RLX Technology Inc logo

RLX Technology Inc(RLX)

upturn advisory logo
EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
2-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$1.61
10/30/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RLX

10/30/2026: RLX (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

RLX Technology Inc. is a prominent Chinese e-vapor company that provides closed-system vaping products to adult smokers. The firm maintains a strong brand position and a robust R&D infrastructure, which has helped it navigate the transition to a heavily regulated domestic market. Its primary growth opportunity lies in international expansion through the Waka brand, designed to reduce reliance on China's policy-driven environment. Key risks include ongoing regulatory uncertainty, high excise taxes, and geopolitical tensions that impact valuation. The stock may interest investors willing to accept volatility in exchange for potential recovery, though it currently serves as a niche position rather than a core holding.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorWeak fitRegulatory constraints in its primary market significantly limit the company's ability to achieve previous high-growth rates.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock lacks the consistent upward price trend required for momentum strategies.
Value investorMixed fitWhile the stock trades at low multiples, the fundamental risks make valuation difficult to assess.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not provide a consistent or attractive dividend yield for income-focused investors.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh regulatory and geopolitical risk profiles make this stock unsuitable for low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is susceptible to sharp swings based on policy announcements and regulatory news.
Valuation riskMediumUncertain long-term earnings potential makes standard valuation models difficult to apply.
Competition risk (Regulatory compliance)HighThe company faces constant pressure to remain compliant while competing against potential black-market alternatives.
Business qualityMediumWhile the product is popular, the business model is entirely dependent on government authorization.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no current expectation of meaningful dividend returns.
Execution riskMedium / highSuccessful international expansion is required to offset domestic market limitations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 22.7%
Avg. Invested days 37
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/30/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
RLX receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
RLX has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+62.5%) supports the fundamentals score.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
RLX's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (28.0% of revenue). Operating efficiency is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is RLX's strongest growth driver at +62.5% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+43.9%, strong) and free-cash-flow growth (+17.1%, solid) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 29.8% and approximately 36.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 89.36% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

IDG China Venture Capital Fund V Associates L.P. 4.51%
Nomura Holdings Inc 1.85%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 1.71%
OCEANLINK MANAGEMENT LTD. 1.09%
BlackRock Inc 0.79%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
RLX generates approximately $327 of gross profit, $91 of operating income, and $280 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Moderate margins and strong cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is weak.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 11.30%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
RLX has a Value-Oriented profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedSmall / Mid Cap Risk

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.94B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 14.45
1Y Target Price 2.8
Price to earnings Ratio 14.45
1Y Target Price 2.8
Volume (30-day avg) 1.7M shares
Beta 1.13
52 Weeks Range 1.58 - 2.49
Updated Date 10/30/2026
52 Weeks Range 1.58 - 2.49
Updated Date 10/30/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 6.29%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.11

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Domestic E-vapor (China)Sale of RELX-branded pods and devices through authorized distributors.The core revenue source, heavily influenced by Chinese government policy.
International MarketsSale of products under the Waka and other brands in overseas markets.The primary diversification engine, representing the company's future growth path.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 14.45
Forward PE 6.66
Enterprise Value 678.75M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.43
Enterprise Value 678.75M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.43
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.01
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.71
Shares Outstanding 913.54M
Shares Floating 334.46M
Shares Outstanding 913.54M
Shares Floating 334.46M
Percent Insiders 89.36
Percent Institutions 29.84

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.