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Upturn stock rating
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Dynex Capital Inc (DX)

Upturn stock rating
$13.29
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY1.68%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 10 days
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Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

10/21/2025: DX (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

7 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $13.99

1 Year Target Price $13.99

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$13.99 Target price
52w Low $9.92
Current$13.29
52w High $13.43

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -0.78%
Avg. Invested days 40
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/21/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.94B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 15.82
1Y Target Price 13.99
Price to earnings Ratio 15.82
1Y Target Price 13.99
Volume (30-day avg) 7
Beta 0.91
52 Weeks Range 9.92 - 13.43
Updated Date 10/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 9.92 - 13.43
Updated Date 10/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 14.15%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.84

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-10-20
When Before Market
Estimate 0.26
Actual 0.25

Profitability

Profit Margin 80.19%
Operating Margin (TTM) 92.61%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.68%
Return on Equity (TTM) 11.92%

Valuation

Trailing PE 15.82
Forward PE 8.94
Enterprise Value 13317852160
Price to Sales(TTM) 8.4
Enterprise Value 13317852160
Price to Sales(TTM) 8.4
Enterprise Value to Revenue 16.26
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 145714136
Shares Floating 144692680
Shares Outstanding 145714136
Shares Floating 144692680
Percent Insiders 1.04
Percent Institutions 44.81

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Dynex Capital Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Dynex Capital, Inc. is a mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) founded in 1987. Initially focused on commercial real estate, it shifted its focus to agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and other mortgage-related assets. The company operates under the Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) provisions of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Agency RMBS Investments: Invests in agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) collateralized by single-family and multi-family residential mortgage loans. These securities are guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
  • Other Mortgage-Related Investments: May also invest in other mortgage-related assets, though agency RMBS typically form the core of their portfolio.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team consists of senior executives with experience in finance, investment management, and real estate. The organizational structure involves a board of directors overseeing the management team responsible for investment decisions and day-to-day operations.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Agency RMBS: Dynex Capital primarily invests in Agency RMBS. Market share within the broader mortgage market is difficult to precisely quantify for individual REITs, as it is spread across many players. The competition include other REIT's like AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC), Annaly Capital Management (NLY) and other REIT and money management firms

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The mortgage REIT industry is heavily influenced by interest rates, economic conditions, and government policies related to housing and mortgage markets. Regulatory changes and monetary policy decisions by the Federal Reserve significantly impact profitability and investment strategies.

Positioning

Dynex Capital positions itself as a specialist in agency RMBS, seeking to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns through active portfolio management and hedging strategies. Its smaller size compared to industry giants like Annaly Capital Management allows for potentially greater agility in adapting to market changes.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM is the entire market of mortgage backed securities. The total addressable market for RMBS is in the trillions of dollars. Dynex Capital, being a smaller player, targets a specific segment of this large market and is a minuscule portion of the TAM.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Focused investment strategy in agency RMBS
  • Experienced management team
  • Active portfolio management
  • Hedging Strategies to mitigate interest rate risk

Weaknesses

  • Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations
  • Reliance on leverage
  • Smaller market capitalization compared to larger peers
  • High dividend payout ratios may limit capital reinvestment

Opportunities

  • Potential to capitalize on market volatility
  • Expansion into other mortgage-related assets
  • Improved hedging strategies
  • Growth in demand for mortgage-backed securities

Threats

  • Rising interest rates
  • Increased competition from other REITs
  • Changes in government regulations
  • Economic downturn impacting mortgage performance

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • AGNC
  • NLY
  • ARR
  • IVR

Competitive Landscape

Dynex Capital's smaller size allows for agility, but it also faces resource constraints compared to larger competitors like AGNC and Annaly. Competitive advantages lie in specialized expertise and active portfolio management.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth has been impacted by interest rate cycles and market conditions. Growth is closely tied to net interest income and book value per share.

Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on analyst estimates. Factors like interest rate forecasts and mortgage market conditions influence these projections.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include portfolio repositioning, hedging strategy adjustments, and capital allocation decisions.

Summary

Dynex Capital is a mortgage REIT focused on agency RMBS, making it susceptible to interest rate risks. It offers high dividend yields, but financial health and dividend sustainability must be monitored. Its small size provides agility in a fluctuating market, but it needs to hedge well in times of higher interest rates or it will likely struggle. The company must carefully manage leverage and adapt to regulatory changes to maintain long-term success.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Investor Relations Materials
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Publications

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on available information and is not financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Dynex Capital Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Glen Allen, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 1989-06-30
Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board Mr. Byron L. Boston
Sector Real Estate
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Full time employees 22
Full time employees 22

Dynex Capital, Inc., a mortgage real estate investment trust, invests in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the United States. It invests in agency MBS consisting of residential MBS and commercial MBS (CMBS); and agency and non-agency CMBS interest-only securities. Agency MBS have a guaranty of principal payment by an agency of the U.S. government or a U.S. government-sponsored entity, such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Non-Agency MBS do not have a guaranty of principal or interest payments. The company has qualified as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its shareholders. Dynex Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Glen Allen, Virginia.