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Upturn AI Summary - About
One Group Hospitality Inc(STKS)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for STKS
10/09/2026: STKS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
The ONE Group Hospitality is a unique operator in the restaurant industry, known for its 'vibe-dining' STK steakhouses and Kona Grill casual dining locations. The company creates value by blending high-end dining with entertainment and providing hospitality management services for premium partners. Its primary growth story revolves around scaling these concepts through owned units and asset-light management contracts. However, the company faces risks from intense competition, economic sensitivity, and the operational challenges of managing a multi-brand portfolio. Investors should monitor the company's ability to maintain margins amidst rising costs and the success of its ongoing brand integrations, as it remains a growth-oriented, non-dividend paying stock suited for those willing to accept sector-specific volatility.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers expansion potential, but execution risks in a competitive industry remain a concern. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is conditional on positive price trends and sustained quarterly earnings beats. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation fluctuates based on earnings growth expectations and the success of brand integrations. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The restaurant sector's inherent volatility and the company's growth profile result in a higher risk level. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Small-cap restaurant stocks often experience significant price swings based on consumer sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Valuations are sensitive to the company's ability to demonstrate consistent earnings growth. |
| Competition risk (Dining) | High | The company competes with massive, well-capitalized chains for prime real estate and customers. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the 'vibe-dining' model is unique, the business is capital-intensive and operations-heavy. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no dividend income available for investors. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Successfully integrating acquired brands and managing multiple concepts requires strong operational oversight. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -52.25% | Avg. Invested days 23 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 48.17M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.45 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.45 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21.9K shares | Beta 1.35 | 52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 2.91 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 2.91 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.8 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Owned Restaurants | Revenue from food, beverage, and service sales at company-owned locations like STK and Kona Grill. | This is the primary driver of top-line revenue, dependent on high consumer traffic and efficient unit operations. |
| Management & Licensing | Fees earned for managing food and beverage operations for third-party hotels and casinos. | This provides a higher-margin, asset-light revenue stream that leverages the company's brand expertise. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 7.53 | Enterprise Value 914.85M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 |
Enterprise Value 914.85M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.14 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.14 | Shares Outstanding 31.69M | Shares Floating 19.49M |
Shares Outstanding 31.69M | Shares Floating 19.49M | ||
Percent Insiders 33.98 | Percent Institutions 39.41 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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