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BJs Restaurants Inc(BJRI)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BJRI
11/10/2026: BJRI (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
BJs Restaurants Inc is a casual dining operator recognized for its signature deep-dish pizza and proprietary craft beer. The company maintains a leading position in the polished casual segment, leveraging its distinct menu to attract diners. Its primary growth strategy revolves around expanding its store footprint and enhancing digital channels to boost off-premise sales. However, the company faces significant risks, including intense competition, sensitivity to rising labor and commodity costs, and the cyclical nature of discretionary consumer spending. The stock may suit investors interested in the restaurant sector, though potential buyers should monitor unit growth metrics and margin trends carefully.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers moderate growth potential through store expansion but faces significant industry headwinds. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock lacks sustained upward price momentum required for a momentum strategy. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation may be attractive periodically, but earnings stability remains a primary concern. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not currently provide a robust dividend yield for income-focused investors. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Restaurant stocks are inherently cyclical and subject to high volatility based on macroeconomic trends. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is subject to sharp price fluctuations driven by consumer sentiment and quarterly earnings results. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | P/E multiples can be volatile depending on market expectations for unit growth. |
| Competition risk (Casual Dining) | High | The sector is highly competitive, putting pressure on pricing and market share. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business model is solid but remains sensitive to broader economic and labor environment changes. |
| Dividend income | Low | Dividends are not a focus of the capital allocation strategy. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Successfully scaling restaurant units while managing rising costs is a core operational challenge. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 86.02% | Avg. Invested days 59 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/10/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.26B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 27.88 | 1Y Target Price 74.71 |
Price to earnings Ratio 27.88 | 1Y Target Price 74.71 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 530.5K shares | Beta 1.45 | 52 Weeks Range 33.36 - 74.60 | Updated Date 11/10/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 33.36 - 74.60 | Updated Date 11/10/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.07 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Dining Operations | Revenue from food and beverage sales at BJ's Restaurant & Brewhouse locations across the United States. | The company primarily earns money by selling meals and drinks to customers in their restaurants. |
| Geography | Operations are primarily concentrated in the Western, Southwestern, and Midwestern United States. | The company is a US-centric operator, so investors should watch domestic consumer trends closely. |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-05 | When After Market | Estimate 0.14 | Actual 0.33 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.13% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.22% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.31% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.95% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 27.88 | Forward PE 21.51 | Enterprise Value 1.65B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.86 |
Enterprise Value 1.65B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.86 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.1 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.15 | Shares Outstanding 21.90M | Shares Floating 21.05M |
Shares Outstanding 21.90M | Shares Floating 21.05M | ||
Percent Insiders 4.86 | Percent Institutions 104.49 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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