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Upturn stock rating
XPOF logo

Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF)

Upturn stock rating
$7.26
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/15/2025: XPOF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

9 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $12.33

1 Year Target Price $12.33

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$12.33 Target price
52w Low $6.64
Current$7.26
52w High $18.87

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -59.87%
Avg. Invested days 27
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/15/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 345.75M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 12.33
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 12.33
Volume (30-day avg) 9
Beta 1.46
52 Weeks Range 6.64 - 18.87
Updated Date 10/17/2025
52 Weeks Range 6.64 - 18.87
Updated Date 10/17/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.79

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -17.85%
Operating Margin (TTM) 28.72%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 11.58%
Return on Equity (TTM) -28.84%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 9.17
Enterprise Value 647038060
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.09
Enterprise Value 647038060
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.09
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.04
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.87
Shares Outstanding 35097000
Shares Floating 25222810
Shares Outstanding 35097000
Shares Floating 25222810
Percent Insiders 7.51
Percent Institutions 90.59

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Xponential Fitness Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Xponential Fitness, Inc. was founded in 2017. It has quickly grown through acquisitions and franchising of various boutique fitness brands.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Franchising: Xponential Fitness franchises boutique fitness studios across multiple brands.
  • Company-Owned Studios: Operates a small number of company-owned studios for testing and brand management.
  • Merchandise Sales: Generates revenue from the sale of branded merchandise within its studios.
  • Subscription Revenues: Generates revenues from its XPASS Program which allows the subscribers to use all of the locations in the Xponential Fitness portfolio

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The company is led by Anthony Geisler (CEO). The organizational structure consists of brand presidents overseeing individual fitness concepts, supported by a corporate team managing franchising, operations, and marketing.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Club Pilates: A Pilates franchise offering group reformer classes. Competitors include local Pilates studios and other group fitness classes. Market share is estimated to be significant within the franchise Pilates segment, but specific figures are variable.
  • Pure Barre: A barre franchise focused on low-impact, high-intensity workouts. Competitors include The Bar Method and other barre studios. Market share is estimated to be a large percentage of the barre fitness sector, but precise figures are difficult to pinpoint.
  • CycleBar: An indoor cycling franchise. Competitors include SoulCycle, Peloton, and other cycling studios. The revenue attributable to CycleBar is hard to pinpoint.
  • YogaSix: A yoga franchise providing various styles of yoga classes. Competitors include CorePower Yoga and local yoga studios. Revenue from YogaSix is hard to determine.
  • StretchLab: A assisted stretching franchise. Competitors include massage franchises and individual practitioners. Revenue from StretchLab is hard to determine.
  • Row House: A rowing based franchise. Competitors include local rowing classes and OrangeTheory Fitness. Revenue from Row House is hard to determine.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The boutique fitness industry is competitive and fragmented, with increasing demand for specialized workout experiences. Trends include personalized fitness, technology integration, and a focus on community.

Positioning

Xponential Fitness positions itself as a leader in the boutique fitness franchising space, offering a diverse portfolio of brands and leveraging economies of scale. They are a aggregator of fitness brands with their competitive advantage being their large footprint of boutique fitness locations and ability to market to different customer segments.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global health and fitness club market is projected to reach hundreds of billions of USD. Xponential Fitness is positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM through franchise expansion and brand diversification.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Diverse brand portfolio
  • Franchise business model (scalable)
  • Strong brand recognition within niche fitness categories
  • Aggressive acquisition strategy
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • High debt levels
  • Reliance on franchisee success
  • Potential for brand cannibalization
  • Negative press exposure
  • Brand perception challenges

Opportunities

  • International expansion
  • Technological integration (e.g., virtual classes)
  • Partnerships with wellness and lifestyle brands
  • Increased focus on corporate wellness programs
  • Growth in demand for personalized fitness experiences

Threats

  • Increased competition from other fitness franchises and independent studios
  • Changing consumer preferences
  • Economic downturns impacting discretionary spending
  • Lawsuits and franchisee disputes
  • Rising operating costs

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • FRAN
  • SELF
  • PLNT

Competitive Landscape

Xponential Fitness has a strong brand portfolio, but faces competition from other franchise fitness concepts, independent studios, and digital fitness platforms. Their advantage is in their diverse offerings and established franchise network. Disadvantages include high debt and reliance on franchise success.

Major Acquisitions

AKT

  • Year: 2021
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 25
  • Strategic Rationale: Expansion of brand portfolio into dance-based fitness.

BFT (Body Fit Training)

  • Year: 2019
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 15
  • Strategic Rationale: Added strength-training focus to portfolio, expanded into Australia.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Xponential Fitness has experienced rapid growth through acquisitions and franchise expansion.

Future Projections: Future growth is projected to continue through further franchise expansion, international development, and new brand acquisitions. Analyst estimates vary.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new international markets, launching new fitness concepts, and investing in technology platforms.

Summary

Xponential Fitness has grown rapidly through franchise expansion and strategic acquisitions, creating a diverse portfolio of boutique fitness brands. Despite its aggressive growth, Xponential Fitness is currently going through a class action lawsuit due to alleged questionable financial reporting. The company benefits from a scalable franchise model and a strong brand presence, but faces challenges related to debt, franchisee success, and a competitive fitness landscape. Xponential Fitness is best positioned for success if it can strengthen relationships with its franchisee and can generate confidence from its investors that it is reporting accurate financial data.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Website
  • SEC Filings
  • Press Releases
  • Market Research Reports
  • Analyst Estimates

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and represents a snapshot in time. Financial data and market conditions are subject to change. This is not financial advice. Consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Xponential Fitness Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Irvine, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-07-23
CEO & Director Mr. Michael M. Nuzzo
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Leisure
Full time employees 288
Full time employees 288

Xponential Fitness, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a boutique fitness brands franchisor in North America. The company's brands portfolio consist of Club Pilates, a Pilates facility franchisor; CycleBar, a premier indoor cycling franchise; StretchLab, a fitness concept offering one-on-one assisted stretching services; YogaSix, a yoga concept; Pure Barre, a total body workout concept that uses the ballet barre to perform small isometric movements; Rumble, a boxing concept that offers boxing-inspired group fitness classes; BFT, a high-intensity interval training concept that combines functional, high-energy strength, cardio, and conditioning-based classes to achieve the unique health of its members; and Lindora, a provider of medically guided wellness and metabolic health solutions. Xponential Fitness, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.