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Valvoline Inc (VVV)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: VVV (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $42.23
1 Year Target Price $42.23
6 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
6 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -19.54% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.86B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 18.54 | 1Y Target Price 42.23 |
Price to earnings Ratio 18.54 | 1Y Target Price 42.23 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 14 | Beta 1.17 | 52 Weeks Range 31.02 - 48.27 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 31.02 - 48.27 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.06 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 15.97% | Operating Margin (TTM) 26.23% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.72% | Return on Equity (TTM) 174.55% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 18.54 | Forward PE 19.8 | Enterprise Value 6164666176 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.9 |
Enterprise Value 6164666176 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.9 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.68 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.03 | Shares Outstanding 127112000 | Shares Floating 126173596 |
Shares Outstanding 127112000 | Shares Floating 126173596 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.26 | Percent Institutions 104.9 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 42.23 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 6 |
Buy 2 | Strong Buy 6 | ||
Hold 6 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Valvoline Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Valvoline was officially founded in 1866 by Dr. John Ellis. It is a leading provider of automotive maintenance products and services. Originally part of Ashland Inc., Valvoline became an independent, publicly traded company in 2017.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Services: Valvoline operates and franchises Valvoline Instant Oil Change (VIOC) service centers, providing oil changes and other preventative maintenance services.
- Global Products: Valvoline manufactures and distributes lubricants, coolants, and other automotive chemicals to retail customers and commercial customers globally.
Leadership and Structure
The CEO of Valvoline Inc. is Lori Flees. The company operates with a typical corporate structure, including various departments such as marketing, finance, operations, and research & development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Valvoline Motor Oil: Valvoline offers a range of motor oils, including synthetic, synthetic blend, and conventional oils. Valvoline has a strong market presence. Competitors include Castrol, Pennzoil, and Mobil 1. Market share is proprietary but estimated to be in the top 3.
- Valvoline Instant Oil Change (VIOC): VIOC service centers offer quick and convenient oil changes and other preventative maintenance services. This service has a significant market share within the quick lube industry. Competitors include Jiffy Lube, Take 5 Oil Change, and Midas.
- Coolants: Valvoline manufactures and distributes coolants to retail and commercial customers globally. Competitors include Prestone, Peak.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The automotive lubricants and maintenance industry is mature and competitive, driven by vehicle miles traveled, vehicle age, and consumer spending on maintenance. The industry is adapting to changing vehicle technologies and consumer preferences, including the rise of electric vehicles.
Positioning
Valvoline is positioned as a premium brand offering high-quality products and services. Its competitive advantages include its established brand reputation, extensive distribution network, and franchise network.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global lubricant market is expected to reach approximately $200 billion. Valvoline is well-positioned within this TAM through product innovation and service network. The TAM includes services and also products which are sold separately.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Extensive distribution network
- Large franchise network (VIOC)
- High-quality products
- Strong R&D capabilities
Weaknesses
- Dependence on the automotive industry
- Exposure to raw material price fluctuations
- Competition from larger players
- Slower growth compared to some competitors
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Development of products for electric vehicles
- Acquisitions of smaller competitors
- Growth in the quick lube industry
Threats
- Economic downturns
- Increasing adoption of electric vehicles
- Rising raw material costs
- Intense competition
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- MBLY
- ORLY
- AZO
Competitive Landscape
Valvoline faces competition from large automotive retailers, other lubricant manufacturers, and quick lube chains. Valvoline differentiates itself through its strong brand, high-quality products, and extensive service network.
Major Acquisitions
Great Canadian Oil Change
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 66
- Strategic Rationale: Expanding footprint in Canada
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Valvoline has experienced steady growth in revenue and earnings over the past few years, driven by organic growth and acquisitions.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth in revenue and earnings over the next few years, driven by growth in the quick lube industry and the development of new products.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding the VIOC network, developing new products for electric vehicles, and acquiring smaller competitors.
Summary
Valvoline has a strong brand recognition and extensive service network, ensuring stable growth within the fragmented automotive market. They are positioned well to service traditional vehicles in the near term. The slow adoption of electric vehicles poses a long-term threat to its core business. Careful monitoring of this market and strategic adjustment of product and services is needed for sustained success. Overall the company is strategically positioned to sustain growth.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
- Company Website
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance may change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Valvoline Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Lexington, KY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2016-09-23 | CEO, President & Director Ms. Lori A. Flees | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships | Full time employees 10500 | Website https://www.valvoline.com |
Full time employees 10500 | Website https://www.valvoline.com |
Valvoline Inc. engages in the operation and franchising of vehicle service centers and retail stores in the United States and Canada. The company, through its service centers, provides fluid exchange for motor oil, transmission and differential fluid, and coolant; parts replacement for batteries, filters, wiper blades, and belts; and safety services, such as tire inflation and rotation, bulbs, and safety checks. It offers its services for passenger cars, hybrid and battery electric vehicles, and light and medium duty vehicles. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky.
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