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Portillo\'s Inc (PTLO)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: PTLO (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $11.9
1 Year Target Price $11.9
5 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
4 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -15.19% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 553.67M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 16.74 | 1Y Target Price 11.9 |
Price to earnings Ratio 16.74 | 1Y Target Price 11.9 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 1.82 | 52 Weeks Range 7.20 - 15.78 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 7.20 - 15.78 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.46 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-05 | When - | Estimate 0.12 | Actual 0.12 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.19% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.1% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.39% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.4% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 16.74 | Forward PE 18.02 | Enterprise Value 1167209966 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.76 |
Enterprise Value 1167209966 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.76 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.15 | Shares Outstanding 71905600 | Shares Floating 65043631 |
Shares Outstanding 71905600 | Shares Floating 65043631 | ||
Percent Insiders 6.08 | Percent Institutions 89.38 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Portillo's Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Portillo's Inc was founded in 1963 in Villa Park, Illinois, by Dick Portillo. Originally a small hot dog stand named 'The Dog House', it evolved into a popular chain known for its Chicago-style food and distinctive atmosphere. The company expanded gradually throughout Illinois and eventually into other states. In 2021, Portillo's went public.
Core Business Areas
- Restaurant Operations: Operates and franchises fast-casual restaurants under the Portillo's brand, serving a variety of Chicago-style foods.
Leadership and Structure
Michael Osanloo is the Chief Executive Officer. The organizational structure includes executive leadership overseeing various departments such as operations, marketing, finance, and human resources. They have a Board of Directors overseeing the company's strategy and performance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Chicago-Style Hot Dogs: Portillo's signature item, featuring a steamed poppy seed bun, mustard, relish, onions, tomato, pickle spear, sport peppers, and celery salt. Market share data is difficult to pinpoint specifically for hot dogs, but Portillo's is a major player in the Chicago-style segment. Competitors include Wieners Circle, Superdawg, and numerous local Chicago hot dog stands.
- Italian Beef Sandwiches: Another popular item, consisting of thinly sliced beef simmered in au jus and served on a roll, often with giardiniera or sweet peppers. Competitors include Al's Beef, Johnnie's Beef, and similar Italian beef restaurants.
- Chocolate Cake: A popular dessert offering known for its moistness and richness. Competitors include various bakeries and restaurants offering similar desserts.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The fast-casual restaurant industry is highly competitive and characterized by evolving consumer preferences, increasing health consciousness, and technological advancements like online ordering and delivery. There's a growing emphasis on convenience, quality ingredients, and unique dining experiences.
Positioning
Portillo's is positioned as a unique fast-casual dining experience, emphasizing Chicago-style food and a nostalgic atmosphere. Its competitive advantages include strong brand recognition in the Midwest, a loyal customer base, and a differentiated menu.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for fast-casual restaurants in the US is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Portillo's is well positioned with a unique regional cuisine offering and nationwide expansion plans, but they are still relatively small compared to the overall TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Loyal customer base
- Differentiated menu
- Efficient operations
- High average unit volumes
Weaknesses
- Limited geographic presence (primarily Midwest)
- Vulnerability to commodity price fluctuations
- Menu focused on less healthy options
- Relatively high labor costs
Opportunities
- Geographic expansion
- Menu innovation to cater to health-conscious consumers
- Enhanced digital ordering and delivery capabilities
- Expansion of catering services
- Development of new store formats
Threats
- Increased competition from other fast-casual chains
- Changing consumer preferences
- Economic downturns
- Rising labor costs
- Supply chain disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- MCD
- WEN
- SHAK
Competitive Landscape
Portillo's has a unique advantage with its Chicago-style menu and strong brand recognition, but it faces significant competition from larger national chains like McDonald's and Wendy's. Shake Shack competes in the premium burger segment.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Portillo's has experienced consistent growth in revenue and store count in recent years, driven by both organic expansion and new restaurant openings. However, the exact rates vary by year and economic conditions.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Portillo's, driven by its expansion plans and strong brand recognition. Estimates vary depending on market conditions and the company's execution of its strategy.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include new restaurant openings in different states, menu innovations, and improvements to the digital ordering and delivery platform.
Summary
Portillo's is a growing fast-casual chain with a strong brand and loyal customer base, particularly in the Midwest. Its unique menu offers a competitive advantage, but it needs to manage costs and expand its geographic presence to maintain its growth trajectory. Watching for economic downturns and changing consumer preferences are important to keep in mind.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (SEC)
- Market research reports
- Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, and investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions. Market share estimates are approximate and may vary by source. Financial data needs to be updated to the latest fiscal year.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Portillo's Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Oak Brook, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-10-21 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Michael Osanloo J.D. | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 8512 | Website https://www.portillos.com |
Full time employees 8512 | Website https://www.portillos.com |
Portillo's Inc. owns and operates fast casual restaurants in the United States. The company offers Chicago-style hot dogs and sausages, Italian beef sandwiches, char-grilled burgers, chopped salads, crinkle-cut and cheese fries, homemade chocolate cakes, and chocolate cake shake. It also operates a food truck under The Beef Bus name; and a ghost kitchen. In addition, the company provides delivery services through its application and website, as well as third-party delivery platforms. Further, it sells gift cards. Portillo's Inc. was founded in 1963 and is based in Oak Brook, Illinois.

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