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HF Sinclair Corp (DINO)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2025: DINO (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $60.47
1 Year Target Price $60.47
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 6 | Buy |
| 7 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 67.31% | Avg. Invested days 71 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.67B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 21.97 | 1Y Target Price 60.47 |
Price to earnings Ratio 21.97 | 1Y Target Price 60.47 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 17 | Beta 0.83 | 52 Weeks Range 23.85 - 56.08 | Updated Date 12/24/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 23.85 - 56.08 | Updated Date 12/24/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 4.26% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.11 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.46% | Operating Margin (TTM) 7.78% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.61% | Return on Equity (TTM) 4.19% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 21.97 | Forward PE 8.99 | Enterprise Value 10433727468 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.32 |
Enterprise Value 10433727468 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.32 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.39 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.39 | Shares Outstanding 183948233 | Shares Floating 170391248 |
Shares Outstanding 183948233 | Shares Floating 170391248 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.35 | Percent Institutions 84.3 |
Upturn AI SWOT
HF Sinclair Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
HF Sinclair Corporation (HF Sinclair) was formed in 2021 through the merger of HollyFrontier Corporation and Sinclair Oil Corporation. This significant consolidation brought together two established players in the refining and marketing of petroleum products. HollyFrontier brought its strong refining operations and lubricants business, while Sinclair Oil contributed its iconic brand, a network of retail stations, and a large crude oil gathering and transportation system. The merger aimed to create a more diversified and integrated energy company with enhanced scale and operational efficiencies.
Core Business Areas
- Refining: HF Sinclair operates a network of refineries across the United States. These refineries process crude oil into a variety of refined products, including gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, and asphalt. The company focuses on optimizing refinery operations for profitability and adapting to market demands.
- Marketing and Lubricants: This segment involves the marketing and distribution of refined products through branded outlets (like Sinclair) and unbranded channels. It also includes the production and sale of lubricating oils and greases for industrial, automotive, and aviation applications. The lubricants business is known for its high-quality specialty products.
- Midstream: HF Sinclair possesses a substantial crude oil gathering and transportation business, including pipelines and terminals. This segment is crucial for efficiently moving crude oil to its refineries and distributing refined products to market.
- Renewable Fuels: The company is increasingly investing in and operating renewable diesel facilities, reflecting a strategic shift towards cleaner energy sources and sustainable practices.
Leadership and Structure
HF Sinclair is led by a Board of Directors and an executive management team. Key roles typically include a Chief Executive Officer (CEO), Chief Financial Officer (CFO), and heads of major business segments such as Refining, Marketing & Lubricants, and Midstream. The company's structure is designed to manage its diverse operations efficiently, with dedicated teams for each core business area.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gasoline: A primary refined product, sold through branded Sinclair stations and unbranded channels. Competitors include major integrated oil companies (ExxonMobil, Shell, Chevron) and other independent refiners. Market share is influenced by regional demand and refinery output.
- Diesel Fuel: Another significant refined product used in transportation and industrial applications. Competitors are similar to those for gasoline. Market share is driven by demand in trucking, agriculture, and manufacturing sectors.
- Lubricants (Specialty Greases, Industrial Oils): High-margin products for specialized applications. HF Sinclair's brand is recognized for quality. Competitors include companies like Valvoline, Mobil, and various specialty lubricant manufacturers. Market share is in niche segments.
- Renewable Diesel: An increasingly important offering as the company diversifies into biofuels. Competitors include other renewable diesel producers and traditional diesel suppliers. Market share is growing rapidly as environmental regulations favor biofuels.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The petroleum refining and marketing industry is mature and cyclical, heavily influenced by global crude oil prices, geopolitical events, demand from transportation and industrial sectors, and evolving environmental regulations. The market is also experiencing a significant shift towards cleaner energy sources, driving investment in biofuels and alternative fuels.
