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Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2025: CNQ (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 4 days. Simulated Profits (-5.73%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $36.8
1 Year Target Price $36.8
| 8 | Strong Buy |
| 6 | Buy |
| 7 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -37.13% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 66.50B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.87 | 1Y Target Price 36.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.87 | 1Y Target Price 36.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21 | Beta 1.09 | 52 Weeks Range 23.71 - 34.68 | Updated Date 12/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 23.71 - 34.68 | Updated Date 12/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 7.38% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.3 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 17.23% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.69% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.9% | Return on Equity (TTM) 16.56% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.87 | Forward PE 15.46 | Enterprise Value 78950621192 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.72 |
Enterprise Value 78950621192 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.72 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.44 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.2 | Shares Outstanding 2083107000 | Shares Floating 2035049722 |
Shares Outstanding 2083107000 | Shares Floating 2035049722 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.3 | Percent Institutions 75.02 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

Company Overview
History and Background
Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) was founded in 1989 through a merger of four smaller companies. It has grown to become one of the largest independent crude oil and natural gas producers in Canada. Key milestones include significant acquisitions, such as the Horizon Oil Sands project and the acquisition of certain assets from Shell Canada, which have expanded its production capacity and resource base.
Core Business Areas
- Exploration and Production (Upstream): This is CNQ's primary business, focused on the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Their operations span various regions in Western Canada, the North Sea, and offshore West Africa.
- Oil Sands Operations: A significant portion of CNQ's production comes from its oil sands operations in Alberta, Canada, which involve both in-situ and mining methods.
- Midstream Assets: CNQ also possesses certain midstream assets, including pipelines and processing facilities, to support its upstream operations.
Leadership and Structure
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd is led by a seasoned management team with deep industry experience. The company operates with a decentralized structure, empowering its operating segments to manage their respective assets and activities. Key leadership positions include the CEO, COO, and CFO, who oversee the company's strategic direction and operational execution.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Light Crude Oil and Natural Gas Liquids: CNQ produces significant volumes of light crude oil and NGLs, which are essential components in gasoline and petrochemicals. Major competitors include ExxonMobil (XOM), Shell (SHEL), Chevron (CVX), and other large independent producers in North America. Specific market share data for individual products is not publicly disclosed in a granular manner but is a significant portion of North American supply.
- Oil Sands Bitumen: The company is a major producer of bitumen from its oil sands operations. This is a heavier form of crude oil with specific upgrading and transportation requirements. Competitors in this segment include Suncor Energy (SU), Imperial Oil (IMO), and ConocoPhillips (COP).
- Natural Gas: CNQ also produces substantial volumes of natural gas, a critical fuel source for heating, power generation, and industrial processes. Key competitors in the natural gas market include EQT Corporation (EQT), Chesapeake Energy (CHK), and Southwestern Energy (SWN).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The oil and gas industry is highly cyclical, influenced by global supply and demand, geopolitical events, and economic conditions. The energy transition is also a significant factor, driving investment in lower-carbon solutions while still acknowledging the continued demand for traditional hydrocarbons in the near to medium term. The industry is characterized by capital intensity, regulatory oversight, and price volatility.
Positioning
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd is a leading, diversified energy producer with a strong focus on low-decline, long-life assets. Its competitive advantages include its extensive reserves, efficient operations, strong balance sheet, and a history of disciplined capital allocation. The company's scale and integrated operations provide resilience in fluctuating market conditions. CNQ is well-positioned to benefit from both traditional oil and gas demand and potentially from future carbon capture and storage (CCS) initiatives.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for crude oil and natural gas is global and vast, measured in trillions of dollars annually. CNQ's TAM is primarily within North America and international regions where it operates. The company holds significant market share in its core operating regions, particularly in Western Canada for oil sands and natural gas. Its position is that of a major supplier within its operational jurisdictions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified asset base across multiple geographies and hydrocarbon types.
- Long-life, low-decline reserves, particularly in oil sands.
