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VVV logo VVV
Upturn stock rating
VVV logo

Valvoline Inc (VVV)

Upturn stock rating
$35.22
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/15/2025: VVV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

14 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $44.12

1 Year Target Price $44.12

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$44.12 Target price
52w Low $31.02
Current$35.22
52w High $43.74

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -28.51%
Avg. Invested days 30
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/15/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.40B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 16.17
1Y Target Price 44.12
Price to earnings Ratio 16.17
1Y Target Price 44.12
Volume (30-day avg) 14
Beta 1.19
52 Weeks Range 31.02 - 43.74
Updated Date 10/17/2025
52 Weeks Range 31.02 - 43.74
Updated Date 10/17/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.14

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 16.43%
Operating Margin (TTM) 26.23%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 8.3%
Return on Equity (TTM) 132.49%

Valuation

Trailing PE 16.17
Forward PE 18.45
Enterprise Value 5908631701
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.6
Enterprise Value 5908631701
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.6
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.49
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.63
Shares Outstanding 127114824
Shares Floating 126658482
Shares Outstanding 127114824
Shares Floating 126658482
Percent Insiders 0.26
Percent Institutions 112.95

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Valvoline Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Valvoline traces its roots back to 1866 when Dr. John Ellis developed a petroleum-based lubricant for steam engines. It was the first trademarked lubricant brand in the United States. Valvoline grew to become a major player in the automotive lubricants market, being acquired by Ashland Inc. In 2016, Valvoline became an independent, publicly traded company.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Retail Services: Valvoline operates and franchises quick-lube service centers under the Valvoline Instant Oil Change brand.
  • Global Products: This segment develops, manufactures, and markets lubricants, chemicals, and automotive maintenance products for various applications.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team is headed by the Chief Executive Officer. The organizational structure includes departments for finance, marketing, operations, and technology, with regional management structures for global operations.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Valvoline Motor Oil: Valvoline offers a range of motor oils, including synthetic, high-mileage, and conventional options. It is a top-tier brand in the motor oil market. Market share is approximately 10%-15% in the US DIY motor oil market. Competitors include Pennzoil (SHEL), Mobil 1 (XOM), Castrol (BP), and AmazonBasics.
  • Valvoline Instant Oil Change (VIOC): VIOC is a leading quick-lube service center chain. It competes with other quick-lube chains, franchised dealerships and independent repair shops. As of 2024, VIOC had around 1700 locations in North America. Competitors include Jiffy Lube (owned by Shell) and Take 5 Oil Change.
  • Coolants: Valvoline produces several different coolants used in vehicles to control the heat in the motor. Its primary competitors include Prestone and Peak.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The automotive lubricants market is mature and competitive, with growth driven by increasing vehicle miles traveled and the growing complexity of engine technology, which demands more advanced lubricants. The quick-lube industry is experiencing steady growth due to consumers seeking convenient and reliable vehicle maintenance services.

Positioning

Valvoline is positioned as a premium brand with a long history and strong brand recognition. It differentiates itself through product innovation, a strong service network, and targeted marketing campaigns.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global lubricants market is expected to reach around $200 billion by 2028. Valvoline's position in North America allows it to address a significant portion of the global market.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Extensive distribution network
  • Innovative product development
  • Established quick-lube service network
  • Financial stability

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on automotive industry trends
  • Exposure to raw material price fluctuations
  • Competitive pricing pressure
  • Concentration of revenue in North America

Opportunities

  • Expansion into emerging markets
  • Development of new lubricant technologies
  • Growth of electric vehicle maintenance services
  • Strategic acquisitions of smaller competitors
  • Increase in DIY repair services

Threats

  • Economic downturns impacting automotive sales
  • Increasing competition from private-label brands
  • Shifting consumer preferences towards electric vehicles
  • Stringent environmental regulations
  • Fluctuations in raw material costs

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • SHEL
  • XOM
  • BP

Competitive Landscape

Valvoline benefits from a strong brand name and franchise network. However, it faces competitive pressure from larger, diversified oil companies like SHEL and XOM. Success depends on product innovation, marketing, and efficient operations.

Major Acquisitions

Great Canadian Oil Change

  • Year: 2016
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 68
  • Strategic Rationale: The acquisition expanded Valvoline's footprint in the Canadian quick lube market.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Valvoline's historical growth has been driven by product innovation, expansion of its service network, and acquisitions. Check on 10k filings for current data.

Future Projections: Future growth projections should be sourced from analyst reports which often project revenue growth and EPS based on market trends and company initiatives.

Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include expanding the VIOC network, developing new lubricant technologies for electric vehicles, and increasing its focus on sustainability.

Summary

Valvoline is a strong player in the automotive lubricant and service industry, benefiting from its established brand and franchise network. Its growth depends on innovation, expansion, and adapting to market trends like electric vehicles. Threats include economic downturns and increased competition. Overall, Valvoline is positioned to maintain a good presence in the sector.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Valvoline Investor Relations
  • SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Industry Reports
  • Analyst Research

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Valvoline Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Lexington, KY, United States
IPO Launch date 2016-09-23
CEO, President & Director Ms. Lori A. Flees
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships
Full time employees 10500
Full time employees 10500

Valvoline Inc. engages in the operation and franchising of vehicle service centers and retail stores in the United States and Canada. The company, through its service centers, provides fluid exchange for motor oil, transmission and differential fluid, and coolant; parts replacement for batteries, filters, wiper blades, and belts; and safety services, such as tire inflation and rotation, bulbs, and safety checks. It offers its services for passenger cars, hybrid and battery electric vehicles, and light and medium duty vehicles. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky.