formerly known as Gene Security Network, LLC and changed its name to Natera, Inc. in January 2012. Natera, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.