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Upturn AI Summary - About
Redwire Corp(RDW)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RDW
09/23/2026: RDW (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Redwire Corp is an aerospace company focused on providing critical hardware and in-space manufacturing solutions for the global space economy. The company's strengths lie in its flight-proven product portfolio, such as the ROSA solar array, and its established relationships with government and commercial customers. While Redwire faces competition from large, entrenched aerospace incumbents and risks associated with scaling a growth-stage business, its involvement in orbital infrastructure represents a significant long-term opportunity. The stock may best suit growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance who are looking for exposure to the maturing space sector. Investors should monitor the company's path toward consistent profitability and the performance of new in-space manufacturing contracts.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company operates in the high-growth space infrastructure sector with significant long-term potential. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum fit is conditional on positive technical trends and favorable market sentiment toward space stocks. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | Redwire is a growth-oriented company currently prioritizing scaling over profitability, making it unsuitable for traditional value metrics. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay dividends and focuses on reinvesting cash flow into growth. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company's position in the emerging and volatile space sector carries inherent high risks. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | As a smaller, growth-stage company in a nascent industry, the stock is subject to significant market swings. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Valuations in the space sector are often driven by future growth assumptions that may not materialize. |
| Competition risk (aerospace incumbents) | Medium / high | Large incumbents with deep resources may compete directly for government and commercial contracts. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company is still maturing its operational footprint and seeking consistent profitability. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no current income generation for investors. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Integrating diverse acquired businesses and successfully delivering on high-tech space missions is complex. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 147.78% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.94B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.69 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.69 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 12.8M shares | Beta 3.09 | 52 Weeks Range 4.87 - 26.64 | Updated Date 09/23/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 4.87 - 26.64 | Updated Date 09/23/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.22 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Space Infrastructure Products | Solar arrays, antennas, and structural components for spacecraft. | Revenue is earned by selling mission-critical hardware to satellite and spacecraft operators. |
| Microgravity Research & Services | Leasing space on orbital platforms and manufacturing specialized materials. | This is a future-oriented segment aiming to monetize research and manufacturing conducted in space. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 2.43B | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.9 |
Enterprise Value 2.43B | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.9 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.71 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.12 | Shares Outstanding 249.99M | Shares Floating 246.18M |
Shares Outstanding 249.99M | Shares Floating 246.18M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.32 | Percent Institutions 69.4 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Redwire Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters Jacksonville, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-09-02 | President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Peter Anthony Cannito Jr. | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Aerospace & Defense | Full time employees 1410 | Website https://www.rdw.com |
Full time employees 1410 | Website https://www.rdw.com | ||
Redwire Corporation provides critical space solutions and space infrastructure for government and commercial customers in the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates in two segments Space and Defense Tech. The company offers sensors and avionics systems, including star trackers and sun sensors, which are critical for accurate navigation and control of spacecraft; camera systems; infrared, space situational awareness, and position timing and navigation payloads; It also provides software suite that enables digital engineering and generation of high-fidelity, interactive modeling and simulations of individual components, entire spacecraft, and full constellations in a cloud-based environment. In addition, the company offers microgravity payloads, radio frequency systems, antennas, spacecraft platforms and missions, and in-space manufacturing and biotech facilities, as well as field-proven uncrewed airborne system (UAS) technology. Further, it provides combat-proven autonomous systems, optical sensors, advanced optics, resilient energy solutions, and radio frequency payloads, as well as provides intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance capabilities for customers including the U.S. Department of War, U.S. Federal Civilian Agencies and allied governments across multiple domains. Redwire Corporation was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.
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