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Dynex Capital Inc (DX)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: DX (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 65 days. Simulated Profits (11.04%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $14.55
1 Year Target Price $14.55
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 5.89% | Avg. Invested days 46 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.05B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.94 | 1Y Target Price 14.55 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.94 | 1Y Target Price 14.55 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 7 | Beta 0.96 | 52 Weeks Range 9.55 - 14.27 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 9.55 - 14.27 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 13.65% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.76 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 80.19% | Operating Margin (TTM) 92.61% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.68% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.92% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.94 | Forward PE 7.14 | Enterprise Value 13413479424 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.91 |
Enterprise Value 13413479424 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.91 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.34 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 146821745 | Shares Floating 145911450 |
Shares Outstanding 146821745 | Shares Floating 145911450 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.75 | Percent Institutions 46.65 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Dynex Capital Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Dynex Capital, Inc. (NYSE: DX) is a diversified real estate investment trust (REIT) and a mortgage REIT. Founded in 1987, it has evolved significantly, focusing on mortgage-backed securities and commercial loans. A key milestone was its strategic shift to focus on interest-only agency mortgage-backed securities and other mortgage-related assets, aiming for consistent earnings and dividend growth. The company has navigated various economic cycles, adapting its investment strategies to market conditions.
Core Business Areas
- Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS): Dynex invests in and manages a portfolio of agency mortgage-backed securities. These are securities issued or guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprises like Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae. The company focuses on interest-only securities and other pass-through MBS, seeking to generate income from the interest payments and principal prepayments of underlying mortgages.
- Commercial Loans and Real Estate: Dynex also invests in commercial loans, secured by income-producing real estate. This segment involves providing debt financing for commercial properties, aiming to earn interest income and potential capital appreciation. The company's strategy in this area involves careful underwriting and managing credit risk.
Leadership and Structure
Dynex Capital, Inc. is led by a management team and overseen by a Board of Directors. Key leadership roles typically include a Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and Chief Investment Officer. The company operates as a publicly traded REIT with a corporate structure designed to manage its investment portfolios and operations efficiently.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (Interest-Only & Pass-Through): Dynex's primary 'product' is its expertly managed portfolio of agency MBS. This includes interest-only securities and pass-through securities. The 'market share' is not directly applicable in terms of selling these securities to a broad customer base, but rather in its significant allocation of capital to this asset class. Competitors in this space include other mortgage REITs, hedge funds, and institutional investors with similar investment mandates. Revenue is generated from interest income, net of borrowing costs, and gains or losses from price changes.
- Commercial Loan Investments: This involves originating and investing in commercial real estate debt. Again, market share is about capital allocation rather than direct sales. Competitors include commercial banks, private credit funds, and other debt investment firms. Revenue is generated from interest income on loans and, potentially, fees.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Dynex operates within the real estate investment trust (REIT) sector, specifically focusing on mortgage REITs and, to some extent, commercial real estate debt. The mortgage REIT industry is highly sensitive to interest rate movements, credit spreads, and the overall health of the housing and commercial real estate markets. The commercial real estate debt market is influenced by economic growth, property fundamentals, and lending standards.
Positioning
Dynex Capital positions itself as a diversified mortgage REIT with a focus on generating stable income and dividends. Its strategy involves managing interest rate risk and credit risk through active portfolio management and hedging strategies. Its competitive advantages lie in its experienced management team, disciplined approach to investing, and ability to adapt to changing market conditions. The company aims to differentiate itself through its proprietary investment strategies and risk management framework.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for mortgage-backed securities is vast, encompassing trillions of dollars in outstanding agency and non-agency MBS. For commercial real estate debt, the TAM is also in the trillions, covering various property types and loan sizes. Dynex Capital, as a specific REIT, targets a niche within these broad markets. Its positioning within this TAM is as a specialized investor deploying capital into specific segments of the MBS and CRE debt markets, rather than a broad market participant.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Experienced Management Team
- Diversified Investment Strategy (MBS and Commercial Loans)
- Focus on Income Generation and Dividend Payments
- Active Risk Management and Hedging Capabilities
Weaknesses
- Sensitivity to Interest Rate Volatility
- Leverage-Dependent Business Model
- Potential for Illiquidity in Certain Assets
- Competition from Larger and More Diversified REITs
Opportunities
- Favorable Interest Rate Environments (depending on strategy)
- Growth in Commercial Real Estate Sector
- Potential for Strategic Acquisitions or Partnerships
- Innovation in Mortgage and Real Estate Finance
Threats
- Rising Interest Rates and Widening Credit Spreads
- Economic Downturns Affecting Real Estate Values
- Regulatory Changes Affecting REITs or Financial Markets
- Increased Competition and Pressure on Yields
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Annaly Capital Management (NLY)
- Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM)
- AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC)
- Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI)
Competitive Landscape
Dynex Capital faces intense competition from other mortgage REITs and diversified financial institutions. Its advantages include its specialized focus and disciplined management, while disadvantages could be its smaller scale compared to some larger competitors, potentially limiting its access to capital or economies of scale. Success depends on its ability to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns in a competitive environment.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Dynex Capital's historical growth can be observed through trends in its total assets, investment portfolio size, and earnings over the past several years. Growth is typically driven by capital raises, successful investment strategies, and market appreciation of its assets.
Future Projections: Future projections for Dynex Capital would typically be based on analyst estimates and the company's own strategic outlook. These projections would consider anticipated interest rate movements, real estate market conditions, and the company's ability to execute its investment strategy. Specific numerical projections are proprietary and vary by analyst.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives might include adjustments to its investment strategy, hedging techniques, capital raising efforts, or strategic partnerships to enhance its portfolio or operational efficiency. These are detailed in the company's quarterly and annual reports.
Summary
Dynex Capital Inc. is a mortgage REIT with a diversified strategy in agency MBS and commercial loans. Its strengths lie in its experienced management and risk management, but it is highly sensitive to interest rate fluctuations and leverage. The company offers consistent dividends, a key draw for investors. However, competition is fierce, and market volatility poses significant threats, requiring constant strategic adaptation for continued success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Dynex Capital Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Reputable Financial Data Providers
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market share data is an estimation and may vary based on the definition and scope of the market.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Dynex Capital Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Glen Allen, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1989-06-30 | Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board Mr. Byron L. Boston | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees 22 | Website https://www.dynexcapital.com |
Full time employees 22 | Website https://www.dynexcapital.com | ||
Dynex Capital, Inc., a mortgage real estate investment trust, invests in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the United States. It invests in agency MBS consisting of residential MBS and commercial MBS (CMBS); and agency and non-agency CMBS interest-only securities. Agency MBS have a guaranty of principal payment by an agency of the U.S. government or a U.S. government-sponsored entity, such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Non-Agency MBS do not have a guaranty of principal or interest payments. The company has qualified as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its shareholders. Dynex Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Glen Allen, Virginia.

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