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Forestar Group Inc (FOR)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: FOR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $25.67
1 Year Target Price $25.67
3 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
1 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 35.88% | Avg. Invested days 47 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.02B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.12 | 1Y Target Price 25.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.12 | 1Y Target Price 25.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.41 | 52 Weeks Range 18.00 - 37.21 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 18.00 - 37.21 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.29 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 11.44% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.62% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.47% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.79% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.12 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1731099570 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.7 |
Enterprise Value 1731099570 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.7 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.18 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.44 | Shares Outstanding 50823800 | Shares Floating 19095518 |
Shares Outstanding 50823800 | Shares Floating 19095518 | ||
Percent Insiders 62.39 | Percent Institutions 36.56 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 2 | Target Price 25.67 | Buy - | Strong Buy 3 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 3 | ||
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Forestar Group Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Forestar Group Inc. was founded in 2007 following its spin-off from Temple-Inland. It operates as a real estate, natural resources, and infrastructure company. The company focuses on acquiring and developing real estate for residential communities and selling timber.
Core Business Areas
- Real Estate: Acquiring, developing, and selling real estate, primarily residential communities. Includes land entitlement, infrastructure development, and lot sales to homebuilders.
- Natural Resources: Managing and harvesting timber on owned and managed lands.
Leadership and Structure
Donald J. Tomnitz serves as the Chairman of the Board and Daniel C. Bartok is the CEO. The company has a standard corporate structure with various departments focusing on land acquisition, development, sales, finance, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Residential Lots: Forestar's primary offering is finished residential lots sold to homebuilders. Market share data is difficult to pinpoint precisely due to the fragmented nature of the residential land development market. Revenue figures are reported in their annual statements. Competitors include other land developers and large homebuilders with land development arms.
- Timber: Forestar also generates revenue from the sale of timber. Specific market share data is not readily available. Competitors include other timber companies and private landowners who harvest and sell timber.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The industry is influenced by housing demand, interest rates, economic growth, and regulatory environment, and timber prices. The housing market is currently experiencing fluctuations due to interest rate changes and economic uncertainty.
Positioning
Forestar positions itself as a leading residential lot developer. Its competitive advantage lies in its scale, land holdings, and relationships with major homebuilders.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for residential lot development is estimated to be in the billions of dollars annually. Forestar is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong relationships with major homebuilders
- Substantial land holdings in high-growth markets
- Experienced management team
- Diversified revenue streams (real estate and timber)
Weaknesses
- Sensitivity to housing market cycles
- High capital requirements for land development
- Dependence on homebuilder demand
- Geographic concentration in certain markets
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Acquisition of additional land holdings
- Development of higher-margin residential projects
- Increased demand for housing driven by demographic trends
Threats
- Economic downturns and housing market slowdowns
- Rising interest rates
- Increased competition from other land developers
- Regulatory changes affecting land development
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- DHI (DHI)
- LEN (LEN)
- NVR (NVR)
Competitive Landscape
Forestar competes with other land developers and homebuilders with land development arms. Its competitive advantage lies in its scale, land holdings, and relationships with major homebuilders. However, it faces competition from larger and more diversified companies.
Major Acquisitions
Theming Materials, LLC
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 18.2
- Strategic Rationale: The purchase of Theming Materials, LLC allows Forestar to provide better, higher quality amenities to their various residental communities.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Forestar's growth has been driven by expansion into new markets and increased demand for residential lots. The company has also benefited from rising timber prices.
Future Projections: Analyst projections estimate continued growth for Forestar, driven by strong housing demand and strategic acquisitions. Future revenue and earnings growth depend on the overall economy and housing market.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include acquisitions of land holdings, expansion into new markets, and investments in infrastructure development.
Summary
Forestar Group is a real estate and natural resources company focused on residential lot development and timber sales. It benefits from strong relationships with homebuilders and substantial land holdings. However, it's sensitive to housing market cycles. Recent acquisitions have aided growth, and opportunities for expansion exist, but economic downturns pose a threat.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share estimates are approximate and may vary depending on the source. Financial data is not real-time and may be outdated.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Forestar Group Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Arlington, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-12-12 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Anthony W. Oxley | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry Real Estate - Development | Full time employees 440 | Website https://www.forestar.com |
Full time employees 440 | Website https://www.forestar.com |
Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. The company acquires land and develops infrastructure for single-family residential communities. It sells its residential single-family finished lots to local, regional, and national homebuilders. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas. Forestar Group Inc. operates as a subsidiary of D.R. Horton, Inc.
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