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Shake Shack Inc (SHAK)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/09/2025: SHAK (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $114.36
1 Year Target Price $114.36
| 8 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 13 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 79.7% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.32B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 76.33 | 1Y Target Price 114.36 |
Price to earnings Ratio 76.33 | 1Y Target Price 114.36 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 24 | Beta 1.67 | 52 Weeks Range 72.93 - 144.65 | Updated Date 12/9/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 72.93 - 144.65 | Updated Date 12/9/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.02 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.1% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.19% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.11% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.08% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 76.33 | Forward PE 52.36 | Enterprise Value 3637221549 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.42 |
Enterprise Value 3637221549 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.42 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.65 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.86 | Shares Outstanding 40253589 | Shares Floating 38438555 |
Shares Outstanding 40253589 | Shares Floating 38438555 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.53 | Percent Institutions 105.09 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Shake Shack Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Shake Shack Inc. originated in 2001 as a hot dog cart in Madison Square Park, New York City, founded by Danny Meyer. It evolved into a fast-casual restaurant chain focusing on high-quality burgers, hot dogs, frozen custard, and shakes. The company went public on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: SHAK) in February 2015.
Core Business Areas
- Shack Restaurants: Operates company-owned and franchised restaurants offering a menu of premium burgers, chicken items, fries, hot dogs, shakes, and frozen custard. This is the primary revenue driver.
- Licensing and Franchise Fees: Generates revenue through licensing agreements and franchise fees from domestic and international partners, expanding the brand's global presence.
Leadership and Structure
Shake Shack is led by its CEO, Randy Garutti, and Chairman, Danny Meyer. The company operates with a multi-unit management structure overseeing its growing network of restaurants.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- ShackBurger: The signature burger, a 100% all-beef patty topped with lettuce, tomato, and its proprietary ShackSauce. Competitors include Five Guys, In-N-Out Burger, and other premium fast-casual burger joints. Market share data for individual products is not publicly disclosed by Shake Shack, but it's a cornerstone of their brand identity.
- Shakes and Frozen Custard: Hand-spun milkshakes and creamy frozen custard, often featuring seasonal flavors and collaborations. Competitors include Dairy Queen, McDonald's (McFlurry), and other ice cream shops. This segment contributes significantly to beverage and dessert sales.
- Chicken Shack Sandwich: A crispy fried chicken breast sandwich, offering an alternative to beef. Competitors include Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen, Chick-fil-A, and other fast-food chicken chains. This product line aims to capture a broader customer base.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Shake Shack operates within the highly competitive fast-casual dining segment, characterized by a demand for higher quality ingredients, better service, and a more inviting atmosphere than traditional fast food. The industry is influenced by evolving consumer preferences for healthier options, sustainability, and unique dining experiences. The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted dine-in traffic, accelerating the trend towards off-premise dining, including drive-thru, delivery, and takeout.
Positioning
Shake Shack is positioned as a premium fast-casual brand, differentiating itself through its 'better burger' positioning, commitment to high-quality ingredients (e.g., antibiotic-free beef, cage-free chicken), unique menu items, and a vibrant, modern restaurant design. Its 'Enlightened Hospitality' philosophy also plays a key role in customer experience. Its competitive advantages include strong brand recognition, a loyal customer base, and a growing international presence.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global fast-casual restaurant market is substantial and growing, estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars. Shake Shack is positioned as a premium player within this market, focusing on urban and suburban areas with higher disposable incomes. While its direct market share is a fraction of the overall TAM, its strategy is to capture a significant portion of the premium fast-casual burger segment.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and reputation for quality.
- Premium positioning with differentiated menu offerings.
- Loyal customer base and positive brand perception.
- Consistent focus on high-quality, ethically sourced ingredients.
- Successful expansion into international markets through franchising.
- Effective digital ordering and delivery platform development.
Weaknesses
- Higher price point compared to traditional fast-food competitors.
- Vulnerability to supply chain disruptions and rising ingredient costs.
- Dependence on a limited menu, though expanding.
- Challenges in maintaining service consistency across a rapidly growing number of locations.
- Limited brand presence in some broader geographic areas compared to larger chains.
Opportunities
- Continued domestic and international expansion, particularly in underserved markets.
- Growth in off-premise dining channels (delivery, drive-thru, digital ordering).
- Menu innovation and introduction of new product lines (e.g., plant-based options).
- Leveraging technology to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency.
- Strategic partnerships and collaborations.
Threats
- Intense competition from established fast-food and fast-casual chains.
- Economic downturns affecting consumer discretionary spending.
- Rising labor costs and potential labor shortages.
- Negative publicity related to food safety or operational issues.
- Shifting consumer dietary trends and preferences.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- McDonald's Corporation (MCD)
- Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)
- Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)
- The Wendy's Company (WEN)
- Restaurant Brands International Inc. (RBI)
Competitive Landscape
Shake Shack competes in a crowded market. Its advantages lie in its premium brand perception and unique menu, attracting a segment of consumers willing to pay more for quality. However, it faces challenges from larger, more established players with greater scale, lower price points, and more extensive geographic reach. Competitors like Chipotle have also focused on quality and provenance, while McDonald's and Wendy's offer more value-oriented options and extensive drive-thru networks. Starbucks dominates the coffee and beverage segment, offering a different but overlapping customer experience.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Shake Shack has experienced substantial growth since its inception, expanding from a single location to hundreds of restaurants globally. Its growth has been fueled by a successful franchise program and consistent demand for its premium offerings.
Future Projections: Analyst projections generally indicate continued revenue growth for Shake Shack, driven by aggressive expansion plans both domestically and internationally, and a focus on enhancing off-premise sales channels. Profitability is expected to improve as the company gains economies of scale and optimizes its operating model.
Recent Initiatives: Focus on expanding drive-thru lanes and enhancing digital ordering capabilities.,International market penetration through strategic franchise partnerships.,Menu diversification and innovation, including limited-time offers.,Investment in supply chain resilience and operational efficiency.
Summary
Shake Shack Inc. is a strong premium fast-casual brand with a loyal following and a clear growth strategy focused on expansion. Its commitment to quality ingredients and unique dining experience are key differentiators. However, it operates in a highly competitive market with significant cost pressures and must navigate evolving consumer preferences and economic uncertainties. Continued focus on operational efficiency, digital integration, and strategic international growth will be crucial for sustained success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg)
- Market Research Reports (e.g., IBISWorld, Statista)
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Data accuracy is subject to the availability and timeliness of public disclosures from Shake Shack Inc. and third-party sources. Market share data is an estimation and may vary depending on the methodology used. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Shake Shack Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-01-30 | CEO & Director Mr. Robert M. Lynch | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 12826 | Website https://www.shakeshack.com |
Full time employees 12826 | Website https://www.shakeshack.com | ||
Shake Shack Inc. owns, operates, and licenses Shake Shack restaurants (Shacks) in the United States and internationally. Its Shacks offer burgers, chicken, hot dogs, crinkle cut fries, shakes, frozen custard, beer, wine, and other products. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in New York, New York.

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