Positioning
HF Sinclair is positioned as a diversified energy company with a strong footprint in refining, a well-recognized brand in marketing, a robust midstream infrastructure, and a growing presence in renewable fuels. Its integrated model, from crude oil gathering to refined product sales, provides some resilience. The company benefits from strategic refinery locations and a focus on operational efficiency.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for refined petroleum products globally is in the trillions of dollars, with the US market representing a substantial portion. The TAM for lubricants is also in the hundreds of billions. The renewable diesel market is rapidly expanding, projected to reach tens of billions of dollars in the coming years. HF Sinclair's position within this TAM is as a significant domestic refiner and marketer, with a strategic investment in the growing renewable fuels sector.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Integrated business model (refining, marketing, midstream)
- Strong brand recognition (Sinclair)
- Strategic refinery locations
- Growing presence in renewable diesel
- Operational efficiency and optimization expertise
Weaknesses
- Exposure to volatile crude oil prices
- Environmental regulatory compliance costs
- Competition from larger integrated oil companies
- Aging infrastructure in some areas
Opportunities
- Expansion of renewable diesel production capacity
- Leveraging midstream assets for growth
- Strategic acquisitions to enhance scale or product offerings
- Increasing demand for specialized lubricants
- Potential for increased domestic refining margins
Threats
- Decreasing demand for fossil fuels due to electrification and energy transition
- Increased competition and overcapacity in refining
- Stringent environmental regulations and carbon pricing
- Geopolitical instability affecting crude oil supply and prices
- Technological advancements in alternative energy sources
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)
- Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)
- Phillips 66 (PSX)
- Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)
- Chevron Corporation (CVX)
Competitive Landscape
HF Sinclair competes with a mix of large integrated oil companies and other independent refiners. Its competitive advantages lie in its integrated midstream assets, strong brand recognition in certain regions, and a growing focus on renewable fuels. However, it faces significant competition from larger players with greater scale, access to capital, and more diversified global operations.
Major Acquisitions
Sinclair Oil Corporation
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2150
- Strategic Rationale: The acquisition significantly expanded HF Sinclair's refining capacity, marketing presence, and midstream infrastructure. It created a more diversified and integrated energy company with enhanced scale and operational synergies, including the addition of the iconic Sinclair brand and its extensive retail network.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, growth has been driven by organic expansion of refining capacity, strategic acquisitions, and optimization of existing assets. The recent merger with Sinclair Oil significantly boosted scale and diversification. The company has also focused on improving operational efficiencies to enhance profitability.
Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by the expansion of its renewable diesel business, optimization of its refined product portfolio, and potential strategic acquisitions. Analysts often provide projections for revenue, earnings, and capital expenditures, factoring in market trends and the company's strategic initiatives.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the ongoing integration of Sinclair Oil, expansion of renewable diesel capacity at various refinery locations, and strategic investments in its midstream assets to support crude oil supply and product distribution. The company is also focused on enhancing its sustainability efforts.
Summary
HF Sinclair is a significantly diversified energy company formed through a major merger, with core strengths in refining, marketing, and midstream operations. Its integrated model and strong brand, coupled with strategic investments in renewable fuels, position it to navigate the evolving energy landscape. However, the company faces inherent risks from commodity price volatility, intense competition, and the ongoing energy transition. Continued focus on operational efficiency, strategic growth in cleaner energy, and prudent capital allocation will be crucial for sustained success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- HF Sinclair Corporation Official Investor Relations Website
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Analyst Reports
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Wall Street Journal)
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Data accuracy and completeness are subject to the availability and reliability of the sourced information. Market share data is an estimation based on available industry information and may not reflect precise real-time figures. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About HF Sinclair Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Dallas, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-03-17 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Timothy Go | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Full time employees 5297 | Website https://www.hfsinclair.com |
Full time employees 5297 | Website https://www.hfsinclair.com | ||
HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company in the United States. It operates through five segments: Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants and Specialties, and Midstream. The company produces and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricant products, specialty chemicals, specialty and modified asphalt, and others. It also owns and operates refineries located in Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming; and markets its refined products principally in the Southwest United States and Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and in other neighboring Plains states. In addition, the company supplies fuels to approximately 1,300 independent Sinclair branded stations and licenses the use of the Sinclair brand at approximately 300 additional locations. Further, the company produces base oils and other specialized lubricants; and provides petroleum product and crude oil transportation, terminalling, storage, and throughput services to the petroleum sector. HF Sinclair Corporation was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

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