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Upturn AI Summary - About
ArcBest Corp(ARCB)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ARCB
11/13/2026: ARCB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
ArcBest Corp is a significant US-based logistics provider known for its hybrid 'single-source' model that combines asset-based LTL shipping with flexible asset-light logistics services. The company's main strength lies in its ability to manage diverse supply chain needs, supported by its established ABF Freight network. Its growth story centers on expanding high-margin, technology-driven logistics solutions through targeted acquisitions and internal innovation. Primary risks include sensitivity to cyclical freight demand, intense competition from national carriers, and inflationary pressures on operating costs. The stock may suit value-oriented investors who can tolerate cyclical volatility, though potential shareholders should closely monitor freight volume trends and margin sustainability.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth depends significantly on cyclical economic expansion in freight demand. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is conditional on positive trends in shipping volumes and economic outlook. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at valuations that reflect cyclical risks and long-term asset value. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | Provides consistent income but growth in payout is moderated by capital expenditure needs. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The inherent cyclicality of the logistics industry leads to notable price volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | Logistics stocks are highly sensitive to economic cycles and fuel price fluctuations. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market sentiment can rapidly swing based on short-term freight volume data. |
| Competition risk (LTL pricing) | High | Aggressive pricing from larger national carriers can pressure margins. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company has strong institutional knowledge but competes in a capital-intensive sector. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Dividends are reliable but not the primary driver of total returns for this stock. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success relies on balancing physical asset operations with complex, high-tech logistics services. |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.97B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 105.14 | 1Y Target Price 167.15 |
Price to earnings Ratio 105.14 | 1Y Target Price 167.15 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 239.8K shares | Beta 1.73 | 52 Weeks Range 59.20 - 176.37 | Updated Date 11/13/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 59.20 - 176.37 | Updated Date 11/13/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.35% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.28 |
Sector & Industry Intelligence
Sector
Industrials
Constructive- Sentiment
- Bullish
- Momentum
- BUY Breadth Improving
- BUY participation
- 39.5%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 30 / 76
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- +12
- Market state
- Bullish
More qualifying stocks are receiving or maintaining BUY advisories, indicating improving market participation.
Industry
Trucking
- BUY participation
- 0.0%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 0 / 1
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- 0
Eligible universe: 1 stock.
Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -19.46% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/13/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Asset-Based (LTL) | Shipping freight through the ABF Freight network across North America. | This is the company's traditional freight shipping core that drives significant revenue. |
| Asset-Light Logistics | Brokerage, expedite, and managed transportation services. | This segment provides flexible shipping solutions and often carries higher margins. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-04 | When Before Market | Estimate 2.54 | Actual 2.62 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.66% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.43% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.77% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.19% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 105.14 | Forward PE 14.45 | Enterprise Value 3.19B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.68 |
Enterprise Value 3.19B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.68 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.74 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.04 | Shares Outstanding 22.05M | Shares Floating 21.66M |
Shares Outstanding 22.05M | Shares Floating 21.66M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.42 | Percent Institutions 108.15 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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