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CHDN 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) company logo

Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)

Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$114.51
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY9.94%
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BUY since 28 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/29/2025: CHDN (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 1 star rating for performance

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

3 star rating from financial analysts

11 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $136.42

1 Year Target Price $136.42

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$136.42 Target price
52w Low $85.25
Current$114.51
52w High $135.81

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 16.44%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 12/29/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 8.03B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 20.82
1Y Target Price 136.42
Price to earnings Ratio 20.82
1Y Target Price 136.42
Volume (30-day avg) 11
Beta 0.7
52 Weeks Range 85.25 - 135.81
Updated Date 12/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 85.25 - 135.81
Updated Date 12/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 0.36%
Basic EPS (TTM) 5.5

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 13.99%
Operating Margin (TTM) 21.23%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.2%
Return on Equity (TTM) 37.04%

Valuation

Trailing PE 20.82
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 12919038246
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.78
Enterprise Value 12919038246
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.78
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.48
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.09
Shares Outstanding 69728742
Shares Floating 65834392
Shares Outstanding 69728742
Shares Floating 65834392
Percent Insiders 6.07
Percent Institutions 80.28

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Churchill Downs Incorporated

Churchill Downs Incorporated(CHDN) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Churchill Downs Incorporated (CDI) was founded in 1875, famously with the inaugural Kentucky Derby. It has evolved from a single racetrack to a diversified gaming and racing company. Significant milestones include expanding into casino operations, acquiring other racing circuits, and embracing historical racing machines (HRMs) and online wagering platforms.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • TwinSpires: Online and mobile wagering on horse racing, offering a comprehensive platform for bet placement, live streaming, and handicapping tools. This segment also includes pari-mutuel operations.
  • Churchill Downs Racetrack: Home of the Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks, the company's flagship property. It hosts live racing, events, and offers simulcasting.
  • Casinos & Gaming: Operates a portfolio of casino properties across various states, offering slot machines, table games, and other gaming entertainment. This includes properties like Derby City Gaming, Ocean Downs Casino, and Riverwalk Casino.
  • Retail & Hospitality: Includes food and beverage operations, merchandise, and hospitality services primarily associated with its racing and casino venues.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Churchill Downs Incorporated is led by a Board of Directors and a senior executive management team. Key figures include the President and CEO, Chief Financial Officer, and heads of various operational segments. The company operates a decentralized structure with segment leaders responsible for their respective business units.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • TwinSpires (Online Wagering): The premier online platform for horse racing. Offers a robust user experience for handicapping and wagering. Competitors include BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel (for broader sports betting, but also some horse racing). Specific market share for horse racing wagering is not publicly granular, but TwinSpires is a leading player in this niche. Revenue contribution is significant and growing.
  • Kentucky Derby Experience: The annual premier event, drawing global attention and significant betting handle. Generates substantial revenue through ticketing, hospitality, sponsorships, and media rights. Competitors are other major sporting events for consumer attention and advertising dollars, but the Derby is unique in its history and prestige.
  • Historical Racing Machines (HRMs): Electronic gaming terminals that utilize the outcome of past horse races to determine winners. These are a significant and growing revenue driver for CDI's casino segment, particularly in states where they are permitted. Competitors include other slot machine and electronic gaming providers. Market share for HRMs varies by state, but CDI is a major operator where they are deployed.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The gaming and entertainment industry is characterized by evolving consumer preferences, regulatory landscapes, and technological advancements. The horse racing sector faces challenges with declining attendance but sees growth in online wagering and HRMs. The broader casino market is competitive, with a focus on customer experience and diverse gaming options.

Positioning

Churchill Downs Incorporated is uniquely positioned as a leader in both live horse racing (especially the iconic Kentucky Derby) and a growing diversified gaming operator, particularly with its strong presence in HRMs. Its TwinSpires platform provides a significant advantage in the online horse racing market.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for the US gaming and entertainment industry is in the hundreds of billions of dollars, encompassing casino gaming, sports betting, horse racing, and online entertainment. Churchill Downs Incorporated's TAM is primarily within the horse racing wagering market and the regional casino gaming market. CDI aims to capture a significant share of these markets through its integrated approach, leveraging its brand strength and diversified offerings.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Iconic brand recognition (Kentucky Derby)
  • Leading online horse racing platform (TwinSpires)
  • Diversified revenue streams (racing, casinos, online)
  • Strong presence in the growing HRM market
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on horse racing, which has declining traditional viewership
  • Regulatory risks associated with gaming expansion
  • Intense competition in the casino market
  • Seasonality of live racing events

