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DR Horton Inc(DHI)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
2-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$141.51
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

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*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for DHI

09/25/2026: DHI (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

DR Horton Inc is the largest residential homebuilder in the United States, focusing on a diverse portfolio that includes entry-level and luxury single-family homes. The company excels at operational efficiency, leveraging its vast scale and internal mortgage services to provide affordable options to a broad buyer base. Its primary growth opportunity lies in addressing the structural housing supply deficit across the US market. However, investors should be mindful of risks including interest rate sensitivity, input cost inflation, and the cyclical nature of the housing sector. It is suitable for investors seeking exposure to the housing cycle, though it may experience periods of high price volatility.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company has a history of expanding market share and revenue through scalable operations.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock often trends with housing market cycles and general economic strength.
Value investorStrong fitThe stock frequently trades at reasonable price-to-earnings multiples relative to its growth potential.
Dividend investorMixed fitWhile the dividend is reliable, yields are generally moderate compared to high-income sectors.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe cyclical nature of the homebuilding industry introduces inherent market and interest rate volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highThe stock reacts significantly to interest rate changes and housing data updates.
Valuation riskMediumInvestors must monitor earnings multiples against expected cyclical peaks.
Competition risk (Housing industry)MediumThe market is fragmented with many strong regional and national competitors.
Business qualityStrongThe company has a long-established operational track record and scale.
Dividend incomeLowDividends are secure but not the primary driver of total returns.
Execution riskMediumSuccess depends on managing land inventory and labor costs effectively.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 26.03%
Avg. Invested days 37
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
DHI receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
DHI has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid cash generation (FCF margin 9.6%) and solid profitability (net margin 10.5%) are partially offset by negative earnings growth (-24.6%), negative revenue growth (-6.9%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
DHI's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $3.3B (9.6% of revenue). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is DHI's strongest growth driver at +62.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-6.9%, negative) and earnings growth (-24.6%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 87.9% and approximately 89.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 10.40% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Capital World Investors 13.33%
BlackRock Inc 9.95%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.16%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.49%
State Street Corp 4.24%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
DHI generates approximately $237 of gross profit, $129 of operating income, and $96 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 23.61%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
DHI has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltHigh VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 39.26B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 13.39
1Y Target Price 159.83
Price to earnings Ratio 13.39
1Y Target Price 159.83
Volume (30-day avg) 2.3M shares
Beta 1.37
52 Weeks Range 130.96 - 174.13
Updated Date 09/25/2026
52 Weeks Range 130.96 - 174.13
Updated Date 09/25/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.25%
Basic EPS (TTM) 10.48

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
HomebuildingConstruction and sale of new residential homes across the US.This is the core engine, driving the vast majority of total revenue.
Financial ServicesMortgage, title, and insurance services for homebuyers.Provides a secondary income stream and helps pull through home sales.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 13.39
Forward PE 11.95
Enterprise Value 44.31B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.18
Enterprise Value 44.31B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.18
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.33
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.31
Shares Outstanding 279.70M
Shares Floating 250.60M
Shares Outstanding 279.70M
Shares Floating 250.60M
Percent Insiders 10.4
Percent Institutions 87.91

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About DR Horton Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Arlington, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 1992-06-05
President, CEO & Director Mr. Paul J. Romanowski
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Residential Construction
Full time employees 14341
Full time employees 14341

D.R. Horton, Inc. operates as a homebuilding company in East, North, Southeast, South Central, Southwest, and Northwest regions in the United States. It engages in the acquisition and development of land; and construction and sale of residential homes in 126 markets across 36 states under the names of D.R. Horton. The company also constructs and sells single-family detached homes; and attached homes, such as townhomes and duplexes. In addition, it provides mortgage financing and title agency services; and engages in the residential lot development business. Further, the company develops, constructs, owns, leases, and sells multi-family and single-family rental properties; conducts insurance-related operations; and owns water rights and other water-related assets, as well as non-residential real estate, including ranch land and improvements. It primarily serves homebuyers. D.R. Horton, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas.