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Fair Isaac Corporation(FICO)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$723.76
11/09/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for FICO

11/09/2026: FICO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Fair Isaac Corporation is a specialized financial technology company known for its FICO credit score, which serves as a standard for credit assessment in the U.S. The company has a leading position in the industry, benefiting from high switching costs and robust, recurring revenue streams. Its main growth opportunity lies in scaling its enterprise software platform across global industries. Key risks include regulatory scrutiny, potential competition from alternative data models, and economic sensitivity to credit volume. The stock may suit growth-oriented investors looking for a highly profitable, entrenched business model, though it lacks dividend income and carries valuation risk at premium trading levels.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitFICO provides consistent top-line growth driven by the essential nature of its credit scoring models and expanding enterprise software footprint.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock often exhibits strong upward trends aligned with software sector performance and sustained earnings growth.
Value investorMixed fitFICO often trades at a premium valuation multiple due to its market dominance and high margins, which may not satisfy strict value criteria.
Dividend investorWeak fitFICO does not pay a cash dividend, making it unsuitable for investors seeking regular income.
Low-risk investorMixed fitWhile the business model is highly stable and monopolistic in core areas, the stock's valuation and volatility can be higher than traditional low-risk assets.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumThe stock can experience rapid price adjustments based on shifts in investor sentiment toward software valuations or interest rate environments.
Valuation riskMedium / highA high price-to-earnings ratio makes the stock sensitive to any potential slowing in growth rates.
Competition risk (Fintech / AI competition)MediumNew entrants using alternative data models could eventually challenge the traditional FICO Score's dominance.
Business qualityStrongFICO benefits from high switching costs and a deeply entrenched market position in the U.S. credit ecosystem.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors receive zero income from dividends, relying entirely on capital appreciation.
Execution riskMediumThe company's ability to successfully transition all clients to its cloud-based FICO Platform is critical to long-term software growth.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Highly Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Highly Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -5.44%
Avg. Invested days 46
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/09/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
FICO receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
FICO has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, solid earnings growth (+28.1%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 42.2%) are partially offset by modest insider ownership of 3.02%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
FICO's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $1.1B (42.2% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is FICO's strongest growth driver at +39.0% FY2026 versus FY2025 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+27.3%, solid) and earnings growth (+28.1%, solid) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 102.4% and approximately 95.8% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 3.02% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 9.66%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.84%
Capital Research Global Investors 6.00%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.81%
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3 5.78%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
FICO generates approximately $861 of gross profit, $499 of operating income, and $422 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 24.10%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
FICO has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Quality TiltHigh VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 15.22B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 19.4
1Y Target Price 821.79
Price to earnings Ratio 19.4
1Y Target Price 821.79
Volume (30-day avg) 1.2M shares
Beta 1.34
52 Weeks Range 586.05 - 1858.91
Updated Date 11/09/2026
52 Weeks Range 586.05 - 1858.91
Updated Date 11/09/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 36.32

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
ScoresB2B and B2C credit scoring products based on proprietary data.This is the 'cash cow' segment providing steady, high-margin revenue from the U.S. credit industry.
SoftwareEnterprise decisioning and predictive analytics platform solutions.This segment drives future growth through recurring subscriptions and broader industry application.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-04
When After Market
Estimate 9.2
Actual 9.61

Profitability

Profit Margin 32.94%
Operating Margin (TTM) 44.72%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 40.99%
Return on Equity (TTM) 35.62%

Valuation

Trailing PE 19.4
Forward PE 13.77
Enterprise Value 20.28B
Price to Sales(TTM) 6
Enterprise Value 20.28B
Price to Sales(TTM) 6
Enterprise Value to Revenue 8
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.48
Shares Outstanding 21.60M
Shares Floating 20.69M
Shares Outstanding 21.60M
Shares Floating 20.69M
Percent Insiders 3.02
Percent Institutions 102.42

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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