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TSCO 
Tractor Supply Company (TSCO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/05/2025: TSCO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
33 Analysts rated it
Highly popular stock, broad analyst coverage, trusted insights, strong investor interest.
1 Year Target Price $63.52
1 Year Target Price $63.52
| 10 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 16 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 7.53% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/05/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 28.57B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 26.05 | 1Y Target Price 63.52 |
Price to earnings Ratio 26.05 | 1Y Target Price 63.52 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 33 | Beta 0.72 | 52 Weeks Range 46.46 - 63.75 | Updated Date 11/5/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 46.46 - 63.75 | Updated Date 11/5/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.72% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.07 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-10-23 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.48 | Actual 0.49 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.18% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.22% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.01% | Return on Equity (TTM) 45.46% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 26.05 | Forward PE 24.04 | Enterprise Value 35130755347 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.86 |
Enterprise Value 35130755347 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.86 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.32 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.06 | Shares Outstanding 529951669 | Shares Floating 527893200 |
Shares Outstanding 529951669 | Shares Floating 527893200 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.25 | Percent Institutions 99.35 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Tractor Supply Company
Company Overview
History and Background
Tractor Supply Company was founded in 1938 as a mail-order tractor parts business. It opened its first retail store in 1939 in Minot, North Dakota. Over the years, it expanded its product offerings and store locations, becoming a leading retailer for rural lifestyles.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Stores: Operates a large chain of retail stores across the United States, offering a wide range of products for farm and ranch maintenance, lawn and garden care, livestock and pet care, and home improvement.
- e-Commerce: Provides online shopping through its website and mobile app, extending its reach to customers who prefer to shop from home.
- Services: Offers various services such as trailer rentals, propane refills, and pet wash stations in select stores.
Leadership and Structure
Hal Lawton serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer. The company has a traditional corporate structure with a Board of Directors overseeing the management team.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Livestock and Pet Supplies: Includes feed, health products, and accessories for animals. Competitors include Petco (WOOF), Chewy (CHWY), and local feed stores. Market share data varies regionally, but Tractor Supply holds a significant portion of the rural market, no specific public numbers available.
- Lawn and Garden: Includes mowers, tools, and plants. Competitors include Home Depot (HD), Lowe's (LOW), and Walmart (WMT). Market share is competitive, varies regionally, no specific public numbers available.
- Tools and Hardware: Includes power tools, hand tools, and building materials. Competitors include Home Depot (HD), Lowe's (LOW), and Ace Hardware (ACE). Market share is competitive, varies regionally, no specific public numbers available.
- Clothing and Footwear: Includes workwear, boots, and outdoor apparel. Competitors include Cabela's, Bass Pro Shops, and smaller apparel retailers. Market share data varies, no specific public numbers available.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The retail industry focusing on rural and agricultural supplies is fragmented but growing, driven by increasing rural populations and interest in sustainable living.
Positioning
Tractor Supply Company is a leader in the rural lifestyle retail market, with a strong brand reputation and a wide geographic footprint. Its competitive advantages include its extensive product selection, convenient store locations, and knowledgeable staff.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the rural lifestyle retail market is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Tractor Supply Company is well-positioned to capture a significant share of this market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Extensive store network
- Loyal customer base
- Wide product selection
- Strong e-commerce platform
Weaknesses
- Reliance on rural economies
- Seasonality of certain products
- Potential for supply chain disruptions
- Competition from larger retailers
- Exposure to changing consumer preferences
Opportunities
- Expanding store footprint
- Increasing e-commerce sales
- Introducing new product categories
- Enhancing customer loyalty programs
- Partnerships and collaborations
Threats
- Economic downturns
- Increased competition
- Changing consumer preferences
- Supply chain disruptions
- Rising operating costs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- HD
- LOW
- WMT
- PETS
- CHWY
Competitive Landscape
Tractor Supply Company's advantages include its focus on rural customers, a wide product selection, and a strong store network. Disadvantages include competition from larger retailers like Home Depot and Lowe's.
Major Acquisitions
Orchard Supply Hardware
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0
- Strategic Rationale: Acquired Orchard Supply Hardware's assets after its bankruptcy to expand its West Coast presence. This acquisition was focused on real estate and intellectual property.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, Tractor Supply Company has experienced consistent growth driven by store expansion and comparable sales increases.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are based on analyst estimates and company guidance, which are subject to change. Consult financial news sources for projections.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include expanding its store footprint, enhancing its e-commerce platform, and introducing new product categories.
Summary
Tractor Supply Company is a strong retailer in the rural lifestyle market with a loyal customer base and wide product selection. Its growth is driven by store expansion and increasing e-commerce sales. However, it faces competition from larger retailers and is exposed to economic downturns and changing consumer preferences. It should focus on e-commerce growth and efficiency to enhance its competitive edge.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company reports
- Market research reports
- Financial news sources
- Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
The data and analysis provided are for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Tractor Supply Company
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Brentwood, TN, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1994-02-17 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Harry A. Lawton III | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Specialty Retail | Full time employees 52000 | Website https://www.tractorsupply.com |
Full time employees 52000 | Website https://www.tractorsupply.com | ||
Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The company offers various merchandise, including livestock and equine feed and equipment, poultry, fencing, and sprayers and chemicals; companion animal products, such as food, treats, and equipment for dogs, cats, and other small animals, as well as dog wellness products; seasonal and recreation products comprising tractors and riders, lawn and garden, bird feeding, power equipment, and other recreational products; truck, tool, and hardware products, such as truck accessories, trailers, generators, lubricants, batteries, and hardware and tools; and clothing, gift, and décor products consist of clothing, footwear, toys, snacks, and decorative merchandise. It provides its products under the 4health, Paws & Claws, American Farmworks, Producer's Pride, Bit & Bridle, Red Shed, Blue Mountain, Redstone, C.E. Schmidt, Retriever, Country Lane, Ridgecut, Countyline, Royal Wing, Country Tuff, Strive, Dumor, Traveller, Farm Table, Treeline, Groundwork, TSC Tractor Supply Co, Huskee, Untamed, JobSmart, and Impeckable brand names. The company operates its retail stores under the Tractor Supply Company, Petsense by Tractor Supply, and Orscheln Farm and Home names; and operates websites under the TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com names. It sells its products to recreational farmers, ranchers, and others. Tractor Supply Company was founded in 1938 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.
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