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Redwire Corp (RDW)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/28/2025: RDW (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $17.72
1 Year Target Price $17.72
| 4 | Strong Buy | 
| 2 | Buy | 
| 0 | Hold | 
| 0 | Sell | 
| 0 | Strong Sell | 
Analysis of Past Performance
|  Type  Stock |  Historic Profit  188.8% |  Avg. Invested days  41 |  Today’s Advisory  PASS  | 
|  Upturn Star Rating   |  Upturn Advisory Performance   3.0 |  Stock Returns Performance   5.0 | 
|  Profits based on simulation |  Last Close 10/28/2025 | 
Key Highlights
|  Company Size  Small-Cap Stock  |  Market Capitalization  1.35B  USD  |  Price to earnings Ratio  -  |  1Y Target Price  17.72  | 
|  Price to earnings Ratio  -  |  1Y Target Price  17.72  | ||
|  Volume (30-day avg)  6  |  Beta  2.48  |  52 Weeks Range  6.61 - 26.66  |  Updated Date  10/28/2025  | 
|  52 Weeks Range  6.61 - 26.66  |  Updated Date  10/28/2025  | ||
|  Dividends yield (FY)  -  |  Basic EPS (TTM)  -3.42  | 
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
|  Report Date  -  |  When  -  |  Estimate  -  |  Actual  -  | 
Profitability
|  Profit Margin  -71.95%  |  Operating Margin (TTM)  -121.84%  | 
Management Effectiveness
|  Return on Assets (TTM)  -7.66%  |  Return on Equity (TTM)  -34.51%  | 
Valuation
|  Trailing PE  -  |  Forward PE  -  |  Enterprise Value  1913498633  |  Price to Sales(TTM)  5.18  | 
|  Enterprise Value  1913498633  |  Price to Sales(TTM)  5.18  | ||
|  Enterprise Value to Revenue  7.32  |  Enterprise Value to EBITDA  -3.12  |  Shares Outstanding  164421487  |  Shares Floating  67570578  | 
|  Shares Outstanding  164421487  |  Shares Floating  67570578  | ||
|  Percent Insiders  1.31  |  Percent Institutions  75.73  | 
 Upturn AI SWOT
 Upturn AI SWOT 
Redwire Corp
Company Overview
 History and Background
 History and Background 
Redwire Corp was formed through a series of acquisitions, starting in 2020, aimed at consolidating expertise and technologies in space infrastructure. It went public through a SPAC merger. They focus on space infrastructure, building and operating solutions for reliable space infrastructure for next generation space missions.
 Core Business Areas
 Core Business Areas 
- Space Infrastructure: Developing, manufacturing, and deploying space-based hardware, including solar arrays, deployable structures, and advanced materials.
- In-Space Manufacturing: Focusing on enabling on-orbit manufacturing of specialized products and materials, reducing reliance on Earth-based launches.
- Digital Engineering: Delivering digital engineering solutions for mission-critical space missions.
- Advanced Sensors & Components: Developing and manufacturing advanced sensors and components that enable navigation, data collection, and mission success.
 Leadership and Structure
 Leadership and Structure 
Redwire is led by Peter Cannito (Chairman and CEO), with a management team focusing on engineering, operations, and business development. The organizational structure emphasizes collaboration across its various business segments.
Top Products and Market Share
 Key Offerings
 Key Offerings 
- Market Share (%): 0
- Roll-Out Solar Arrays (ROSA): ROSA are deployable solar arrays used to power satellites and space stations. Redwire holds a significant portion of the deployable solar array market. Competitors include Maxar Technologies and Thales Alenia Space. Revenue for ROSA isn't public, but it's a significant revenue driver.
- Additive Manufacturing Facility (AMF): The AMF is an on-orbit 3D printer used on the International Space Station. Redwire provides services for in-space manufacturing. Competitors are Made In Space (Redwire aquired) and external vendors using ground based solutions. Revenue contribution for this is not shared, and the market is still emerging.
