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Upturn AI Summary - About
Delek US Energy Inc(DK)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for DK
11/02/2026: DK (5-star) is a SELL. SELL for 1 day. Simulated Profits (-13.08%). Updated daily EoD!
Delek US Energy Inc is a regional downstream energy company focused on refining, logistics, and retail convenience stores. The company has a leading position in the Southwestern U.S. and benefits from proximity to Permian Basin crude oil. Its primary growth strategy involves optimizing existing refinery assets and logistics infrastructure, along with a potential pivot toward renewable fuels. However, the business faces significant risks from cyclical refining margins, environmental regulations, and long-term shifts toward electrification. The stock may suit investors seeking cyclical exposure to the energy sector who are comfortable with commodity price volatility and monitoring potential changes in the firm's business structure.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely cyclical and dependent on external refining spreads rather than consistent structural expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often reacts strongly to shifts in crack spreads, providing potential upside during favorable energy cycles. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at low multiples of earnings, potentially attracting value-oriented investors during cycle troughs. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company has maintained a history of returning cash to shareholders, though sustainability is tied to earnings volatility. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High sensitivity to commodity prices and cyclical refinery margins results in significant stock price volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Profitability is tethered to volatile crude oil prices and fluctuating fuel crack spreads. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuations are often depressed due to the cyclical and capital-intensive nature of the refining industry. |
| Competition risk (Refining and Marketing) | Medium / high | Larger, more diversified competitors have greater financial and operational flexibility. |
| Business quality | Medium | While operationally sound, the business is capital-intensive and subject to intense regulatory oversight. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are subject to the company's ability to generate cash flow in a cyclical environment. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Operational disruptions at refineries can severely impact short-term financial performance. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 56.1% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/02/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.50B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 19.94 | 1Y Target Price 85.21 |
Price to earnings Ratio 19.94 | 1Y Target Price 85.21 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2.0M shares | Beta 0.6 | 52 Weeks Range 25.44 - 82.27 | Updated Date 11/01/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 25.44 - 82.27 | Updated Date 11/01/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.43% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.69 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Refining | Production and sale of gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. | The main profit driver, which fluctuates based on the cost of crude oil versus the selling price of fuel. |
| Logistics | Pipelines, storage tanks, and terminal services. | A more stable, fee-based business that supports the refineries and provides essential infrastructure. |
| Retail | Convenience store and fuel retail sites. | A consumer-facing business providing steady cash flow through retail sales and fuel markup. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-06 | When Before Market | Estimate 7.59 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.86% | Operating Margin (TTM) 7.56% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.49% | Return on Equity (TTM) 78.76% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 19.94 | Forward PE 20.33 | Enterprise Value 7.13B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37 |
Enterprise Value 7.13B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.59 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.53 | Shares Outstanding 61.23M | Shares Floating 60.02M |
Shares Outstanding 61.23M | Shares Floating 60.02M | ||
Percent Insiders 2.55 | Percent Institutions 108.31 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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