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Cenovus Energy Inc(CVE)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
5-STAR RATING
REGULAR BUY
BUY for 46 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+4.56% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$30.93
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CVE

09/25/2026: CVE (5-star) is a REGULAR-BUY. BUY for 46 days. Simulated Profits (4.56%). Updated daily EoD!

Cenovus Energy is a major Canadian integrated energy firm known for its extensive oil sands production and downstream refining operations. Its business strength lies in the integration of these segments, which helps balance volatility between raw commodity extraction and finished fuel markets. While the company faces risks from fluctuating oil prices and strict environmental regulations, it has a history of capital discipline and a strategy focused on free cash flow generation. It may suit value and dividend-oriented investors seeking North American energy exposure. Investors should monitor commodity price trends, pipeline capacity developments, and the company's success in maintaining its balance sheet health.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company is focused more on cash flow and returns than aggressive production growth.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock can show strong price momentum during periods of rising oil prices.
Value investorStrong fitCenovus often trades at multiples that value investors find attractive relative to its cash-generating potential.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe variable dividend policy provides potential for income, though payouts fluctuate with commodity prices.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh exposure to commodity price volatility creates significant stock price risk.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighProfitability is directly linked to fluctuating global oil and refined product prices.
Valuation riskMediumThe stock valuation can be heavily discounted by the market during industry downturns.
Competition risk (Energy sector rivalry)MediumMajor integrated players compete for market share and capital efficiency.
Business qualityMediumAsset reliability and integration are strong, but the business is structurally intensive.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are variable and not guaranteed in low-price environments.
Execution riskMediumOperational delays or cost overruns at refining or production sites impact cash flow.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 86.24%
Avg. Invested days 63
Today’s Advisory Regular Buy
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 4.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
CVE receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
CVE has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+25.0%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 6.9%) are partially offset by negative revenue growth (-14.0%), soft profitability (net margin 7.9%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
CVE's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $3.4B (6.9% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is CVE's strongest growth driver at +25.0% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-14.0%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-19.3%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 53.6% and approximately 83.1% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 29.38% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Capital World Investors 4.00%
Capital Research Global Investors 3.24%
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3 2.54%
Fidelity International Ltd 2.32%
Royal Bank of Canada 2.09%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
CVE generates approximately $105 of gross profit, $88 of operating income, and $69 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 12.22%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
CVE has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 57.69B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.12
1Y Target Price 37.01
Price to earnings Ratio 12.12
1Y Target Price 37.01
Volume (30-day avg) 6.6M shares
Beta 0.5
52 Weeks Range 15.37 - 34.10
Updated Date 09/25/2026
52 Weeks Range 15.37 - 34.10
Updated Date 09/25/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 2.64%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.58

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Upstream Oil SandsProduction of crude oil through SAGD projects in Alberta.This is the core engine producing the raw commodity.
Downstream RefiningConversion of oil into gasoline, diesel, and other products.This segment helps protect the company when crude prices are low.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 12.12
Forward PE 11.03
Enterprise Value 63.40B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.07
Enterprise Value 63.40B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.07
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.04
Shares Outstanding 1.84B
Shares Floating 1.53B
Shares Outstanding 1.84B
Shares Floating 1.53B
Percent Insiders 29.38
Percent Institutions 53.62

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Cenovus Energy Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Calgary, AB, Canada
IPO Launch date 2009-11-17
President, CEO & Non-Independent Director Mr. Jonathan M. McKenzie CA
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas Integrated
Full time employees 7211
Full time employees 7211

Cenovus Energy Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, refines, transports, and markets crude oil, natural gas, and refined petroleum products in Canada, the United States, and China. It operates through Upstream and Downstream segments. The company is involved in the development and production of bitumen and heavy oil; owns and operates pipeline gathering systems and terminals; operation of assets rich in NGLs and natural gas in Alberta and British Columbia; and offshore operations, exploration, and development activities in the East Coast of Canada and the Asia Pacific region. It also engages in refining, such as owned and operated Lloydminster upgrading and asphalt refining complex; owns and operates the Bruderheim crude-by-rail terminal and two ethanol plants; fuels business; and refining of crude oil to produce gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, asphalt, and other products. Cenovus Energy Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.