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Upturn AI Summary - About
SNDL Inc.(SNDL)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SNDL
10/28/2026: SNDL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
SNDL Inc. is a diversified operator that has pivoted from a pure-play cannabis producer to a retail-focused entity in the Canadian market, including significant liquor and cannabis store operations. Its primary strength lies in this integrated model, which provides more stable revenue than cultivation alone. The company's growth story centers on operational efficiency and potential consolidation within the fragmented cannabis retail sector. Key risks include intense price competition, potential regulatory shifts, and the challenge of managing a complex, multi-segmented business. The stock may suit investors looking for exposure to the cannabis industry who prioritize a retail-based model, though those seeking steady dividends or low volatility should monitor its execution closely.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely driven by acquisition rather than consistent organic expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock has experienced high volatility without consistent upward momentum. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | Profitability metrics do not currently support a strong value thesis. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay dividends and retains cash for operations. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High volatility and sector-specific risks make this unsuitable for risk-averse portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is susceptible to large price swings due to sector sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | High | Market pricing often fluctuates based on speculative cannabis trends. |
| Competition risk | High | Saturated Canadian retail and cannabis markets drive intense pricing competition. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company is transforming from a cultivator to a retailer, creating execution uncertainty. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no dividend income for investors. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Successfully managing a diverse portfolio of retail stores and cannabis assets requires strong operational management. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -30.79% | Avg. Invested days 22 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/28/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 319.96M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.51 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.51 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.3M shares | Beta 0.94 | 52 Weeks Range 1.13 - 2.34 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 1.13 - 2.34 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.06 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Liquor Retail | Revenue from retail sales of beer, wine, and spirits across Canada. | This is a steady, consumer-facing revenue stream that helps stabilize total company earnings. |
| Cannabis Retail | Revenue from sales of cannabis products directly to consumers. | Provides direct access to consumer demand and brand loyalty in the cannabis space. |
| Cannabis Operations | Production and wholesale distribution of cannabis flower and derivative products. | This segment is focused on product quality and manufacturing scale. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 90.09 | Enterprise Value 338.41M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34 |
Enterprise Value 338.41M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.45 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.51 | Shares Outstanding 246.12M | Shares Floating 212.69M |
Shares Outstanding 246.12M | Shares Floating 212.69M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.73 | Percent Institutions 21.75 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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