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Upturn AI Summary - About
SNDL Inc.(SNDL)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SNDL
10/14/2026: SNDL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
SNDL Inc. is a Canadian company operating a hybrid business model that combines cannabis production, large-scale cannabis retail, and a significant liquor retail network. Its primary strength lies in its extensive retail footprint, which provides a more stable revenue base compared to its pure-play cannabis competitors. The core investment story centers on its ability to leverage its liquor and cannabis retail stores to drive cash flow while managing a strategic investment portfolio. However, investors face risks from sector-wide pricing pressure, potential operational inefficiencies, and a history of shareholder dilution. The stock may suit investors seeking exposure to the Canadian retail cannabis and alcohol sector, provided they can tolerate high volatility.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company seeks growth through acquisitions, but faces significant execution and sector-wide risks. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock has struggled to maintain sustained positive momentum due to sector headwinds. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | While assets exist, the valuation remains sensitive to volatile investment mark-to-market fluctuations. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a dividend and focuses on reinvesting capital. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High volatility and the speculative nature of the cannabis industry make this unsuitable for low-risk investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is susceptible to significant price swings due to cannabis sector sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Valuations are heavily dependent on investment performance and future growth assumptions. |
| Competition risk (Cannabis and Liquor) | High | Intense competition limits pricing power and market share dominance. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business model is complex and transitioning toward operational efficiency. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | No dividend income is provided to shareholders. |
| Execution risk | High | Successfully integrating and scaling retail chains is challenging. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -30.79% | Avg. Invested days 22 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/14/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 285.50M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.47 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.47 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.3M shares | Beta 0.94 | 52 Weeks Range 1.13 - 2.52 | Updated Date 10/14/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 1.13 - 2.52 | Updated Date 10/14/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.06 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Cannabis Retail | Retail sales via Spiritleaf and Value Buds. | Retail revenue depends on high-volume consumer traffic at stores. |
| Liquor Retail | Sale of alcohol beverages. | Provides stable, defensive cash flow compared to cannabis. |
| Investments | Financial support and debt/equity positions in other cannabis firms. | Highly variable income based on the health of other cannabis companies. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 97.09 | Enterprise Value 330.21M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.31 |
Enterprise Value 330.21M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.31 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.5 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.74 | Shares Outstanding 246.12M | Shares Floating 213.40M |
Shares Outstanding 246.12M | Shares Floating 213.40M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.69 | Percent Institutions 21.36 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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