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Portillo\'s Inc (PTLO)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/01/2025: PTLO (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $15.3
1 Year Target Price $15.3
5 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
4 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -11.2% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 747.84M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 27.14 | 1Y Target Price 15.3 |
Price to earnings Ratio 27.14 | 1Y Target Price 15.3 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 1.88 | 52 Weeks Range 8.38 - 15.78 | Updated Date 07/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.38 - 15.78 | Updated Date 07/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.43 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-06-03 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.0475 | Actual 0.0498 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.92% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.83% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.47% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.12% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 27.14 | Forward PE 27.86 | Enterprise Value 1347148938 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.04 |
Enterprise Value 1347148938 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.04 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.87 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.14 | Shares Outstanding 64082500 | Shares Floating 57435889 |
Shares Outstanding 64082500 | Shares Floating 57435889 | ||
Percent Insiders 6.69 | Percent Institutions 96.25 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 15.3 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 5 |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy 5 | ||
Hold 4 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Portillo's Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Portillo's Inc. traces its roots to 1963, when Dick Portillo opened a hot dog stand called 'The Dog House' in Villa Park, Illinois. Over time, it evolved into a full-service restaurant chain known for its Chicago-style cuisine. The company expanded gradually in the Midwest before going public in 2021.
Core Business Areas
- Restaurant Operations: The company operates a chain of fast-casual restaurants primarily serving Chicago-style food, including hot dogs, Italian beef sandwiches, and salads.
Leadership and Structure
Michael Osanloo serves as the Chief Executive Officer. The company operates with a standard corporate structure, with various departments overseeing operations, marketing, finance, and development. It is structured in a standard C-suite and department head approach.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Chicago-Style Hot Dogs: Portillo's is famous for its Chicago-style hot dogs, served with mustard, relish, onions, tomatoes, sport peppers, and celery salt on a poppy seed bun. Competitors include Wieners Circle and Superdawg. Market share not specifically available as hot dogs are a part of a wider product offering. This revenue stream generates a substantial share of the total company revenue.
- Italian Beef Sandwiches: Another signature item, the Italian Beef sandwich, features thinly sliced beef simmered in au jus and served on Italian bread, often with giardiniera. Competitors include Al's Beef and Mr. Beef. Market share not specifically available as Italian beef is a part of a wider product offering. This revenue stream generates a substantial share of the total company revenue.
- Chocolate Cake: Portillo's Chocolate Cake has gained a cult following and is a significant contributor to their dessert sales. Competitors include other restaurant chains with dessert offerings and bakery shops. This revenue stream generates a smaller share of the total company revenue compared to hot dogs and beef.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The restaurant industry is highly competitive, with various segments, including fast food, fast casual, and full-service restaurants. Trends include a focus on convenience, digital ordering, and healthier options.
Positioning
Portillo's occupies a unique niche in the fast-casual segment, offering a differentiated menu focused on Chicago-style food. Its competitive advantages include a strong brand reputation, loyal customer base, and unique dining experience.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the fast-casual restaurant market in the US is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Portillo's has a small percentage of this market but is positioned to expand.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Loyal customer base
- Unique menu offering
- Efficient operations
- High-quality ingredients
Weaknesses
- Geographic concentration in the Midwest
- Limited menu diversification
- Reliance on specific suppliers
- Vulnerability to commodity price fluctuations
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Menu innovation and new product development
- Enhancement of digital ordering and delivery capabilities
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions
Threats
- Intense competition in the restaurant industry
- Changing consumer preferences
- Economic downturns
- Rising labor costs
- Supply chain disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- MCD
- WEN
- CMG
Competitive Landscape
Portillo's faces competition from national fast-food chains and regional fast-casual restaurants. Its advantages include a unique menu, strong brand, and loyal customer base. Disadvantages are a smaller footprint and lower brand awareness compared to major national chains.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Portillo's has experienced steady growth in revenue and restaurant count. The company has focused on expanding its footprint in existing and new markets.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued growth in revenue and earnings per share, driven by new restaurant openings and same-store sales growth.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include new restaurant openings, menu innovations, and enhancements to digital ordering and delivery platforms.
Summary
Portillo's is a growing fast-casual restaurant chain with a strong brand and loyal customer base. Its unique Chicago-style menu differentiates it from competitors. The company needs to focus on expanding its geographic footprint and diversifying its menu while managing rising costs and intense competition. Overall, Portillo's fundamentals are solid, but its small size compared to competitors poses a challenge.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Industry reports
- Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share data is approximate and based on available information. Real-time financial data was not accessible for this analysis.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Portillo's Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Oak Brook, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-10-21 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Michael Osanloo J.D. | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 8512 | Website https://www.portillos.com |
Full time employees 8512 | Website https://www.portillos.com |
Portillo's Inc. owns and operates fast casual restaurants in the United States. The company offers Chicago-style hot dogs and sausages, Italian beef sandwiches, char-grilled burgers, chopped salads, crinkle-cut and cheese fries, homemade chocolate cakes, and chocolate cake shake. It also operates a food truck under The Beef Bus name; and a ghost kitchen. In addition, the company provides delivery services through its application and website, as well as third-party delivery platforms. Further, it sells gift cards. Portillo's Inc. was founded in 1963 and is based in Oak Brook, Illinois.
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