Applied Digital Corporation logo

Applied Digital Corporation(APLD)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
2-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$23.68
10/09/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for APLD

10/09/2026: APLD (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Applied Digital Corporation is an infrastructure company that provides high-performance computing and AI cloud services, specializing in the design and operation of high-density data centers. The company has successfully pivoted from crypto-hosting to serve the rapidly expanding demand for GPU compute power. Its main opportunity lies in scaling its AI cloud platform to attract high-profile enterprise customers. However, the company faces significant execution, valuation, and competitive risks, particularly from hyperscale cloud providers with greater capital resources. Applied Digital may best suit growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance who are willing to monitor infrastructure execution and capital funding milestones.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitApplied Digital offers aggressive growth exposure to the AI infrastructure super-cycle.
Momentum investorMixed fitThe stock is highly sensitive to AI-sector sentiment and requires a positive trend to justify technical entry.
Value investorWeak fitThe company's heavy capital expenditures and current lack of consistent net profitability make it unsuitable for traditional value metrics.
Dividend investorWeak fitApplied Digital does not pay a dividend, prioritizing capital reinvestment.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility and operational execution risks make this unsuitable for conservative portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock frequently experiences large price swings driven by market sentiment and sector-specific news.
Valuation riskHighValuations are heavily dependent on future growth expectations, leaving little room for error in execution.
Competition risk (AI Cloud)Medium / highThe company competes with deep-pocketed hyperscalers that can aggressively price or out-scale them.
Business qualityMediumThe company is still in a transformative phase of building a sustainable, long-term moat in AI infrastructure.
Dividend incomeLow / noneNo dividend income is currently available or expected in the near term.
Execution riskHighScaling physical data center capacity on time and within budget is critical for meeting revenue targets.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 23.55%
Avg. Invested days 25
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/09/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
APLD receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
APLD has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, moderate growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, strong revenue growth (+183.7%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-5.6%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -454.1%), weak profitability (net margin -39.9%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
APLD's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 35.2%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is APLD's strongest growth driver at +183.7% FY2026 versus FY2025 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-5.6%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-248.3%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 74.4% and approximately 84.5% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 7.67% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Hood River Capital Management LLC 7.58%
Situational Awareness LP 5.18%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.62%
Situational Awareness Partners LP 4.54%
BlackRock Inc 4.50%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
APLD generates approximately $258 of gross profit, $-387 of operating income, and $-4,541 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -0.98% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
APLD has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 7.16B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 64.03
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 64.03
Volume (30-day avg) 19.3M shares
Beta 6
52 Weeks Range 19.00 - 50.73
Updated Date 10/11/2026
52 Weeks Range 19.00 - 50.73
Updated Date 10/11/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.91

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
AI Cloud ServicesGPU-powered cloud compute cycles provided to AI training and inference developers.The company earns money by renting out high-performance computer chips to businesses developing AI.
Data Center HostingLeasing physical space, power, and cooling to high-density compute users.The company charges fees to host and power the heavy machinery required for high-tech data operations.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 526.32
Enterprise Value 11.25B
Price to Sales(TTM) 8.21
Enterprise Value 11.25B
Price to Sales(TTM) 8.21
Enterprise Value to Revenue 18.4
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -7.43
Shares Outstanding 302.39M
Shares Floating 255.44M
Shares Outstanding 302.39M
Shares Floating 255.44M
Percent Insiders 7.67
Percent Institutions 74.41

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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