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Upturn AI Summary - About
Toyota Motor Corporation ADR(TM)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TM
10/23/2026: TM (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Toyota Motor Corporation is a global automotive leader known for its robust manufacturing efficiency and market-leading hybrid vehicle portfolio. The stock is best suited for long-term investors seeking a combination of value and reliable dividend income, supported by a strong balance sheet and global brand loyalty. Its primary growth opportunity lies in the successful transition to electric and software-defined vehicles, while the main risks involve intense competition from pure-play EV makers and regulatory pressures. Investors should monitor the company’s progress in battery technology development and its ability to maintain margins amidst these structural shifts. As a mature company, it offers stable exposure to the automotive sector with lower volatility than many industry peers.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Toyota is a mature, established player rather than a high-growth startup, though it offers potential via the EV transition. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | This style is conditional on a positive Upturn signal, and Toyota often exhibits lower volatility than pure-play tech or EV stocks. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Toyota's focus on operational efficiency and reliable cash flows often makes it an attractive valuation play. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Consistent dividend history makes it suitable for investors seeking stable income. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | The company's scale, financial health, and global presence offer lower volatility compared to high-growth industrial peers. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | As a large-cap ADR, the stock is subject to macroeconomic shifts and currency fluctuations. |
| Valuation risk | Low | Toyota's valuation is generally tied to fundamental earnings rather than speculative growth multiples. |
| Competition risk (EV disruption) | Medium / high | The rapid shift toward EVs by competitors poses a long-term risk to its core ICE business. |
| Business quality | Strong | Toyota has a long-standing reputation for quality and operational excellence. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are reliable but typically grow in line with conservative payout policies. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Executing the transition to software-defined and electric vehicles is complex for a legacy automaker. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -9.85% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 231.78B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.65 | 1Y Target Price 234.08 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.65 | 1Y Target Price 234.08 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 305.0K shares | Beta 0.38 | 52 Weeks Range 163.30 - 240.92 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 163.30 - 240.92 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.18% | Basic EPS (TTM) 22.76 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Sales | Global sales of Toyota and Lexus brand vehicles. | This is the primary engine of the company's revenue. |
| Financial Services | Loans, leases, and insurance products. | This segment drives customer retention and additional profit margins. |
| Geography (North America) | Large vehicle sales volume in the US and Canada. | A critical region for overall profit and market share. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.65 | Forward PE 11.3 | Enterprise Value 430.41B | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 430.41B | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.28 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.65 | Shares Outstanding 1.18B | Shares Floating 17.47B |
Shares Outstanding 1.18B | Shares Floating 17.47B | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 2.23 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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