- Market Share (%): 0
- Market Share (%): 0
- Sun Sensors and Star Trackers: The sensors and star trackers enable autonomous navigation and positioning for spacecraft, aiding in maintaining stability, orientation, and control during various stages of a space mission, from launch to on-orbit operations. Competitors are Sodern and Leonardo. Revenue contribution for this is not shared.
Market Dynamics
 Industry Overview
 Industry Overview 
The space infrastructure industry is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing demand for satellite services, space exploration, and national security applications. There is increasing investment in space tech by private and goverment groups.
Positioning
Redwire is positioning itself as a key player in the space infrastructure market, focusing on innovative technologies and solutions for on-orbit operations and manufacturing.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global space market is estimated to reach hundreds of billions of dollars in the coming years. Redwire aims to capture a significant share by focusing on high-growth areas like in-space manufacturing and space infrastructure. Estimates put TAM between $400B-$1T over the next decade.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diverse product portfolio
- Strong presence in the space infrastructure market
- Innovative technologies in in-space manufacturing
- Experienced leadership team
- History of acquiring strategic companies
Weaknesses
- Relatively short operating history as a consolidated entity
- Dependence on government contracts
- High level of debt
- Limited profitability in the short term
- Reliance on successful integration of acquired companies
Opportunities
- Growing demand for space infrastructure
- Expansion of in-space manufacturing capabilities
- Increasing government and private investment in space
- Partnerships with established aerospace companies
- Potential for international expansion
Threats
- Competition from established aerospace companies
- Technological obsolescence
- Economic downturns affecting space budgets
- Delays in government programs
- Increased regulation
Competitors and Market Share
 Key Competitors
 Key Competitors 
- MAXR
- RTX
- LMT
Competitive Landscape
Redwire has a differentiated position, but faces competition from larger, established aerospace and defense companies. They compete on inovation but are smaller than their rivals.
Major Acquisitions
Adcole Space
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 64
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Redwire's portfolio of critical space components and sensors.
Made In Space
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0
- Strategic Rationale: Enhanced Redwire's in-space manufacturing capabilities.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Redwire has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion of its product portfolio. Historical data is influenced by these acquisitions.
Future Projections: Analysts project significant revenue growth for Redwire as the space infrastructure market expands. Profitability is expected to improve with scale.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding in-space manufacturing capabilities, securing contracts for advanced solar arrays, and forming strategic partnerships.
Summary
Redwire Corp is a developing company with a unique market position focused on the rapidly growing space sector. The company's focus on in-space manufacturing and infrastructure gives it a distinct advantage. While its financials still need improvement, Redwire shows promise for long-term expansion as it takes on larger, more established competitors. Investors must remain aware of the company's reliance on government contracts and integration of acquired businesses.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings
- Company Investor Relations
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
 AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
 AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate. 
 Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
 Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current. 
 Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
 Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data. 
 AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
 AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action. 
About Redwire Corp
|  Exchange  NYSE  |  Headquaters  Jacksonville, FL, United States  | ||
|  IPO Launch date  2021-09-02  |  President, CEO & Chairman  Mr. Peter Anthony Cannito Jr.  | ||
|  Sector  Industrials  |  Industry  Aerospace & Defense  |  Full time employees  1300  |  Website  https://redwirespace.com  | 
|  Full time employees  1300  |  Website  https://redwirespace.com  | ||
Redwire Corporation provides critical space solutions and space infrastructure for government and commercial customers in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company offers avionics and sensors, including star trackers and sun sensors, which are critical for navigation and control of spacecraft; camera systems; infrared, space situational awareness, and position timing and navigation payloads; solar array solutions for spacecraft spanning the spectrum of size, power needs, and orbital location; and strain composite booms, coilable booms, truss structures, telescope baffles, and deployable booms to position sensors or solar arrays away from the spacecraft. It also provides software suite that enables digital engineering and generation of high-fidelity, interactive modeling and simulations of individual components, entire spacecraft, and full constellations in a cloud-based environment. In addition, the company offers microgravity payloads, radio frequency systems, antennas, spacecraft platforms and missions, and in-space manufacturing and biotech facilities, as well as field-proven uncrewed airborne system (UAS) technology. Redwire Corporation was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.

Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.


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