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TrueCar Inc (TRUE)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2025: TRUE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $2.35
1 Year Target Price $2.35
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -23.32% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 192.11M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.35 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.35 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta 2.22 | 52 Weeks Range 1.05 - 4.44 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.05 - 4.44 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.21 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -10.27% | Operating Margin (TTM) -17.01% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -13.49% | Return on Equity (TTM) -15.37% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 14.45 | Enterprise Value 98808508 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.06 |
Enterprise Value 98808508 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.06 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.55 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.15 | Shares Outstanding 88940050 | Shares Floating 75945909 |
Shares Outstanding 88940050 | Shares Floating 75945909 | ||
Percent Insiders 9.4 | Percent Institutions 79.21 |
Upturn AI SWOT
TrueCar Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
TrueCar Inc. was founded in 2005 by Rethink Public Relations. The company launched its website in 2006. TrueCar provides a car-buying platform that aims to simplify the process by providing consumers with transparent pricing and a network of certified dealers. Significant milestones include its IPO in 2014 and various strategic partnerships with automotive brands and financial institutions. Over time, TrueCar has evolved to offer a more comprehensive suite of services beyond just car pricing, including financing, trade-in valuations, and vehicle history reports.
Core Business Areas
- Automotive Digital Marketplace: TrueCar operates an online platform that connects car buyers with a network of franchised and independent dealers. It provides tools for research, pricing, and dealer communication, aiming to offer upfront pricing and a more transparent car buying experience.
- Data and Analytics Services: Leveraging its extensive data on car transactions and consumer behavior, TrueCar offers insights and analytics to automotive manufacturers and dealers, helping them understand market trends and consumer preferences.
- Financial Services Integration: TrueCar facilitates access to financing and leasing options for car buyers through partnerships with financial institutions, streamlining the purchase process.
Leadership and Structure
TrueCar's leadership team includes a CEO, CFO, CTO, and heads of various functional departments such as marketing, sales, and product development. The company operates with a matrix organizational structure, combining functional expertise with project-based teams, particularly in product development and strategic initiatives.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- TrueCar Car Buying Platform: This is the flagship product, offering consumers a way to research vehicles, compare prices, receive upfront pricing from dealers, and connect with certified dealerships. It also includes tools for trade-in valuations and financing pre-qualification. While precise market share for this specific platform is hard to quantify against the entire auto sales market, it is a significant player in the online automotive lead generation space. Competitors include sites like Cars.com, Edmunds, Kelley Blue Book (KBB), and Autotrader.
- Dealer Sales and Lead Generation Services: TrueCar provides dealers with leads and tools to manage customer interactions. The revenue generated from dealers is a critical component of TrueCar's business model. Market share in this lead generation segment is competitive, with players like Cars.com, Dealer.com, and various CRM providers vying for dealer advertising and lead spend.
- True360 Vehicle History Reports: This service offers consumers detailed information about a vehicle's past, including accident history, title issues, and ownership records. It competes with services like CarFax and AutoCheck.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The automotive retail industry is undergoing significant digital transformation. Consumers increasingly prefer online research and digital tools for car buying. The market is characterized by intense competition among online platforms, traditional dealerships, and evolving direct-to-consumer models from manufacturers. Challenges include inventory availability, supply chain disruptions, and shifting consumer preferences.
Positioning
TrueCar positions itself as a transparent and consumer-friendly car-buying marketplace that simplifies the negotiation process. Its competitive advantage lies in its established network of dealers, its brand recognition in the online car shopping space, and its data analytics capabilities. However, it faces strong competition from established automotive portals and emerging disruptive models.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for TrueCar is vast, encompassing the entire new and used car sales market in the United States, estimated in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. TrueCar's direct TAM is focused on the digital lead generation and car-buying assistance segments, which represents a significant portion of the overall transaction value. TrueCar is positioned to capture a share of this market by facilitating online discovery and connection, rather than directly participating in physical sales.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition in online car shopping.
- Extensive network of certified dealerships.
- Proprietary data and analytics capabilities.
- Consumer-friendly transparent pricing model.
Weaknesses
- Dependence on dealer participation and lead quality.
- Profitability can be sensitive to transaction volumes and dealer fees.
- Competition from large, established automotive portals.
- Need for continuous innovation to keep pace with digital trends.
Opportunities
- Expansion into used car market acceleration.
- Integration of advanced AI and personalization for car discovery.
- Partnerships with OEMs and financial institutions for integrated services.
- Growth in ancillary services like financing and insurance.
Threats
- Economic downturns impacting car sales.
- Increased direct sales models by automotive manufacturers.
- Data privacy regulations and cybersecurity risks.
- Disruptive technologies and new market entrants.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Cars.com (CARS)
- CarGurus (CARG)
- Autotrader (part of Cox Automotive)
- Edmunds (privately held)
- Kelley Blue Book (KBB) (part of Cox Automotive)
Competitive Landscape
TrueCar's advantages include its established dealer network and consumer brand recognition. However, it faces intense competition from CarGurus, which has a strong reputation for pricing transparency and has shown robust growth, and Cars.com, a long-standing player with a broad reach. Cox Automotive, through Autotrader and KBB, represents a formidable competitor with significant market influence and resources. TrueCar needs to continually differentiate itself through user experience and unique service offerings to maintain and grow its market position.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: TrueCar has experienced periods of significant user and revenue growth since its inception, driven by the increasing adoption of online car shopping. However, its growth trajectory has also been subject to the cyclical nature of the automotive industry and competitive pressures.
Future Projections: Analysts' future projections for TrueCar often depend on its ability to adapt to evolving consumer behavior, strengthen dealer relationships, and successfully integrate new technologies. Projections typically consider revenue growth from lead generation, subscription services, and potential expansion into adjacent markets. (Note: Specific analyst projections are dynamic and require access to real-time analyst reports.)
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include enhancing the user experience on its platform, developing new partnerships with automotive brands, investing in AI-driven personalization tools, and exploring opportunities to capitalize on the growing used car market.
Summary
TrueCar Inc. operates in the dynamic automotive digital marketplace, connecting consumers with dealers. While it boasts brand recognition and a dealer network, it faces significant competition from established players like CarGurus and Cars.com. Its financial performance has been variable, requiring careful management of dealer relationships and investment in technology. The company needs to focus on continuous innovation and strategic partnerships to navigate market shifts and enhance its growth trajectory.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company investor relations websites
- Financial news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Market research reports (general industry trends)
- SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and general market knowledge as of the last update. Financial data provided is illustrative and requires verification from real-time financial data providers for precise, up-to-the-minute figures. Market share data is an estimation and can vary based on reporting methodology. This is not financial advice, and readers should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About TrueCar Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Santa Monica, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-05-16 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Jantoon E. Reigersman | ||
Sector Communication Services | Industry Internet Content & Information | Full time employees 348 | Website https://www.truecar.com |
Full time employees 348 | Website https://www.truecar.com | ||
TrueCar, Inc. operates as an internet-based information, technology, and communication services company in the United States. The company operates its platform on the TrueCar website and mobile applications. Its platform enables users to obtain market-based pricing data on new and used cars, and to connect with its network of TrueCar certified dealers. It also provides TrueCar Access, which offers trade and payments solutions; and Sell Your Car and Trade solutions gives consumers information on the value of their trade-in vehicles and enables them to obtain a guaranteed trade-in price before setting foot in the dealership. The company was formerly known as Zag.com Inc. TrueCar, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, California.

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