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ASTH 
Astrana Health Inc (ASTH)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/10/2025: ASTH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
12 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $40.25
1 Year Target Price $40.25
| 9 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -57.69% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/10/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.07B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 112.37 | 1Y Target Price 40.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio 112.37 | 1Y Target Price 40.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 12 | Beta 0.87 | 52 Weeks Range 20.12 - 39.97 | Updated Date 12/9/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 20.12 - 39.97 | Updated Date 12/9/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.19 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.33% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.88% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.83% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 112.37 | Forward PE 23.04 | Enterprise Value 1694617337 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37 |
Enterprise Value 1694617337 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.59 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.67 | Shares Outstanding 50155613 | Shares Floating 37711002 |
Shares Outstanding 50155613 | Shares Floating 37711002 | ||
Percent Insiders 22.11 | Percent Institutions 54.98 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Astrana Health Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Astrana Health Inc. (formerly known as Alignment Healthcare, Inc.) was founded in 2013. It is a health maintenance organization (HMO) that focuses on providing health insurance plans and care management services, particularly for seniors in the Medicare Advantage market. The company has grown by expanding its geographic reach and product offerings.
Core Business Areas
- Health Insurance Plans: Offers Medicare Advantage plans in various states, providing a range of benefits including medical, prescription drug, and supplemental benefits. Focuses on a value-based care model.
- Care Management Services: Provides integrated care management services to its members, leveraging technology and a network of providers to improve health outcomes and reduce costs. This includes chronic condition management and transitional care.
- Technology Platform (APEX): Develops and utilizes its proprietary technology platform, APEX, to manage member care, analyze data, and optimize operational efficiency across its business segments.
Leadership and Structure
Astrana Health Inc. is led by a management team with experience in healthcare and technology. The company operates through a matrixed structure, with distinct units for health plan operations, care management, and technology development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Medicare Advantage Plans: Astrana Health Inc. offers a variety of Medicare Advantage plans. Specific market share data for individual plans is not publicly disclosed in a granular fashion. Competitors include UnitedHealth Group (UnitedHealthcare), Humana, CVS Health (Aetna), and Anthem (Elevance Health).
- Chronic Condition Management Programs: These programs are integrated into their health plans to help members with conditions like diabetes, heart failure, and COPD. Market share is difficult to quantify as these are often bundled services within insurance plans.
- APEX Technology Platform: This is an internal platform used for care coordination and data analytics. Its 'market share' is reflected in its adoption and effectiveness within Astrana's own operations, contributing to their competitive advantage.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The US health insurance industry, particularly the Medicare Advantage market, is characterized by significant growth driven by an aging population and the appeal of comprehensive, bundled benefits. It is a highly regulated and competitive landscape with a strong emphasis on value-based care and technological innovation.
Positioning
Astrana Health Inc. positions itself as an innovative provider of Medicare Advantage plans and integrated care management, utilizing its technology platform to deliver personalized and efficient care. Its competitive advantages lie in its value-based care model and proprietary technology.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the US Medicare Advantage market is substantial and growing, estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars annually, encompassing millions of eligible beneficiaries. Astrana Health Inc. is a growing player within this market, focusing on specific geographic regions and demographics.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary technology platform (APEX) for care management and data analytics.
- Focus on value-based care model, potentially leading to better health outcomes and cost savings.
- Growing network of providers and members.
- Experienced leadership team.
Weaknesses
- Relatively smaller scale compared to major national health insurers.
- Dependence on Medicare Advantage program regulations and reimbursement rates.
- Brand recognition may be lower than established competitors.
- Profitability can be sensitive to medical costs and utilization.
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets and demographic segments.
- Increased adoption of value-based care models across the healthcare industry.
- Leveraging technology for further innovation in care delivery and member engagement.
- Partnerships with healthcare providers and pharmaceutical companies.
Threats
- Changes in government healthcare policy and regulations (e.g., Medicare Advantage payment rules).
- Intense competition from large, established health insurance companies.
- Rising healthcare costs and inflation impacting profitability.
- Cybersecurity risks and data privacy concerns.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
- Humana Inc. (HUM)
- CVS Health Corporation (CVS)
- Elevance Health Inc. (ELV)
Competitive Landscape
Astrana Health Inc. operates in a highly competitive landscape dominated by much larger, established players. Its advantages lie in its specialized focus on value-based Medicare Advantage care and its technology platform, which allows for agility and personalized member management. However, it faces challenges in competing on scale, brand recognition, and established provider relationships with larger competitors.
Major Acquisitions
CareMore Health
- Year: 2024
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1900
- Strategic Rationale: To expand its presence in Medicare Advantage and the senior care market, particularly in regions where CareMore has a strong footprint, and to integrate CareMore's complementary care model and patient base into Astrana's operations.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Astrana Health Inc. has demonstrated historical growth driven by an increasing member base and expansion into new markets. This growth has been supported by its integrated care model and technological capabilities.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be driven by continued expansion in Medicare Advantage enrollment, potential entry into new product lines or geographic areas, and the ongoing development and application of its technology platform. Analyst estimates would provide specific growth rate projections. (Specific numerical data requires access to analyst reports.)
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include efforts to enhance member engagement through technology, expand provider networks, and optimize care management programs to improve outcomes and efficiency. The rebranding to Astrana Health Inc. itself represents a strategic move.
Summary
Astrana Health Inc. is a growing player in the Medicare Advantage market, leveraging its technology-driven value-based care model to improve member outcomes and operational efficiency. While it faces intense competition from larger insurers, its specialized focus and recent strategic acquisitions position it for continued expansion. Key to its success will be its ability to manage costs effectively, adapt to regulatory changes, and further innovate its care delivery solutions.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company investor relations websites and SEC filings.
- Reputable financial news and data providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Zacks).
- Industry analysis reports.
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is based on publicly available information and general industry knowledge. Specific financial figures and market share percentages are illustrative and may not reflect the most up-to-date real-time data. This is not financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Astrana Health Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Alhambra, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2000-01-13 | President & CEO Mr. Brandon K. Sim M.S. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Medical Care Facilities | Full time employees 1900 | Website https://www.astranahealth.com |
Full time employees 1900 | Website https://www.astranahealth.com | ||
Astrana Health, Inc., a healthcare management company, provides medical care services in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Care Partners, Care Delivery, and Care Enablement. The company offers care coordination services to patients, families, primary care physicians, specialists, acute care hospitals, alternative sites of inpatient care, physician groups, and health plans. Its physician network consists of primary care physicians, specialist physicians and extenders, and hospitalists. The company serves patients primarily covered by private or public insurance, such as Medicare, Medicaid, and health maintenance organization; and non-insured patients. The company was formerly known as Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Astrana Health, Inc. in February 2024. Astrana Health, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Alhambra, California.
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