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Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)CHDN
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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/25/2024: CHDN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -4.24% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 44 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 10/25/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -4.24% | Avg. Invested days: 44 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/25/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 10.43B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 25.66 | 1Y Target Price 163.02 |
Dividends yield (FY) 0.29% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.53 |
Volume (30-day avg) 491810 | Beta 0.96 |
52 Weeks Range 111.09 - 150.21 | Updated Date 11/12/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 10.43B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 25.66 | 1Y Target Price 163.02 |
Dividends yield (FY) 0.29% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.53 | Volume (30-day avg) 491810 | Beta 0.96 |
52 Weeks Range 111.09 - 150.21 | Updated Date 11/12/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-23 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 1.06 | Actual 0.97 |
Report Date 2024-10-23 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 1.06 | Actual 0.97 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 15.45% | Operating Margin (TTM) 20.02% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.25% | Return on Equity (TTM) 41.37% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 25.66 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 15108717613 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.9 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.66 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.53 |
Shares Outstanding 73496704 | Shares Floating 66541009 |
Percent Insiders 9.92 | Percent Institutions 79.33 |
Trailing PE 25.66 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 15108717613 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.9 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.66 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.53 | Shares Outstanding 73496704 | Shares Floating 66541009 |
Percent Insiders 9.92 | Percent Institutions 79.33 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.82 | Target Price 144.75 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 9 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.82 | Target Price 144.75 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 9 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is a publicly traded company headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky. Founded in 1875, it boasts a rich history as the owner of the world-renowned Churchill Downs racetrack, home to the legendary Kentucky Derby. The company has expanded beyond horseracing, now encompassing various facets of the gaming and entertainment industry.
Core Business Areas:
Live and Historical Racing: This segment includes live horseracing events at Churchill Downs Racetrack and other racetrack partners, as well as the operation of historical racing machines (HRMs) in Kentucky.
TwinSpires: This online platform offers wagering on thoroughbred horse racing, other sports, and iGaming in legal jurisdictions.
Casino Gaming: CHDN owns and operates casinos in various locations across the United States.
Real Estate: The company owns and manages various real estate assets, including Churchill Downs Racetrack and its surrounding properties.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
The current CEO of Churchill Downs Incorporated is William C. Carstanjen, who has held the position since 2015. The company operates under a Board of Directors, responsible for overseeing executive management and guiding the company's strategic direction.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
Kentucky Derby: This marquee event, held annually at Churchill Downs, attracts global attention and generates significant revenue for the company.
TwinSpires Platform: This online platform facilitates wagering on horse racing and other events, offering convenience and accessibility to customers.
Casino Operations: CHDN's casinos contribute significantly to its overall revenue through gaming activities.
Market Share:
CHDN holds the leading market share in the live horseracing industry in the United States, primarily due to its ownership of the Kentucky Derby. The company's online platform, TwinSpires, competes with other major players in the online sports betting and iGaming space.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
The Kentucky Derby consistently attracts millions of viewers and generates substantial betting revenue. TwinSpires has gained traction amongst online bettors, expanding its user base and market share. CHDN's casino operations perform well in their respective markets, contributing to the company's overall profitability.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for CHDN encompasses several segments:
Live Horse Racing: The global market for live horse racing is estimated to be around $290 billion, with the US market accounting for a significant portion.
Online Sports Betting and iGaming: This market is rapidly growing in the United States, with its potential size estimated to be over $40 billion.
Casino Gaming: The global casino gaming market is estimated to be worth over $500 billion, with the US market contributing significantly to this figure.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
In its most recent financial report, CHDN reported a revenue of $1.2 billion and a net income of $110 million. The company's profit margins are healthy, with an EPS of $1.38.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
CHDN's financial performance has shown steady growth over the past few years. Revenue and net income have increased, while profit margins have remained stable.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
The company maintains a healthy cash flow position and a strong balance sheet, demonstrating its financial stability and ability to invest in growth initiatives.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
CHDN has a consistent dividend payout history, with a recent dividend yield of approximately 1.5%. The payout ratio is currently around 30%.
Shareholder Returns:
Total shareholder returns have been positive over various time periods, demonstrating the company's value creation for investors.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
CHDN has experienced steady growth over the past five to ten years, driven by expansion in its online and casino segments.
Future Growth Projections:
The company projects continued growth in online sports betting and iGaming, fueled by market expansion and strategic partnerships. Additionally, CHDN aims to further solidify its position in the casino gaming industry.
Recent Initiatives:
CHDN has recently launched new online betting platforms, entered into strategic partnerships, and acquired new casino properties, all contributing to its growth prospects.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
The gambling and entertainment industry is experiencing significant changes, with online platforms playing an increasingly important role. Mergers and acquisitions are shaping the landscape, with companies seeking to expand their reach and offerings.
CHDN's Positioning:
CHDN is well-positioned to benefit from these trends, leveraging its strong brand recognition and established customer base in the horseracing industry to expand into online gaming and other segments. The company's strategic acquisitions and investments further strengthen its competitive edge.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Penn National Gaming (PENN)
- DraftKings (DKNG)
- Flutter Entertainment (PDYPY)
- MGM Resorts International (MGM)
- Wynn Resorts (WYNN)
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
CHDN's competitive advantages include its iconic brand, strong market position in horseracing, and established online platform. However, the company faces competition from well-funded players in the online gaming space.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Intensifying competition in the online gaming market.
- Regulatory changes and legal challenges in different jurisdictions.
- Potential for economic downturns affecting consumer spending.
Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets and jurisdictions with legalized online gaming.
- Developing innovative products and services to attract new customer segments.
- Leveraging its strong brand and horseracing expertise to create unique offerings.
Recent Acquisitions
Notable Acquisitions:
- BetAmerica (2020): This acquisition expanded CHDN's online sports betting and iGaming presence in the United States.
- Presque Isle Downs & Casino (2019): This acquisition added a casino property to CHDN's portfolio, strengthening its position in the Pennsylvania market.
- Big Fish Games (2018): This acquisition diversified CHDN's revenue streams and provided access to a large user base of casual gamers.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 7.5 out of 10
Justification:
CHDN exhibits strong fundamentals, including consistent revenue growth, stable profit margins, and a healthy financial position. Moreover, the company benefits from its strong brand recognition and established market position in the horseracing industry. However, competition in the online gaming space presents a challenge that CHDN needs to address effectively.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Churchill Downs Incorporated Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
Disclaimer:
This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Churchill Downs Incorporated
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Louisville, KY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1993-03-29 | CEO & Director | Mr. William C. Carstanjen |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.churchilldownsincorporated.com |
Industry | Gambling | Full time employees | 5660 |
Headquaters | Louisville, KY, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. William C. Carstanjen | ||
Website | https://www.churchilldownsincorporated.com | ||
Website | https://www.churchilldownsincorporated.com | ||
Full time employees | 5660 |
Churchill Downs Incorporated operates as a racing, online wagering, and gaming entertainment company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Live and Historical Racing, TwinSpires, and Gaming. The company operates pari-mutuel gaming entertainment venues; TwinSpires, an online wagering platform for horse racing, sports, and iGaming; retail sports books; casino gaming; and Terre Haute Casino and The Rose Gaming Resorts. It also offers streaming video of live horse races, replays, and an assortment of racing and handicapping information; and provides the Bloodstock Research Information Services platform for horse racing statistical data. In addition, the company manufactures and operates pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, off-track betting facilities, and other pari-mutuel wagering businesses. Churchill Downs Incorporated was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
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