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Upturn AI Summary - About
Pool Corporation(POOL)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for POOL
10/16/2026: POOL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Pool Corporation is the leading wholesale distributor of swimming pool equipment, parts, and maintenance products, operating a model that benefits from both new construction and a large base of recurring service needs. Its main business strengths include a massive distribution network and strong ties to service professionals, which together create a resilient market position. The primary growth opportunity lies in capitalizing on the massive installed base of existing pools and continuing to consolidate the fragmented distribution market through selective acquisitions. Key risks include sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts in the housing market and potential margin compression from competitive retail channels. The stock is a suitable consideration for income-focused investors who value a history of consistent dividend growth and long-term stability.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely tied to macro housing trends rather than disruptive technological innovation. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often trends well during periods of high consumer confidence in home improvements. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The stock typically trades at a premium multiple due to its perceived quality and market leadership. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company has a reliable history of returning capital to shareholders through consistent dividend payouts. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While the business is stable, the stock can experience volatility tied to housing and economic cycles. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock is sensitive to interest rates and housing market sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Investors often pay a premium for the company's strong market position. |
| Competition risk (Retail and Distribution) | Medium | Competition from big-box stores and large industrial distributors poses a constant challenge. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company maintains a high-quality, recurring revenue model built on essential maintenance supplies. |
| Dividend income | Medium / high | Dividends are well-supported but the yield may be modest relative to pure income plays. |
| Execution risk | Low | The company has a long track record of successfully integrating regional acquisitions. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -55.41% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/16/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.27B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 15.85 | 1Y Target Price 207.42 |
Price to earnings Ratio 15.85 | 1Y Target Price 207.42 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 840.5K shares | Beta 1.04 | 52 Weeks Range 152.70 - 298.10 | Updated Date 10/16/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 152.70 - 298.10 | Updated Date 10/16/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.99% | Basic EPS (TTM) 10.89 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Pool Equipment and Supplies | Pumps, filters, heaters, and maintenance chemicals sold to contractors. | The company makes the majority of its money acting as the vital middleman between manufacturers and the people who fix pools. |
| Geography | North American and international sales centers. | Most revenue is generated in the US, with success heavily tied to suburban home ownership and warm climates. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-22 | When Before Market | Estimate 3.36 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.41% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.14% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.9% | Return on Equity (TTM) 31.25% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 15.85 | Forward PE 17.09 | Enterprise Value 8.26B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.16 |
Enterprise Value 8.26B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.16 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.54 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.93 | Shares Outstanding 36.34M | Shares Floating 35.06M |
Shares Outstanding 36.34M | Shares Floating 35.06M | ||
Percent Insiders 3.54 | Percent Institutions 112.22 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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