Toyota Motor Corporation ADR logo

Toyota Motor Corporation ADR(TM)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
WEAK BUY
BUY for 42 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-1.3% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$190.34
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TM

09/25/2026: TM (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Toyota Motor Corporation is a major global automotive manufacturer known for its strong manufacturing efficiency and reliable, diverse vehicle lineup. The company holds a leading position in the hybrid market, which has historically provided stable margins during the industry's gradual shift toward electrification. Its primary investment story hinges on successfully scaling its new battery-electric vehicle series and future solid-state battery technology. However, the company faces significant risks from agile pure-play EV competitors and the high costs of maintaining traditional production facilities. Toyota is generally a suitable candidate for value and dividend-oriented investors seeking defensive exposure, while developments in its electric vehicle production and battery advancements should be closely monitored.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitToyota is a mature company prioritizing stability and dividends over the aggressive, high-risk growth seen in pure EV startups.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock tends to trade based on long-term macro trends and cyclical automotive patterns rather than short-term price momentum.
Value investorStrong fitToyota is often viewed as a value play due to its massive asset base, market position, and relatively conservative valuation multiples.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company provides a reliable and consistent dividend stream suitable for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorStrong fitIts solid balance sheet and global brand strength make it a relatively defensive option within the cyclical automotive sector.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumAutomotive demand is cyclical and influenced by global economic conditions and interest rates.
Valuation riskLowToyota is generally traded at moderate multiples reflecting its mature status.
Competition risk (EV Transition)HighThe failure to scale full electric vehicles as quickly as competitors like Tesla (TSLA) could erode market share.
Business qualityStrongToyota’s manufacturing process and brand equity represent a high-quality, durable competitive advantage.
Dividend incomeMedium / highDividends are reliable but sensitive to the company’s massive capital expenditure requirements.
Execution riskMediumSuccessfully transitioning a massive global manufacturing footprint to electrified platforms is a significant operational challenge.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -4.29%
Avg. Invested days 37
Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
TM receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid quantitative characteristics. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
TM has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-16.4%), soft cash generation (FCF margin 1.2%), moderate revenue growth (+5.5%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
TM's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $592.1B (1.2% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is TM's strongest growth driver at +137.9% FY2026 versus FY2025 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (+5.5%, moderate) and earnings growth (-16.4%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 2.2% and approximately 1475.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.00%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Fisher Asset Management, LLC 0.61%
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts 0.21%
The Goldman Sachs Group Inc 0.10%
Northern Trust Corp 0.09%
FMR Inc 0.09%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
TM generates approximately $167 of gross profit, $74 of operating income, and $12 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 22.65%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
TM has a large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 225.40B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 8.53
1Y Target Price 234.08
Price to earnings Ratio 8.53
1Y Target Price 234.08
Volume (30-day avg) 323.7K shares
Beta 0.34
52 Weeks Range 166.10 - 245.06
Updated Date 09/26/2026
52 Weeks Range 166.10 - 245.06
Updated Date 09/26/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 3.29%
Basic EPS (TTM) 22.31

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Automotive SalesGlobal sales of Toyota, Lexus, and Daihatsu branded vehicles.This is the primary engine of revenue; demand for cars directly impacts top-line growth.
Financial ServicesLoans, leases, and insurance products for car buyers.This provides a steady, recurring income stream that stabilizes the cyclical nature of vehicle sales.
Geography (North America)Vehicle sales and operations in the US, Canada, and Mexico.The US is a major profit contributor; regional demand trends here significantly impact the bottom line.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 8.53
Forward PE 10.94
Enterprise Value 421.83B
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value 421.83B
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.28
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.65
Shares Outstanding 1.18B
Shares Floating 17.47B
Shares Outstanding 1.18B
Shares Floating 17.47B
Percent Insiders -
Percent Institutions 2.23

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Toyota Motor Corporation ADR

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters -
IPO Launch date 1949-05-01
President, CEO & Representative Director Mr. Kenta Kon
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Auto Manufacturers
Full time employees 367990
Full time employees 367990

Toyota Motor Corporation designs, manufactures, assembles, and sells passenger vehicles, minivans and commercial vehicles, and related parts and accessories in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, the Middle East, and internationally. The company operates through Automotive, Financial Services, and All Other segments. The company offers subcompact and compact cars; mini-vehicles; mid-size, luxury, sports, and specialty cars; recreational and sport-utility vehicles; pickup trucks; minivans; trucks; and buses. It also develops and sells battery and hybrid electric vehicles and batteries. In addition, the company provides financial services, such as retail financing and leasing, wholesale financing, insurance, and credit cards. Further, it operates GAZOO.com, a web portal for automobile information, as well as engages in telecommunications and other businesses. It offers vehicles under the Toyota and Lexus brand names. It has strategic manufacturing alliance with Joby Aviation, Inc. to establish a joint venture to realize air mobility. Toyota Motor Corporation was founded in 1933 and is headquartered in Toyota, Japan.