SunCar Technology Group Inc.(SDA)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$0.22
10/29/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SDA

10/29/2026: SDA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

SunCar Technology Group Inc. is a China-based company that facilitates automotive after-sales and insurance brokerage services through a digital platform. The company's main strength lies in its integrated service model, which bridges insurance distribution with automotive maintenance. Its primary growth story revolves around capturing demand from the rapidly expanding electric vehicle market in China. However, the company faces material risks, including high competition from entrenched insurance incumbents, dependence on the Chinese regulatory environment, and the need to scale profitably. The stock is most suitable for investors comfortable with high volatility and speculative exposure to Chinese tech, with key developments to monitor including EV market penetration and margin trends.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company operates in a growing sector but faces execution and competitive risks that complicate the growth narrative.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock has not consistently demonstrated the sustained price trends that momentum investors typically seek.
Value investorWeak fitValuation and profitability metrics remain volatile, making it difficult to establish a traditional value floor.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility and sensitivity to regulatory changes make this a poor choice for risk-averse investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock exhibits significant daily price fluctuations which can impact short-term investment outcomes.
Valuation riskMedium / highUncertainty regarding future earnings makes it difficult to justify current valuations.
Competition risk (Insurance and Tech incumbents)HighStrong competition from established insurance giants limits pricing power and growth.
Business qualityMediumThe business model is highly dependent on third-party partners and regulatory environments.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no current dividend, providing no yield for investors.
Execution riskMedium / highScaling a platform across diverse regions requires complex execution and management.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -78.07%
Avg. Invested days 22
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/29/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
SDA receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
SDA has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+94.3%) and solid revenue growth (+10.7%) are partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin 1.1%), weak profitability (net margin -0.8%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
SDA's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 14.2%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is SDA's strongest growth driver at +94.3% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+10.7%, solid) is also solid, while free-cash-flow growth (-52.6%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 0.5% and approximately 63.0% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 34.72% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Alpine Partners VI, LLC 0.09%
Citadel Advisors Llc 0.08%
Jane Street Group LLC 0.06%
BlackRock Inc 0.03%
XTX Topco Ltd 0.03%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
SDA generates approximately $104 of gross profit, $8 of operating income, and $11 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and soft capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -16.85% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
SDA has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 22.55M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 7.37
1Y Target Price 4
Price to earnings Ratio 7.37
1Y Target Price 4
Volume (30-day avg) 682.4K shares
Beta -0.13
52 Weeks Range 0.20 - 2.45
Updated Date 10/28/2026
52 Weeks Range 0.20 - 2.45
Updated Date 10/28/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.03

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Insurance Brokerage ServicesCommissions earned from insurance companies for distributing automobile insurance policies.The company acts as a middleman, earning fees whenever a policy is sold through its digital channels.
Automotive After-SalesService fees and transaction margins from managing maintenance, repair, and roadside assistance requests.Revenue is generated by connecting car owners to a network of local service providers.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 7.37
Forward PE 6.84
Enterprise Value 69.78M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.04
Enterprise Value 69.78M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.04
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.13
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.69
Shares Outstanding 55.97M
Shares Floating 35.28M
Shares Outstanding 55.97M
Shares Floating 35.28M
Percent Insiders 34.72
Percent Institutions 0.55

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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