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Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/15/2025: XPOF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $12.33
1 Year Target Price $12.33
3 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
5 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -59.87% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 345.75M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 12.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 12.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9 | Beta 1.46 | 52 Weeks Range 6.64 - 18.87 | Updated Date 10/17/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 6.64 - 18.87 | Updated Date 10/17/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.79 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -17.85% | Operating Margin (TTM) 28.72% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 11.58% | Return on Equity (TTM) -28.84% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 9.17 | Enterprise Value 647038060 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.09 |
Enterprise Value 647038060 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.09 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.04 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.87 | Shares Outstanding 35097000 | Shares Floating 25222810 |
Shares Outstanding 35097000 | Shares Floating 25222810 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.51 | Percent Institutions 90.59 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Xponential Fitness Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Xponential Fitness, Inc. was founded in 2017. It has quickly grown through acquisitions and franchising of various boutique fitness brands.
Core Business Areas
- Franchising: Xponential Fitness franchises boutique fitness studios across multiple brands.
- Company-Owned Studios: Operates a small number of company-owned studios for testing and brand management.
- Merchandise Sales: Generates revenue from the sale of branded merchandise within its studios.
- Subscription Revenues: Generates revenues from its XPASS Program which allows the subscribers to use all of the locations in the Xponential Fitness portfolio
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by Anthony Geisler (CEO). The organizational structure consists of brand presidents overseeing individual fitness concepts, supported by a corporate team managing franchising, operations, and marketing.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Club Pilates: A Pilates franchise offering group reformer classes. Competitors include local Pilates studios and other group fitness classes. Market share is estimated to be significant within the franchise Pilates segment, but specific figures are variable.
- Pure Barre: A barre franchise focused on low-impact, high-intensity workouts. Competitors include The Bar Method and other barre studios. Market share is estimated to be a large percentage of the barre fitness sector, but precise figures are difficult to pinpoint.
- CycleBar: An indoor cycling franchise. Competitors include SoulCycle, Peloton, and other cycling studios. The revenue attributable to CycleBar is hard to pinpoint.
- YogaSix: A yoga franchise providing various styles of yoga classes. Competitors include CorePower Yoga and local yoga studios. Revenue from YogaSix is hard to determine.
- StretchLab: A assisted stretching franchise. Competitors include massage franchises and individual practitioners. Revenue from StretchLab is hard to determine.
- Row House: A rowing based franchise. Competitors include local rowing classes and OrangeTheory Fitness. Revenue from Row House is hard to determine.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The boutique fitness industry is competitive and fragmented, with increasing demand for specialized workout experiences. Trends include personalized fitness, technology integration, and a focus on community.
Positioning
Xponential Fitness positions itself as a leader in the boutique fitness franchising space, offering a diverse portfolio of brands and leveraging economies of scale. They are a aggregator of fitness brands with their competitive advantage being their large footprint of boutique fitness locations and ability to market to different customer segments.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global health and fitness club market is projected to reach hundreds of billions of USD. Xponential Fitness is positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM through franchise expansion and brand diversification.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diverse brand portfolio
- Franchise business model (scalable)
- Strong brand recognition within niche fitness categories
- Aggressive acquisition strategy
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- High debt levels
- Reliance on franchisee success
- Potential for brand cannibalization
- Negative press exposure
- Brand perception challenges
Opportunities
- International expansion
- Technological integration (e.g., virtual classes)
- Partnerships with wellness and lifestyle brands
- Increased focus on corporate wellness programs
- Growth in demand for personalized fitness experiences
Threats
- Increased competition from other fitness franchises and independent studios
- Changing consumer preferences
- Economic downturns impacting discretionary spending
- Lawsuits and franchisee disputes
- Rising operating costs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- FRAN
- SELF
- PLNT
Competitive Landscape
Xponential Fitness has a strong brand portfolio, but faces competition from other franchise fitness concepts, independent studios, and digital fitness platforms. Their advantage is in their diverse offerings and established franchise network. Disadvantages include high debt and reliance on franchise success.
Major Acquisitions
AKT
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 25
- Strategic Rationale: Expansion of brand portfolio into dance-based fitness.
BFT (Body Fit Training)
- Year: 2019
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 15
- Strategic Rationale: Added strength-training focus to portfolio, expanded into Australia.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Xponential Fitness has experienced rapid growth through acquisitions and franchise expansion.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to continue through further franchise expansion, international development, and new brand acquisitions. Analyst estimates vary.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new international markets, launching new fitness concepts, and investing in technology platforms.
Summary
Xponential Fitness has grown rapidly through franchise expansion and strategic acquisitions, creating a diverse portfolio of boutique fitness brands. Despite its aggressive growth, Xponential Fitness is currently going through a class action lawsuit due to alleged questionable financial reporting. The company benefits from a scalable franchise model and a strong brand presence, but faces challenges related to debt, franchisee success, and a competitive fitness landscape. Xponential Fitness is best positioned for success if it can strengthen relationships with its franchisee and can generate confidence from its investors that it is reporting accurate financial data.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Website
- SEC Filings
- Press Releases
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and represents a snapshot in time. Financial data and market conditions are subject to change. This is not financial advice. Consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Xponential Fitness Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Irvine, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-07-23 | CEO & Director Mr. Michael M. Nuzzo | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Leisure | Full time employees 288 | Website https://www.xponential.com |
Full time employees 288 | Website https://www.xponential.com |
Xponential Fitness, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a boutique fitness brands franchisor in North America. The company's brands portfolio consist of Club Pilates, a Pilates facility franchisor; CycleBar, a premier indoor cycling franchise; StretchLab, a fitness concept offering one-on-one assisted stretching services; YogaSix, a yoga concept; Pure Barre, a total body workout concept that uses the ballet barre to perform small isometric movements; Rumble, a boxing concept that offers boxing-inspired group fitness classes; BFT, a high-intensity interval training concept that combines functional, high-energy strength, cardio, and conditioning-based classes to achieve the unique health of its members; and Lindora, a provider of medically guided wellness and metabolic health solutions. Xponential Fitness, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

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