- Strong operational efficiency and cost management.
- Healthy balance sheet and strong free cash flow generation.
- Experienced management team with a proven track record.
Weaknesses
- Significant exposure to commodity price volatility.
- Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) scrutiny, particularly related to oil sands operations.
- Capital intensive nature of oil sands projects.
- Reliance on pipeline infrastructure for transportation.
Opportunities
- Exploiting cost efficiencies and optimizing existing assets.
- Potential for growth through strategic acquisitions.
- Leveraging existing infrastructure for lower-carbon solutions (e.g., CCS).
- Increased demand for natural gas as a transition fuel.
- Expansion into international markets with favorable economics.
Threats
- Continued price volatility of crude oil and natural gas.
- Increasing regulatory pressures and climate change policies.
- Competition from alternative energy sources.
- Geopolitical instability affecting global energy markets.
- Infrastructure constraints and potential for pipeline disruptions.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Suncor Energy Inc. (SU)
- Imperial Oil Ltd. (IMO)
- ConocoPhillips (COP)
- ExxonMobil (XOM)
- Shell plc (SHEL)
Competitive Landscape
CNQ holds a strong position in the Canadian energy landscape, particularly in oil sands and natural gas. Its diversified portfolio and operational efficiency provide a competitive edge. While competitors like Suncor and Imperial Oil are also major players in Canada, CNQ's international presence and long-life assets differentiate it. Its advantage lies in its low-decline production profile and ability to generate consistent cash flow, even in volatile markets.
Major Acquisitions
Mariner Energy, Inc.
- Year: 2013
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2000
- Strategic Rationale: This acquisition significantly expanded CNQ's presence in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, adding substantial proved reserves and production capacity.
Midstream Assets from Shell Canada
- Year: 2017
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1000
- Strategic Rationale: This acquisition enhanced CNQ's midstream infrastructure, providing greater control over transportation and processing for its upstream production.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: CNQ has experienced consistent growth in production and reserves over the years, driven by organic development and strategic acquisitions. Its focus on high-quality, long-life assets has ensured stable production and cash flow. The company has demonstrated a commitment to expanding its production capacity, particularly in its oil sands segment.
Future Projections: Analyst projections generally indicate continued stable production and growth for CNQ, supported by its extensive reserve base and ongoing development projects. The company is expected to benefit from its cost-efficient operations and its position in stable markets. Future growth may also be influenced by its strategic direction regarding decarbonization and energy transition initiatives.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have included optimizing its existing oil sands operations for efficiency and lower emissions, exploring opportunities in carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS), and maintaining a disciplined approach to capital allocation to enhance shareholder returns.
Summary
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd is a robust and well-managed energy producer with a strong diversified asset base, particularly in long-life oil sands and natural gas. Its operational efficiency, disciplined capital allocation, and solid financial position are key strengths. The company's primary challenge remains the inherent volatility of commodity prices and increasing ESG pressures. However, its ability to generate consistent cash flow and its strategic initiatives in decarbonization position it well for future resilience.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. Investor Relations
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg)
- Industry Analysis Reports
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Filings
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Data may be based on publicly available information and estimates, and actual performance may vary. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Canadian Natural Resources Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Calgary, AB, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 1976-05-17 | CEO - | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees 10640 | Website https://www.cnrl.com |
Full time employees 10640 | Website https://www.cnrl.com | ||
Canadian Natural Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, marketing, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) in Western Canada, the United Kingdom sector of the North Sea, and Offshore Africa. The company offers light and medium crude oil, primary heavy crude oil, Pelican Lake heavy crude oil, bitumen (thermal oil), and synthetic crude oil (SCO). Its midstream assets include two crude oil pipeline systems; and a 50% working interest in an 84-megawatt cogeneration plant at Primrose. The company was formerly known as AEX Minerals Corporation and changed its name to Canadian Natural Resources Limited in December 1975. Canadian Natural Resources Limited was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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