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Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/06/2026: ORC (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 21 days. Simulated Profits (3.73%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $7.5
1 Year Target Price $7.5
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -2.84% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.26B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 14.42 | 1Y Target Price 7.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio 14.42 | 1Y Target Price 7.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.68 | 52 Weeks Range 4.89 - 7.51 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 4.89 - 7.51 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 19.51% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.52 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 76.28% | Operating Margin (TTM) 92.98% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.81% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.02% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 14.42 | Forward PE 7.77 | Enterprise Value 8563333120 | Price to Sales(TTM) 15.69 |
Enterprise Value 8563333120 | Price to Sales(TTM) 15.69 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 15.44 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 167762089 | Shares Floating 151510383 |
Shares Outstanding 167762089 | Shares Floating 151510383 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.13 | Percent Institutions 30.5 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Orchid Island Capital Inc.
Company Overview
History and Background
Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) was founded in 2001. It operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in a diversified portfolio of mortgage-backed securities, primarily agency mortgage-backed securities ('MBS'). The company's evolution has been characterized by its focus on generating income from interest rate differentials and managing its portfolio in response to changing market conditions.
Core Business Areas
- Mortgage-Backed Securities Investment: Orchid Island Capital Inc. primarily invests in and manages a portfolio of agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS). These securities are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government. The company aims to generate income through the interest payments on these securities and through the potential appreciation of their market value.
- Interest Rate Risk Management: A core function of ORC's business involves actively managing its exposure to interest rate fluctuations. This is crucial as changes in interest rates can significantly impact the value of MBS and the company's net interest income. They utilize various financial instruments to hedge against these risks.
Leadership and Structure
Orchid Island Capital Inc. is led by a management team that includes a Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and other key executives. The company operates as a REIT, which has specific corporate governance and tax requirements. The board of directors oversees the company's strategic direction and operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS): Orchid Island Capital Inc.'s primary 'product' is its portfolio of agency MBS. These are securities issued or guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The company's success hinges on its ability to select, acquire, and manage these assets to generate consistent income. Market share data for individual MBS portfolios is not typically publicly disclosed in a way that allows for direct comparison. Key competitors in the MBS market include other REITs, hedge funds, and large financial institutions with significant fixed-income operations. Revenue from this 'offering' is derived from net interest income and gains on securities.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Orchid Island Capital Inc. operates within the broader financial services and real estate investment trust (REIT) sectors, with a specific focus on the mortgage-backed securities market. This market is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates, inflation, housing market conditions, and government monetary policy. The agency MBS market is a large and liquid market, but it is highly sensitive to interest rate changes.
Positioning
Orchid Island Capital Inc. is a publicly traded REIT specializing in agency MBS. Its positioning is that of an income-focused investor seeking to generate dividends for its shareholders through its investment strategy. Its competitive advantages lie in its expertise in managing MBS portfolios, its ability to access capital, and its established relationships within the financial markets.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for agency mortgage-backed securities is in the trillions of dollars, representing a significant portion of the fixed-income market in the United States. Orchid Island Capital Inc. is a relatively small player within this vast market. Its current market capitalization indicates its position as a niche investor focused on a specific segment of this TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Specialized expertise in managing mortgage-backed securities.
- Focus on generating income through interest rate differentials.
- Experienced management team in the REIT and MBS sectors.
- Access to capital markets for portfolio growth and financing.
Weaknesses
- High sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations, which can impact profitability.
- Reliance on a single asset class (agency MBS) can limit diversification.
- Potential for leverage to amplify losses during adverse market conditions.
- Operational costs associated with managing a complex portfolio.
Opportunities
- Potential for portfolio growth through strategic acquisitions or market opportunities.
- Exploiting favorable interest rate environments to increase net interest income.
- Developing or expanding hedging strategies to mitigate interest rate risk.
- Diversifying into related fixed-income or mortgage-related assets.
Threats
- Rising interest rates leading to portfolio value depreciation and higher borrowing costs.
- Economic downturns impacting the housing market and mortgage performance.
- Changes in government monetary policy and regulatory actions affecting the MBS market.
- Increased competition from other financial institutions and REITs in the MBS space.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Annaly Capital Management Inc. (NLY)
- AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc. (MITT)
- Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc. (ARI)
- Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM)
- Starwood Property Trust Inc. (STWD)
Competitive Landscape
Orchid Island Capital Inc. competes in a market with several larger, more established mortgage REITs. Its competitive advantages include its specialized focus and potentially nimble management style. However, it faces challenges from competitors with greater scale, diversified portfolios, and potentially lower borrowing costs due to their size and creditworthiness. The landscape is highly competitive, with success often depending on effective interest rate risk management and portfolio selection.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Orchid Island Capital Inc.'s growth has historically been tied to its ability to acquire and manage MBS portfolios effectively, particularly during periods of stable or declining interest rates. Its growth is also influenced by its access to leverage and capital markets.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Orchid Island Capital Inc. would typically be based on analyst estimates that consider interest rate forecasts, the company's leverage, its dividend payout strategy, and potential portfolio expansion. The company's ability to navigate a potentially rising interest rate environment will be a key factor.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include adjustments to portfolio composition, implementation of new hedging strategies, or efforts to optimize borrowing costs. Specific initiatives would be detailed in the company's investor relations communications and SEC filings.
Summary
Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) is a specialized REIT focused on agency mortgage-backed securities, aiming to generate income and dividends. Its core strength lies in its niche expertise, but it's highly vulnerable to interest rate fluctuations. The company needs to carefully manage its leverage and hedging strategies to navigate potential market headwinds. Continued focus on efficient portfolio management and access to capital will be crucial for its sustained performance.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg)
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Orchid Island Capital Inc.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Vero Beach, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-02-14 | Chairman, President & CEO Mr. Robert E. Cauley C.F.A., CPA | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees - | |
Full time employees - | |||
Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the United States. The company's RMBS is backed by single-family residential mortgage loans, referred as Agency RMBS. Its portfolio comprises traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations; and structured Agency RMBS, including interest only securities, inverse interest only securities, and principal only securities. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) for the United States federal income tax purposes. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to stockholders, if it annually distributes dividends equal to at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its shareholders. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Vero Beach, Florida.

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