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Old National Bancorp (ONB)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/08/2025: ONB (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $25.75
1 Year Target Price $25.75
| 5 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -29.05% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.77B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.19 | 1Y Target Price 25.75 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.19 | 1Y Target Price 25.75 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 11 | Beta 0.84 | 52 Weeks Range 16.51 - 23.88 | Updated Date 12/8/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 16.51 - 23.88 | Updated Date 12/8/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.51% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.7 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 28.73% | Operating Margin (TTM) 40.65% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.97% | Return on Equity (TTM) 8.27% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.19 | Forward PE 8.36 | Enterprise Value 14357281792 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.15 |
Enterprise Value 14357281792 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.15 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.64 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 390773000 | Shares Floating 387447522 |
Shares Outstanding 390773000 | Shares Floating 387447522 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.66 | Percent Institutions 96.87 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Old National Bancorp

Company Overview
History and Background
Old National Bancorp, founded in 1893 in Evansville, Indiana, began as a local savings and loan association. It has grown organically and through strategic acquisitions, expanding its geographic footprint and service offerings. Significant milestones include its transition to a bank holding company, listing on the NYSE, and numerous successful mergers that have broadened its reach across the Midwest.
Core Business Areas
- Commercial Banking: Provides a full range of lending and deposit services to businesses, including small and medium-sized enterprises, as well as larger commercial clients. This includes commercial real estate loans, working capital lines of credit, and treasury management services.
- Consumer Banking: Offers a comprehensive suite of retail banking products such as checking and savings accounts, mortgages, auto loans, and personal loans to individuals and families.
- Wealth Management: Includes investment services, trust services, estate planning, and financial advisory for individuals, families, and institutions. This segment aims to provide comprehensive financial planning and asset management.
- Insurance Services: Through its subsidiary, Old National Insurance, the company offers a range of insurance products including property and casualty, life, and employee benefits for commercial and individual clients.
Leadership and Structure
Old National Bancorp is led by a Board of Directors and a senior executive team. The company operates with a divisional structure that aligns with its core business areas and geographic regions, allowing for focused strategies and execution.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Commercial Loans: Includes term loans, lines of credit, and commercial real estate financing. Competitors include large national banks and regional banks. Specific market share data for this product is not publicly disclosed.
- Consumer Deposits (Checking & Savings): Offers various deposit accounts for individuals and businesses. Competitors are numerous, ranging from large national banks to credit unions. Specific market share data for this product is not publicly disclosed.
- Mortgage Lending: Provides residential mortgage products. Key competitors include national mortgage lenders, other banks, and credit unions. Specific market share data for this product is not publicly disclosed.
- Wealth Management Services: Includes investment advisory, trust, and retirement planning. Competitors are broad, encompassing independent financial advisors, other banks' wealth divisions, and dedicated investment firms. Specific market share data for this product is not publicly disclosed.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The banking industry in the US is mature and highly competitive, characterized by ongoing consolidation, technological advancements (fintech), evolving regulatory landscapes, and interest rate sensitivity. Regional banks like Old National Bancorp often focus on community relationships and personalized service to differentiate themselves from larger national players.
Positioning
Old National Bancorp is positioned as a super-community bank, leveraging its strong regional presence in the Midwest. Its competitive advantages lie in its established customer relationships, tailored financial solutions, and commitment to community involvement. The bank aims to combine the personalized service of a community bank with the capabilities of a larger financial institution.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for banking services in the US is substantial, encompassing trillions of dollars in deposits and loans. Old National Bancorp's TAM is focused on its operational footprint, primarily the Midwest, where it competes for a share of commercial, consumer, and wealth management needs within its specific markets. Its positioning is to capture a significant portion of this regional TAM through organic growth and strategic acquisitions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong regional presence and brand recognition in the Midwest.
- Diversified revenue streams from commercial banking, consumer banking, wealth management, and insurance.
- History of successful acquisitions and integration.
- Focus on customer relationships and community involvement.
