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Upturn AI Summary - About
Alto Ingredients Inc(ALTO)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ALTO
10/27/2026: ALTO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Alto Ingredients, Inc. is a producer of specialty alcohols and essential ingredients that is currently transitioning away from a legacy focus on commodity fuel-grade ethanol. The company’s primary strengths include its diversified product portfolio and a multi-facility footprint designed to capture value in food, pharmaceutical, and animal nutrition sectors. The main investment opportunity lies in successfully scaling high-margin specialty alcohol sales, though this must be weighed against significant risks, including high sensitivity to raw material costs and intense competition from larger agricultural processors. The stock may suit investors willing to accept volatility during this strategic transition, but it is not a traditional dividend play.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company is in a turnaround and transition phase, making growth metrics inconsistent. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is conditional on clear, sustained breakouts in specialty product margin expansion. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation may appear attractive given historical price levels, but fundamental risks remain high. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a dividend and focuses on internal capital reinvestment. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High exposure to commodity price volatility creates a high-risk profile. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Fluctuations in corn and energy costs significantly impact margins. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market sentiment often swings based on ethanol price cycles rather than specialty chemical performance. |
| Competition risk (Commodity producers) | High | Large competitors like ADM have significant scale advantages. |
| Business quality | Medium | The transition to specialty alcohols is ongoing and not yet fully reflected in consistent high margins. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Capital is entirely prioritized for debt reduction and operational improvements. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Successful execution of the specialty chemical strategy is critical to long-term viability. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -79.24% | Avg. Invested days 23 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/27/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 283.90M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 5.38 | 1Y Target Price 8.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio 5.38 | 1Y Target Price 8.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.1M shares | Beta 0.15 | 52 Weeks Range 0.99 - 6.11 | Updated Date 10/27/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 0.99 - 6.11 | Updated Date 10/27/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.68 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Specialty Alcohols | High-purity alcohols for food, beverage, pharma, and personal care. | This is the higher-margin segment that defines the company's future growth narrative. |
| Essential Ingredients | Yeast and corn-based proteins for animal and pet feed. | Provides stable demand and utilizes byproducts from the alcohol production process. |
| Renewable Fuels | Standard ethanol production. | A legacy business area that provides scale but is highly sensitive to energy prices. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-04 | When After Market | Estimate 0.07 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.51% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.51% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.81% | Return on Equity (TTM) 22.23% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 5.38 | Forward PE 12.87 | Enterprise Value 338.61M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3 |
Enterprise Value 338.61M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.36 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.93 | Shares Outstanding 77.57M | Shares Floating 69.28M |
Shares Outstanding 77.57M | Shares Floating 69.28M | ||
Percent Insiders 6.09 | Percent Institutions 55.53 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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