Opportunities

  • Expansion of HRM legislation and deployment
  • Growth in online sports betting and iGaming integration
  • Further development and internationalization of TwinSpires
  • Acquisition of synergistic gaming and racing assets
  • Leveraging data analytics for enhanced customer experiences

Threats

  • Increasing competition from large online sportsbooks
  • Unfavorable regulatory changes impacting gaming operations
  • Economic downturns affecting consumer discretionary spending
  • Technological disruptions and evolving player preferences
  • Cybersecurity risks

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Penn Entertainment (PENN)
  • Caesars Entertainment (CZR)
  • Boyd Gaming (BYD)
  • MGM Resorts International (MGM)
  • DraftKings (DKNG)
  • FanDuel (owned by Flutter Entertainment, not directly traded in US)

Competitive Landscape

CDI competes in a highly fragmented and competitive market. Its key advantages lie in its unique position at the intersection of horse racing and gaming, its strong brand equity, and its growing presence in the HRM space. However, it faces significant competition from larger, more diversified gaming operators and rapidly growing online sports betting platforms.

Major Acquisitions

FDG LLC (Riverwalk Casino)

  • Year: 2022
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 362
  • Strategic Rationale: To expand its gaming presence in Mississippi and diversify its casino portfolio in a growing market.

Big Fish Casino

  • Year: 2017
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 885
  • Strategic Rationale: To enter the rapidly growing social casino gaming market and diversify its digital offerings beyond horse racing.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: CDI has demonstrated consistent historical growth, expanding its geographical footprint through casino acquisitions and enhancing its online wagering capabilities. The company's strategic shift towards gaming, particularly HRMs, has been a significant growth driver.

Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue and earnings growth for CDI, driven by the expansion of its gaming operations, the robust performance of TwinSpires, and the potential for new market entries. Projections for 2024 and beyond indicate a positive outlook.

Recent Initiatives: Expansion of HRM installations in existing and new markets.,Ongoing investment in TwinSpires technology and user experience.,Exploration of new market opportunities for casino development.,Strategic acquisitions to broaden its gaming portfolio.

Summary

Churchill Downs Incorporated is a well-established company with a strong brand in horse racing and a growing diversified gaming portfolio. Its strengths lie in the iconic Kentucky Derby, its leading online horse racing platform, and its significant investment in historical racing machines. However, it faces intense competition and regulatory uncertainties. Continued focus on expanding its gaming footprint and enhancing its digital offerings will be crucial for future success.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Churchill Downs Incorporated Investor Relations
  • SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Financial News Outlets (e.g., Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg)
  • Industry Analysis Reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is estimated and may not reflect precise current figures. Investing in the stock market carries inherent risks.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

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About Churchill Downs Incorporated

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Louisville, KY, United States
IPO Launch date 1993-03-29
CEO & Director Mr. William C. Carstanjen
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Gambling
Full time employees 6480
Full time employees 6480

Churchill Downs Incorporated operates live and historical racing entertainment venues, online wagering businesses, and regional casino gaming properties in the United States. It operates through three segments: Live and Historical Racing, Wagering Services and Solutions, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment engages in live and historical pari-mutuel racing related activities at Churchill Downs Racetrack and its historical racing properties in Kentucky, Virginia, and New Hampshire; provides racing event-related services, including admissions, personal seat licenses, sponsorships, television rights, and other miscellaneous services, as well as food and beverages services. The Wagering Services and Solutions engages in pari-mutuel wagers through TwinSpires, which operates the online horse racing wagering business for TwinSpires.com, BetAmerica.com, and other white-label platforms; facilitates dollar wagering; provides the Bloodstock Research Information Services platform for horse racing statistical data; offers streaming video of live horse races, replays, and an assortment of racing and handicapping information; and provides technology services to third parties. This segment also operates retail and online sports betting businesses, United Tote, which manufactures and operates pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, OTBs, and other pari-mutuel wagering businesses, as well as provides totalizator services; and Exacta, which provides central determinant system technology in HRMs. The Gaming segment operates the casino properties and associated racetracks, which include slot machines, table games, video lottery terminals, video poker, HRMs, ancillary food and beverage services, hotel services, commission on pari-mutuel wagering, racing event-related services, and other miscellaneous operations. Churchill Downs Incorporated was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.