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Upturn AI Summary - About
Arlo Technologies(ARLO)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ARLO
09/25/2026: ARLO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Arlo Technologies is a specialized smart home security company known for its high-quality cameras and AI-driven subscription services. The company is currently executing a strategic pivot from a hardware-centric model to a recurring-revenue-based services model, which is its primary growth story. While Arlo has a recognized brand and strong hardware engineering, it faces significant risks from larger technology conglomerates that dominate the smart home ecosystem. Investors should monitor subscription retention and the ability to maintain margins against intense pricing pressure. This stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors who are comfortable with the inherent volatility of a company competing against the largest tech firms in the world.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Arlo is attempting to pivot to a high-margin service model, but growth has been inconsistent against major competitors. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Arlo can experience sharp price movements based on subscription growth announcements or partnership news. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company's profitability and valuation metrics remain highly dependent on future service growth rather than current earnings power. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Arlo does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High competition and reliance on tech-giant rivals create significant risk and volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is subject to fluctuations based on consumer sentiment and tech sector trends. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Market expectations for subscription growth are high, leaving little room for error. |
| Competition risk (AI/Tech giants) | High | Arlo struggles against competitors like Amazon and Google that bundle security with broader services. |
| Business quality | Medium | The transition to recurring revenue is promising but still in the scaling phase. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no dividend income provided by this equity. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | The company must consistently deliver high-quality AI features to retain subscribers. |
Price Behavior
Flat / Range-Bound
The stock price has been trading within a narrow range with minimal directional movement.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -47.28% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/25/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.40B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 46.5 | 1Y Target Price 21 |
Price to earnings Ratio 46.5 | 1Y Target Price 21 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.2M shares | Beta 1.54 | 52 Weeks Range 11.05 - 19.94 | Updated Date 09/24/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 11.05 - 19.94 | Updated Date 09/24/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.28 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Hardware Sales | Smart cameras, doorbells, and security hubs. | Hardware sales are the entry point for the customer base but often carry lower margins. |
| Services/Subscriptions | Arlo Secure, cloud storage, and AI-powered detection alerts. | This is the core of the growth story, providing higher-margin, recurring revenue. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 46.5 | Forward PE 13.79 | Enterprise Value 1.33B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.39 |
Enterprise Value 1.33B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.39 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.27 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 59.39 | Shares Outstanding 107.61M | Shares Floating 104.49M |
Shares Outstanding 107.61M | Shares Floating 104.49M | ||
Percent Insiders 3.14 | Percent Institutions 104.17 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Arlo Technologies
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters Carlsbad, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-08-03 | CEO & Director Mr. Matthew Blake McRae | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Building Products & Equipment | Full time employees 376 | Website https://www.arlo.com |
Full time employees 376 | Website https://www.arlo.com | ||
Arlo Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud-based platform services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. The company offers Arlo Essential Cameras and Doorbells delivers smart home protection, including automated privacy shield, 360-degree coverage, and 2K video resolution; Arlo Home Security System, an all-in-one multi-sensor that provides access to security experts for monitoring and responding to emergency situations; ARLO PRO 6, a pro series wireless security cameras; ARLO ULTRA 3, a 4K HDR video resolution, auto-zoom and tracking and an expansive 180-degree field of view camera; Arlo Go 2, a camera for monitoring remote areas, large properties, construction sites, vacation homes, boat or RV slips, and hard-to-access areas; and Arlo Floodlight Camera, a wire-free floodlight camera. It also provides security system accessories, charging accessories, and mounts. In addition, the company offers Arlo Secure subscriptions, including AI-powered recognition and detection; 2K secure plan and 4K secure plus plan cloud-based video recording; unlimited cameras; advanced object detection; smart interactive notifications; smoke and CO alarm detection; cloud-based activity zone; call a friend; and 24/7 priority support and professional monitoring services; Arlo Total Security, a subscription which provides 24/7 professional monitoring and security hardware; Arlo Safe, a personal safety app that offers one-touch emergency response, family safety, and crash detection and response services; and Arlo SmartCloud, a SaaS solution that delivers security cloud services for business. It sells its products through retailers, wholesale distributors, broadcast channels, wireless carriers, and security solution providers, as well as through its website. Arlo Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.
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