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Natera Inc (NTRA)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$163.02
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

08/15/2025: NTRA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

21 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $197.8

1 Year Target Price $197.8

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$197.8 Target price
52w Low $110.57
Current$163.02
52w High $183

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 37.1%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/15/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 22.37B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 197.8
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 197.8
Volume (30-day avg) 21
Beta 1.76
52 Weeks Range 110.57 - 183.00
Updated Date 08/16/2025
52 Weeks Range 110.57 - 183.00
Updated Date 08/16/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.91

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-08-07
When -
Estimate -0.62
Actual -0.74

Profitability

Profit Margin -12.89%
Operating Margin (TTM) -20.19%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -11.21%
Return on Equity (TTM) -24.32%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 21554325240
Price to Sales(TTM) 11.39
Enterprise Value 21554325240
Price to Sales(TTM) 11.39
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.97
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -26.8
Shares Outstanding 137248000
Shares Floating 132858912
Shares Outstanding 137248000
Shares Floating 132858912
Percent Insiders 3.21
Percent Institutions 96.85

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Natera Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Natera Inc. was founded in 2003. Initially focused on reproductive health, it has expanded its offerings to include oncology and organ health. A key milestone was the launch of Panorama, a non-invasive prenatal test (NIPT).

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Reproductive Health: Offers non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) services, including Panorama, Vistara, and Horizon, to screen for genetic abnormalities in developing fetuses.
  • Oncology: Provides personalized molecular testing, including Signatera, to detect minimal residual disease (MRD) and recurrence monitoring in cancer patients.
  • Organ Health: Offers Prospera, a test to assess organ health and rejection risk in transplant recipients.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The CEO is Steve Chapman. The company has a typical corporate structure with departments for research and development, sales and marketing, operations, and finance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Panorama: A non-invasive prenatal test (NIPT) that screens for chromosomal abnormalities. Competitors include Illumina (ILMN), Roche (RHHBY).
  • Signatera: A personalized ctDNA test used for MRD assessment and recurrence monitoring in cancer. Competitors include Guardant Health (GH), Exact Sciences (EXAS).
  • Prospera: A donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) test used to assess organ transplant rejection risk. Competitors include CareDx (CDNA).

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The molecular diagnostics market is growing due to advancements in technology, increasing prevalence of genetic disorders and cancer, and rising demand for personalized medicine.

Positioning

Natera is positioned as a leader in non-invasive genetic testing and personalized molecular diagnostics. Its competitive advantages include its proprietary technology and extensive clinical validation.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

Estimated TAM is in the tens of billions of dollars across reproductive health, oncology, and organ health. Natera is positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM with its innovative products and expanding market reach.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Proprietary technology platform
  • Strong clinical validation data
  • Established market presence in NIPT
  • Expanding product portfolio
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • High operating expenses
  • History of net losses
  • Reliance on reimbursement approvals
  • Competition in established markets
  • Patent and intellectual property risks

Opportunities

  • Expanding into new markets and geographies
  • Developing new diagnostic tests
  • Partnering with pharmaceutical companies
  • Increasing adoption of personalized medicine
  • Advancements in genomic sequencing technology

Threats

  • Increasing competition
  • Changes in reimbursement policies
  • Technological disruptions
  • Regulatory hurdles
  • Economic downturns

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • ILMN
  • GH
  • CDNA
  • EXAS
  • ROCHE.SW

Competitive Landscape

Natera faces competition from established players and emerging companies. Natera's strengths include its proprietary technology and strong clinical validation. Its weaknesses include its high operating expenses and history of net losses.

Major Acquisitions

GeneDx

  • Year: 2024
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 650
  • Strategic Rationale: Expand into exome sequencing services and gain access to a large patient database.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Natera has experienced rapid revenue growth in recent years, driven by increasing adoption of its NIPT and cancer testing products.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates project continued revenue growth for Natera, driven by expansion into new markets and increasing adoption of its products. Profitability is expected to improve over time.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its sales force, launching new products, and pursuing strategic partnerships.

Summary

Natera is a growing molecular diagnostics company with innovative technologies in reproductive health, oncology, and organ health. Despite its high operating expenses and history of losses, the company's strong technology and expanding market presence position it for future growth. Reimbursement approvals and competition remain key challenges. Successful execution of strategic initiatives is essential for continued success.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings, Analyst reports, Industry publications

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on thorough research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Natera Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Austin, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2015-07-02
CEO & Director Mr. Steven Leonard Chapman
Sector Healthcare
Industry Diagnostics & Research
Full time employees 4424
Full time employees 4424

Natera, Inc., a diagnostics company, provides molecular testing services worldwide. Its products include Panorama, a non-invasive prenatal test that screens for chromosomal abnormalities of a fetus, as well as in twin pregnancies; Horizon carrier screening test for individuals and couples determine if they are carriers of genetic variations that cause certain genetic conditions; Vistara single-gene NIPT screens for 25 single-gene disorders; Spectrum, preimplantation genetic tests for couples undergoing IVF; Anora that analyzes miscarriage tissue from women; Empower, a hereditary cancer screening test; and non-invasive prenatal paternity product, which allows a couple to establish paternity without waiting for the child to be born. The company also provides Signatera molecular residual disease test for assessment and surveillance of disease recurrence in patients previously diagnosed with cancer; Altera, a tissue based genomic profiling test, that provides insight into genomic alterations and biomarkers; Prospera to assess active rejection in patients who have undergone kidney, heart, and lung transplantation; and Renasight, a kidney gene panel test. In addition, it offers Constellation, a cloud-based software product. It serves independent laboratories, national and regional reference laboratories, medical centers and physician practices, research laboratories, and pharmaceutical companies through its direct sales force, and a network of laboratory and distribution partners. It has a partnership agreement with BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize NGS-based genetic testing assays; and Foundation Medicine, Inc. to develop and commercialize personalized circulating tumor DNA monitoring assays. The company was formerly known as Gene Security Network, LLC and changed its name to Natera, Inc. in January 2012. Natera, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.