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Upturn AI Summary - About
Asbury Automotive Group Inc(ABG)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ABG
11/05/2026: ABG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Asbury Automotive Group is a major U.S. automotive retailer that sells new and used vehicles while providing essential parts and repair services. Its primary strength lies in a diversified brand portfolio and a high-margin service segment that offers recurring revenue stability. The company's main investment story centers on its potential to further consolidate the fragmented dealership market. However, investors must consider the cyclical risks of the auto industry, high debt loads, and the competitive threat from direct-to-consumer electric vehicle manufacturers. Asbury may suit value-oriented investors, though it is currently not a source of dividend income, and performance should be monitored against interest rate trends and vehicle inventory levels.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company relies on acquisition-led growth, which can be inconsistent depending on capital availability and market conditions. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock can exhibit strong momentum during periods of auto industry expansion and rising consumer demand. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Asbury often trades at low P/E multiples relative to broader markets, which may appeal to value-oriented investors. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not provide a regular dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The automotive retail business is cyclical and sensitive to economic fluctuations, leading to higher volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock is highly sensitive to macroeconomic shifts and consumer sentiment regarding vehicle purchases. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | While often inexpensive, the market may assign lower multiples due to the cyclical nature of the business. |
| Competition risk (Dealer Group Consolidation) | High | Intense competition from other major dealership groups limits pricing power and market share gains. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business has historically maintained decent margins, but faces significant pressures from OEMs and economic cycles. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | The lack of dividend payments eliminates this as a source of reliable investment income. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Successful growth depends heavily on the company's ability to integrate acquisitions effectively. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -31.33% | Avg. Invested days 23 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/05/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.75B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.28 | 1Y Target Price 223.73 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.28 | 1Y Target Price 223.73 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 335.5K shares | Beta 0.75 | 52 Weeks Range 160.30 - 258.75 | Updated Date 11/05/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 160.30 - 258.75 | Updated Date 11/05/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 25.24 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| New Vehicle Retail | Sale of new cars and trucks from franchise dealerships. | This is a high-volume, low-margin business that drives traffic for service and F&I sales. |
| Parts and Service | Maintenance, repair, and collision center services. | This is the most profitable segment for the company and provides important recurring revenue. |
| Used Vehicle Retail | Sales of certified pre-owned and non-certified used vehicles. | Used cars generally provide higher profit margins per unit than new vehicles. |
| Finance and Insurance (F&I) | Providing financing, warranties, and insurance at the point of sale. | High-margin ancillary services that significantly boost overall dealership profitability. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-27 | When Before Market | Estimate 6.46 | Actual 6.16 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.66% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.68% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.66% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.82% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.28 | Forward PE 6.92 | Enterprise Value 9.03B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 |
Enterprise Value 9.03B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.5 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.83 | Shares Outstanding 17.95M | Shares Floating 15.64M |
Shares Outstanding 17.95M | Shares Floating 15.64M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.86 | Percent Institutions 111.47 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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