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Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/15/2025: CINF (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $167
1 Year Target Price $167
1 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
4 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 26.12% | Avg. Invested days 77 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 24.82B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.7 | 1Y Target Price 167 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.7 | 1Y Target Price 167 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8 | Beta 0.73 | 52 Weeks Range 121.60 - 166.90 | Updated Date 10/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 121.60 - 166.90 | Updated Date 10/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.13% | Basic EPS (TTM) 11.59 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-10-23 | When After Market | Estimate 1.69 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 15.59% | Operating Margin (TTM) 26.76% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.9% | Return on Equity (TTM) 13.44% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.7 | Forward PE 18.87 | Enterprise Value 24988979495 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.13 |
Enterprise Value 24988979495 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.13 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.14 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 156376422 | Shares Floating 153378686 |
Shares Outstanding 156376422 | Shares Floating 153378686 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.59 | Percent Institutions 70.42 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Company Overview
History and Background
Cincinnati Financial Corporation was founded in 1950. Initially focused on property and casualty insurance, it expanded into life insurance, asset management, and commercial lines. It has grown steadily, emphasizing strong relationships with independent agents.
Core Business Areas
- Commercial Lines Insurance: Provides property and casualty insurance for businesses, including coverage for buildings, equipment, and liability. It's the largest segment by premium volume.
- Personal Lines Insurance: Offers auto, homeowners, and umbrella insurance to individuals and families. This is the second biggest segment by premium.
- Life Insurance: Sells term, whole, and universal life insurance policies, as well as annuities. This provides consistent revenue with long term investments.
- Asset Management: Manages investments for the company and its clients, providing investment advisory services. This service enhances the financial strength of the group.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by Steven Johnston, CEO. The organizational structure includes various departments overseeing underwriting, claims, investments, and technology. They utilize a decentralized structure to allow for more efficient local response through local independent agents.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Commercial Property Insurance: Provides coverage for commercial buildings and equipment against various perils. Competitors include Travelers, Chubb, and Hartford. While specific market share data varies, Cincinnati Financial holds a significant position in the Midwest, known for its strong agent relationships. This segment is a major revenue driver, although specific revenue breakdowns are not publicly available.
- Commercial Auto Insurance: Covers commercial vehicles for liability and physical damage. Competitors include Progressive, Nationwide, and Liberty Mutual. Like commercial property, Cincinnati Financial has a notable presence in the Midwest, relying on independent agent networks to secure business. Specific market share data is not readily available but contributes significantly to their commercial lines revenue.
- Personal Auto Insurance: Offers personal vehicle insurance coverage. Competitors include State Farm, Geico, and Progressive. Cincinnati Financial competes in this highly competitive market with a focus on customer service through its agency network. Exact market share and revenue figures are not publicly available.
- Homeowners Insurance: Provides coverage for personal residences. Competitors include State Farm, Allstate and USAA. Cincinnati Financial differentiates through its strong relationship with independent agents offering white-glove service.
- Life Insurance Policies: Whole, term, and universal life insurance policies provide financial protection and investment options. Competitors include Prudential, New York Life and Northwestern Mutual. While the competition is stiff, the market is large and growing.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The insurance industry is experiencing increasing competition, technological advancements (insurtech), and evolving regulatory landscapes. Catastrophic events and economic cycles impact profitability.
Positioning
Cincinnati Financial is positioned as a financially stable insurer with strong relationships with independent agents, particularly in the Midwest. Its conservative underwriting approach is seen as both a strength and a potential limitation to rapid growth.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the US property and casualty insurance market is estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars. Cincinnati Financial captures a portion of this TAM, with potential for growth through geographic expansion and product diversification.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong relationships with independent agents
- Conservative underwriting practices
- Financial stability
- Diversified product offerings
- Strong brand reputation, particularly in the Midwest
Weaknesses
- Geographic concentration in the Midwest
- Slower growth compared to some competitors
- Reliance on independent agents in a direct-to-consumer market
- Potential for higher expense ratio due to agency model
Opportunities
- Geographic expansion
- Product diversification (e.g., cyber insurance)
- Technological innovation (e.g., digital distribution channels)
- Acquisitions of smaller insurance companies
- Capitalizing on the aging population through annuities and retirement products.
Threats
- Increased competition from larger national insurers
- Impact of catastrophic events (e.g., hurricanes, wildfires)
- Rising reinsurance costs
- Economic downturn affecting premium volume
- Changing regulatory environment
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV)
- The Chubb Corporation (CB)
- Hartford Financial Services Group Inc. (HIG)
- Progressive Corporation (PGR)
- Allstate Corporation (ALL)
Competitive Landscape
Cincinnati Financial benefits from strong agent relationships and regional expertise. However, it faces intense competition from larger, national insurers with greater brand recognition and marketing budgets. Cincinnati Financial's conservative underwriting can be a competitive advantage and a disadvantage in dynamic markets.
Major Acquisitions
MSI Insurance
- Year: 2011
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 114
- Strategic Rationale: Expands Cincinnati Financialu2019s geographic reach in the Midwest, adding scale to the personal lines businesses and strengthening relationships with agencies.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Cincinnati Financial has experienced steady growth over the past years, driven by premium increases and investment income. This growth has been consistent but generally less aggressive than some competitors.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for future growth vary, but generally indicate continued moderate growth driven by expansion and product diversification. Analyst ratings are available from various financial sources.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in technology to improve agent efficiency and customer service, as well as expansion into new geographic markets.
Summary
Cincinnati Financial Corporation is a financially stable insurer with strong agent relationships, particularly in the Midwest. While it has diversified product offerings, slower growth and regional concentration may limit its potential. The company needs to innovate technologically and expand geographically to compete with larger national insurers and mitigate external threats like catastrophic events.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Company Website
- Industry Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data is subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Fairfield, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1990-03-26 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Stephen Michael Spray | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty | Full time employees 5624 | Website https://www.cinfin.com |
Full time employees 5624 | Website https://www.cinfin.com |
Cincinnati Financial Corporation provides property casualty insurance products in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Commercial Lines Insurance, Personal Lines Insurance, Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance, Life Insurance, and Investments. The Commercial Lines Insurance segment offers coverage for commercial casualty and property, commercial auto, and workers' compensation. This segment also provides contract and commercial surety bonds, and fidelity bonds; management liability; and machinery and equipment insurance products. The Personal Lines Insurance segment offers personal auto; homeowner; and other personal lines insurance, such as dwelling fire, inland marine, personal umbrella liability, and watercraft coverages. The Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance segment offers commercial casualty insurance that covers businesses for third-party liability from accidents occurring on their premises or arising out of their operations, such as injuries sustained from products, as well as other coverages comprising miscellaneous errors and omissions, professional liability, and excess liability; and commercial property insurance, which insures buildings, inventory, equipment, and business income from loss or damage due to various causes, such as fire, wind, hail, water, theft, and vandalism. The Life Insurance segment provides term life insurance; universal life insurance; and worksite and whole life insurance products, as well as annuities. The Investments segment invests in fixed-maturity investments, including taxable and tax-exempt bonds, and redeemable preferred stocks; and equity investments comprising common and nonredeemable preferred stocks. The company also offers commercial leasing and financing services; and insurance brokerage services. Cincinnati Financial Corporation was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Fairfield, Ohio.

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