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Portillo\'s Inc (PTLO)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: PTLO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $7.9
1 Year Target Price $7.9
| 5 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 4 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -15.19% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 327.29M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.64 | 1Y Target Price 7.9 |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.64 | 1Y Target Price 7.9 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 1.75 | 52 Weeks Range 4.41 - 15.78 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 4.41 - 15.78 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.36 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.35% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.84% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.12% | Return on Equity (TTM) 5.64% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.64 | Forward PE 15.43 | Enterprise Value 965368028 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.45 |
Enterprise Value 965368028 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.45 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.32 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.47 | Shares Outstanding 71932314 | Shares Floating 70197307 |
Shares Outstanding 71932314 | Shares Floating 70197307 | ||
Percent Insiders 6.71 | Percent Institutions 80.44 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Portillo's Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Portillo's Inc. was founded by Dick Portillo in 1963 in Downers Grove, Illinois. Initially a hot dog stand called 'The Dog House', it quickly evolved into Portillo's Hot Dogs, becoming a beloved Chicago-area institution known for its Chicago-style hot dogs, Italian beef sandwiches, and a unique diner-like atmosphere. Key milestones include rapid expansion across Illinois and into other states, diversification of its menu, and its eventual acquisition by Berkshire Partners in 2014, followed by a successful IPO in 2021 under the ticker PTLO.
Core Business Areas
- Restaurant Operations: Portillo's operates a chain of fast-casual restaurants primarily in the Midwest and South regions of the United States. The core business is the sale of a differentiated menu of Chicago-style comfort food, including hot dogs, Italian beef sandwiches, burgers, salads, and desserts, within a distinctive themed dining environment.
- Off-Premise Dining: A significant and growing component of the business is off-premise dining, encompassing takeout, drive-thru, catering, and delivery services, which contribute substantially to overall revenue.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team is headed by Michael D. R. Portillo (son of founder Dick Portillo) as Executive Chairman and Chief Concept Officer. Kristin K. King serves as the Chief Executive Officer. The company is structured around restaurant operations, marketing, supply chain, and finance departments, with a board of directors overseeing strategic direction.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Chicago-Style Hot Dogs: Portillo's iconic Chicago-style hot dogs are a signature item, featuring all-beef hot dogs topped with mustard, relish, onions, tomato, pickle spear, sport peppers, and celery salt on a poppy seed bun. While specific market share for individual menu items is not publicly disclosed, this is a primary driver of customer visits and brand identity. Competitors include other hot dog vendors, fast-food chains with hot dog options, and local delis.
- Italian Beef Sandwiches: Another signature item, the Italian beef sandwich is slow-roasted beef, thinly sliced, and served on a French roll, often 'dipped' in au jus. This is a highly sought-after item, especially among Chicago transplants and fans of Chicago cuisine. Competitors include other sandwich shops and delis specializing in regional sandwiches.
- Cakes: Portillo's is also known for its large, elaborate cakes, particularly the 'Chocolate Cake' and 'Torta Italiana', which are popular for celebrations and as desserts. These compete with desserts offered by other casual dining and fast-casual restaurants.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Portillo's operates within the highly competitive fast-casual restaurant sector, which is characterized by a demand for quality food, convenience, and a unique dining experience. The industry has seen growth driven by off-premise dining options, including delivery and digital ordering, and a consumer preference for 'premium' fast-food alternatives.
Positioning
Portillo's distinguishes itself through its unique Chicago-themed atmosphere, a limited but high-quality menu of iconic comfort foods, and strong brand loyalty cultivated over decades. Its competitive advantages include its differentiated product offering, strong brand recognition in its core markets, and an effective omnichannel strategy that leverages both dine-in and off-premise channels.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The fast-casual dining market in the US is substantial, with estimates varying but generally in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Portillo's is positioned as a niche player within this larger market, focusing on its specific culinary niche and geographic expansion strategy. Its TAM is currently limited by its store footprint but has potential for growth as it expands into new markets.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty, particularly in its home market.
- Differentiated and iconic menu items that are difficult to replicate.
- Effective operational model supporting high-volume sales and efficient service.
- Successful integration of off-premise dining channels (delivery, catering, drive-thru).
- Unique and engaging restaurant atmosphere that enhances the customer experience.
Weaknesses
- Geographic concentration, with a significant portion of revenue derived from a few core states.
- Dependence on a limited menu, which may limit appeal to a broader national palate without adaptation.
- Potential challenges in scaling the unique atmosphere and operational complexity to new, diverse markets.
- Reliance on key suppliers for specific ingredients.
Opportunities
- Expansion into new, untapped geographic markets within the US.
- Further development and optimization of digital ordering and delivery platforms.
- Introduction of new menu items that align with brand identity but broaden appeal.
- Leveraging catering services for increased revenue streams.
- Potential for franchising or strategic partnerships to accelerate growth.
Threats
- Intense competition from other fast-casual and QSR chains.
- Rising food and labor costs impacting profit margins.
- Changes in consumer dining habits and preferences.
- Economic downturns affecting consumer discretionary spending.
- Supply chain disruptions and potential ingredient shortages.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- McDonald's (MCD)
- Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)
- Domino's Pizza (DPZ)
- Starbucks (SBUX)
Competitive Landscape
Portillo's operates in a segment with large, established players and numerous smaller competitors. Its advantage lies in its unique product offering and strong brand identity within its niche. However, it faces challenges from larger chains with greater brand reach and deeper pockets for marketing and expansion. Its differentiation is key to capturing market share against more generic fast-food options.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Portillo's has a history of consistent revenue growth, driven by both same-store sales increases and new store openings. The company has demonstrated an ability to scale its proven operating model.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue and earnings growth for Portillo's, driven by its expansion into new markets and the ongoing strength of its off-premise sales channels. Projections often anticipate mid-to-high single-digit same-store sales growth and significant new unit development over the next several years.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include strategic new store openings in markets outside of its traditional footprint, enhancements to its digital ordering and delivery infrastructure, and ongoing efforts to optimize menu offerings and operational efficiency.
Summary
Portillo's Inc. is a well-loved fast-casual chain with a strong brand and unique menu. Its financial performance has been improving, with consistent revenue growth and increasing profitability. The company's strengths lie in its differentiated offerings and loyal customer base, while opportunities exist in market expansion and digital channel enhancement. Key threats include intense competition and rising operational costs. Overall, Portillo's is positioned for continued growth, but careful management of expansion costs and competitive pressures will be crucial.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Portillo's Inc. SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial news and data providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg)
- Industry research reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered investment advice. Financial data may be subject to revision. Market share data for individual companies and specific product lines is often estimated or proprietary and may not be exact.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Portillo's Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Oak Brook, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-10-21 | Chairman of the Board & Interim CEO Mr. Michael A. Miles Jr. | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 8512 | Website https://www.portillos.com |
Full time employees 8512 | Website https://www.portillos.com | ||
Portillo's Inc. owns and operates fast casual restaurants in the United States. The company offers Chicago-style hot dogs and sausages, Italian beef sandwiches, char-grilled burgers, chopped salads, crinkle-cut and cheese fries, homemade chocolate cakes, and chocolate cake shake. It also operates a food truck under The Beef Bus name; and a ghost kitchen. In addition, the company provides delivery services through its application and website, as well as third-party delivery platforms. Further, it sells gift cards. Portillo's Inc. was founded in 1963 and is based in Oak Brook, Illinois.

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