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Cerence Inc (CRNC)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2025: CRNC (4-star) is a WEAK-BUY. BUY since 17 days. Simulated Profits (-16.35%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $12.5
1 Year Target Price $12.5
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 56.59% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 484.89M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 12.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 12.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 7 | Beta 2.56 | 52 Weeks Range 5.94 - 27.50 | Updated Date 12/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 5.94 - 27.50 | Updated Date 12/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.43 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -7.43% | Operating Margin (TTM) -1.79% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.23% | Return on Equity (TTM) -12.83% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 44.25 | Enterprise Value 614559188 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.93 |
Enterprise Value 614559188 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.93 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.45 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 51.57 | Shares Outstanding 44938757 | Shares Floating 43243218 |
Shares Outstanding 44938757 | Shares Floating 43243218 | ||
Percent Insiders 6.58 | Percent Institutions 69.49 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Cerence Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Cerence Inc. was spun off from the automotive division of Nuance Communications in 2019. It is a global AI technology company focused on the automotive industry, providing conversational AI solutions for in-car voice assistants. The company aims to create a more intuitive and personalized in-car experience for drivers and passengers.
Core Business Areas
- Automotive AI: Cerence develops and delivers a suite of AI-powered technologies for the automotive sector. This includes natural language understanding (NLU), speech recognition, text-to-speech (TTS), and domain-specific AI models for automotive use cases.
- Connected Car Solutions: The company provides solutions that enable advanced voice control for infotainment systems, navigation, climate control, and other vehicle functions. This also extends to connected services and over-the-air (OTA) updates for its AI software.
- In-Car Assistant Platforms: Cerence offers customizable voice assistant platforms that can be integrated into vehicles by automakers. These platforms allow for personalized user experiences and seamless interaction with vehicle features and connected services.
Leadership and Structure
Cerence is led by a management team with extensive experience in AI and automotive technology. The organizational structure is typically designed to foster innovation in AI development, product engineering, and customer engagement within the automotive OEM ecosystem. Specific leadership roles and the exact structure may evolve.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Cerence En Masse: A scalable, cloud-based platform enabling automakers to deploy and manage customized voice assistants across their vehicle fleets. It supports multiple languages and domains, offering a rich set of functionalities for in-car interaction. Competitors include Amazon (Alexa Auto), Google (Android Automotive), Apple (CarPlay), and other specialized automotive AI providers. Market share data is not publicly disclosed by product line but Cerence is a significant player in the automotive voice assistant market.
- Cerence Drive: A comprehensive software stack for in-car voice assistants that provides core NLU, ASR, and TTS capabilities. It's designed for deep integration into vehicle systems and can be customized for specific OEM needs. Competitors are similar to Cerence En Masse. While precise market share is proprietary, Cerence is considered a leading provider for embedded in-car voice solutions.
- Cerence Assistant Skills: These are specialized voice applications or 'skills' that can be added to the core assistant platform to enable specific functionalities, such as controlling smart home devices from the car, booking reservations, or accessing local information. Competitors are platform providers who offer similar 'skill' ecosystems. User adoption is tied to the adoption of Cerence's core platforms by OEMs.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The automotive AI and connected car market is rapidly growing, driven by consumer demand for more intuitive and integrated in-car experiences. Key trends include the increasing adoption of voice assistants, the development of autonomous driving features that require sophisticated AI, and the demand for personalized digital services within vehicles. Automakers are investing heavily in these technologies to differentiate their offerings and enhance customer satisfaction.
Positioning
Cerence is positioned as a specialized AI technology provider exclusively focused on the automotive industry. Its competitive advantages lie in its deep expertise in conversational AI tailored for the unique demands of the in-car environment, its established relationships with major automakers, and its ability to offer customized solutions. The company competes by providing advanced, yet flexible, AI solutions that can be integrated into a wide range of vehicle platforms.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for in-car AI and connected car services is substantial and growing. Analysts project the global automotive AI market to reach hundreds of billions of dollars in the coming years. Cerence is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market by providing its core AI technologies to automakers, who then integrate them into their vehicles. Its TAM is essentially the portion of the automotive market that seeks advanced voice and AI capabilities for their vehicles.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Deep specialization in automotive AI and conversational interfaces.
