Twilio Inc logo

Twilio Inc(TWLO)

Top Performer Top performer
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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
4-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$211.21
11/13/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TWLO

11/13/2026: TWLO (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Twilio is a prominent cloud communications and customer data platform provider that enables developers to integrate messaging, voice, and data into enterprise software. The company has historically grown through aggressive acquisitions like Segment and SendGrid, building a leading developer ecosystem that acts as its primary moat. Currently, Twilio is transitioning toward sustainable profitability by focusing on efficient growth and embedding generative AI into its product suite. Primary risks include intensifying competition from cloud hyperscalers and the challenge of managing diverse software segments. This stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate volatility while monitoring the company's ability to increase margins and maintain its developer-first market position.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitTwilio remains a leader in the cloud-based communication and data engagement sector with significant long-term expansion potential.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum appeal is contingent on sustained revenue growth and positive reaction to AI product integration.
Value investorWeak fitThe company’s valuation is typically driven by growth expectations rather than traditional value metrics.
Dividend investorWeak fitTwilio does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh historical volatility and intense competition make this unsuitable for risk-averse investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock has experienced significant swings based on growth guidance and tech sector sentiment.
Valuation riskMedium / highMarket expectations for AI growth often result in premium price-to-earnings multiples.
Competition risk (AI competition)HighMajor cloud providers are increasingly adding native communication and AI features that compete with Twilio's core offerings.
Business qualityMediumWhile the platform is mission-critical, the business faces commoditization pressures in standard messaging.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect income from this equity investment.
Execution riskMediumThe company must successfully integrate disparate acquisitions into a unified AI-driven platform.

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 32.97B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 26.77
1Y Target Price 268.37
Price to earnings Ratio 26.77
1Y Target Price 268.37
Volume (30-day avg) 3.8M shares
Beta 1.49
52 Weeks Range 105.00 - 308.40
Updated Date 11/13/2026
52 Weeks Range 105.00 - 308.40
Updated Date 11/13/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 7.96

Sector & Industry Intelligence

Sector

Technology

Caution
Sentiment
Near Bearish
Momentum
Rapid Breadth Deterioration
BUY participation
30.1%
Active BUY / eligible
37 / 123
30-Day BUY Count Change
-42
Market state
Weak Bullish / Near Bearish

BUY participation is falling rapidly, suggesting elevated market vulnerability.

Industry

Software - Infrastructure

BUY participation
50.0%
Active BUY / eligible
14 / 28
30-Day BUY Count Change
-8

Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 197.51%
Avg. Invested days 59
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/13/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
TWLO receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
TWLO has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+130.9%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 20.4%) are partially offset by soft profitability (net margin 0.7%), very low insider ownership of 0.14%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
TWLO's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $1.0B (20.4% of revenue). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is TWLO's strongest growth driver at +130.9% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+13.7%, solid) and free-cash-flow growth (+57.1%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 95.4% and approximately 99.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.14%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 10.75%
JPMorgan Chase & Co 7.90%
FMR Inc 7.29%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.94%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.43%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
TWLO generates approximately $489 of gross profit, $34 of operating income, and $204 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Moderate margins and strong cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is weak.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 38.59%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
TWLO has a large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
CommunicationsSMS, Voice, WhatsApp, and Email APIs.The primary revenue engine, charging developers for each message or call transmitted through its network.
Data & ApplicationsTwilio Segment and Flex.SaaS subscription revenue providing companies with tools to organize customer data and manage contact centers.
GeographyGlobal operations with significant revenue from the US and EMEA.Revenue is well-diversified globally, though North America remains the largest source of demand.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-29
When After Market
Estimate 0.74
Actual 0.9

Profitability

Profit Margin 21.82%
Operating Margin (TTM) 7.68%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.69%
Return on Equity (TTM) 14.92%

Valuation

Trailing PE 26.77
Forward PE 30.21
Enterprise Value 31.00B
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.65
Enterprise Value 31.00B
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.65
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.32
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 52.88
Shares Outstanding 154.73M
Shares Floating 154.09M
Shares Outstanding 154.73M
Shares Floating 154.09M
Percent Insiders 0.14
Percent Institutions 95.44

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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