- Experienced management team.
Weaknesses
- Geographic concentration limits exposure to other high-growth markets.
- Susceptible to economic downturns in its core operating regions.
- Competition from larger national banks with broader reach and deeper pockets.
- Reliance on interest rate spreads for a significant portion of profitability.
Opportunities
- Continued consolidation in the regional banking sector for strategic acquisitions.
- Expansion of digital banking capabilities and fintech partnerships.
- Growth in wealth management services driven by an aging population and wealth transfer.
- Cross-selling opportunities to existing and acquired customer bases.
- Economic growth and development in its operating states.
Threats
- Intensifying competition from traditional banks, credit unions, and fintech disruptors.
- Rising interest rates could increase funding costs and impact loan demand.
- Cybersecurity threats and data breaches.
- Changes in banking regulations and compliance costs.
- Economic recession or downturn impacting credit quality and loan growth.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB)
- KeyCorp (KEY)
- Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN)
- Comerica Incorporated (CMA)
Competitive Landscape
Old National Bancorp competes in a market with larger national banks that have greater brand recognition and resources, as well as numerous smaller community banks and credit unions. ONB's advantage lies in its ability to offer a broader range of services than smaller institutions while maintaining a more personal touch and regional focus than super-regional or national banks.
Major Acquisitions
First Midwest Bancorp
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2200
- Strategic Rationale: The acquisition of First Midwest Bancorp significantly expanded Old National's geographic footprint into attractive markets in Illinois, Wisconsin, and Michigan, creating a larger, more diversified, and scale-advantaged banking franchise with enhanced cross-selling opportunities and operational efficiencies.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Old National Bancorp has demonstrated historical growth through a combination of organic expansion and strategic acquisitions. This has led to an increase in its asset base, loan portfolios, and geographic reach across the Midwest. The company has a proven track record of integrating acquired entities successfully.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates for future growth are based on economic forecasts, industry trends, and the company's strategic initiatives. Projections typically focus on revenue growth, earnings per share (EPS) expansion, and potential for further market share gains. Specific projections can be found in analyst reports and company guidance.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives likely include further geographic expansion through acquisitions, enhancements to digital banking platforms, optimization of its branch network, and a continued focus on expanding its wealth management and commercial banking segments. The integration of recent acquisitions remains a key initiative.
Summary
Old National Bancorp is a well-established regional bank demonstrating consistent growth through a combination of organic strategies and successful acquisitions, most notably First Midwest Bancorp. Its diversified business model, strong community focus, and expanding Midwest presence are key strengths. However, it faces intense competition and is susceptible to regional economic fluctuations and interest rate changes, requiring continued focus on digital innovation and efficient integration of acquisitions.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Old National Bancorp Investor Relations
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial data aggregators (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Yahoo Finance)
- Industry analysis reports
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is estimated and based on publicly available information and may not be precise. Historical financial performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Old National Bancorp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Evansville, IN, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1990-03-26 | CEO & Chairman Mr. James C. Ryan III | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Banks - Regional | Full time employees 5243 | Website https://www.oldnational.com |
Full time employees 5243 | Website https://www.oldnational.com | ||
Old National Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Old National Bank that provides consumer and commercial banking services in the United States. It accepts deposit accounts, such as noninterest-bearing demand, interest-bearing checking and negotiable order of withdrawal, savings and money market, and time deposits. The company also offers loans, including home equity lines of credit, residential real estate loans, and consumer loans, as well as loans to commercial clients comprising commercial loans, commercial real estate loans, agricultural loans, letters of credit, and lease financing. In addition, it provides debit and automated teller machine cards, telephone access and online banking, and other electronic and mobile banking services. Further, the company offers private banking, wealth management, trust, investment advisory, brokerage, and foreign currency services; treasury management, merchant, and capital markets services for businesses; and community development lending and equity investment solutions. Old National Bancorp was founded in 1834 and is headquartered in Evansville, Indiana.

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