- Strong relationships with major global automakers.
- Proprietary AI technology and extensive R&D capabilities.
- Ability to offer customized and integrated solutions.
- Established market presence since its spin-off.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on automotive OEMs for business, making it susceptible to their production cycles and strategic shifts.
- Intense competition from large tech giants entering the automotive space.
- The need for continuous innovation to keep pace with rapidly evolving AI technology.
- Potential challenges in scaling quickly to meet demand from all OEMs globally.
Opportunities
- Growing demand for in-car AI and personalized experiences.
- Expansion into new automotive features such as driver monitoring and advanced ADAS integration.
- Partnerships with Tier 1 suppliers and chip manufacturers.
- Globalization and expansion into emerging automotive markets.
- Leveraging AI for predictive maintenance and other vehicle health services.
Threats
- Increasing competition from in-house AI development by automakers.
- Dominance of large technology platforms (Google, Amazon, Apple) in the connected car ecosystem.
- Economic downturns impacting automotive sales and OEM R&D budgets.
- Rapid technological obsolescence in the AI field.
- Cybersecurity risks associated with connected vehicle technologies.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Amazon (AMZN)
- Google (GOOGL)
- Apple (AAPL)
Competitive Landscape
Cerence competes in a landscape dominated by major tech giants and also features smaller, specialized AI providers. While it lacks the vast resources of companies like Google, Amazon, and Apple, Cerence's advantage lies in its dedicated focus on the automotive sector, deep understanding of OEM needs, and ability to provide highly customized solutions. The tech giants often offer broader ecosystems that can be compelling, but Cerence's niche expertise and established OEM relationships provide a strong competitive moat.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Cerence has achieved consistent year-over-year revenue growth, driven by its expanding partnerships with automotive manufacturers and the increasing integration of AI technologies into vehicles. The company has also focused on improving its profitability metrics, showing a reduction in net losses over recent periods.
Future Projections: Analyst projections generally anticipate continued revenue growth for Cerence, supported by the ongoing trend of vehicle electrification and digitalization, which necessitates advanced in-car technology. The path to sustained profitability is a key focus, with projections indicating improvement as the company scales and its investments mature. Growth is expected to be driven by new OEM contracts and the expansion of its AI capabilities into more vehicle segments.
Recent Initiatives: Cerence has been actively pursuing strategic partnerships to enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach. This includes collaborations focused on next-generation AI, driver assistance systems, and the integration of third-party services into its automotive platforms. The company is also investing in its cloud-based solutions to offer more scalable and flexible options to automakers.
Summary
Cerence Inc. is a specialized automotive AI company with a strong market position due to its deep industry focus and OEM relationships. It has demonstrated consistent revenue growth and is showing progress towards profitability. However, it faces intense competition from tech giants and must navigate the cyclical nature of the automotive industry. Continued innovation and successful scaling of its AI solutions are key for its future success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Cerence Inc. SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial news and analysis websites
- Industry research reports (general market trends)
Disclaimers:
This information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Stock market data and company performance can change rapidly. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Market share data is often estimated and may not be precise.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Cerence Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Burlington, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2019-10-02 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Brian Matthew Krzanich | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 1300 | Website https://www.cerence.com |
Full time employees 1300 | Website https://www.cerence.com | ||
Cerence Inc. provides AI-powered assistants for the mobility/transportation market in the United States, the rest of the Americas, Germany, the rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, and the rest of the Asia-Pacific. The company offers edge software components, cloud-connected components, virtual assistant, and professional services. It also provides conversational and generative artificial intelligence-based solutions, including speech recognition, natural language understanding, speech signal enhancement, text-to-speech, and acoustic tuning. The company has a strategic partnership with Arm Kleidi; and SiMa.ai to advance the capabilities and performance of CaLLM Edge. Cerence Inc. was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.

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