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Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
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Forestar Group Inc (FOR)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$20
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
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Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/30/2025: FOR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

4 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $25.67

1 Year Target Price $25.67

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$25.67Target price
Low$18
Current$20
high$37.21

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 35.88%
Avg. Invested days 47
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/30/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.02B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 6.12
1Y Target Price 25.67
Price to earnings Ratio 6.12
1Y Target Price 25.67
Volume (30-day avg) 4
Beta 1.41
52 Weeks Range 18.00 - 37.21
Updated Date 06/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 18.00 - 37.21
Updated Date 06/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.29

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 11.44%
Operating Margin (TTM) 11.62%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.47%
Return on Equity (TTM) 10.79%

Valuation

Trailing PE 6.12
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 1731099570
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.7
Enterprise Value 1731099570
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.7
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.18
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.44
Shares Outstanding 50823800
Shares Floating 19095518
Shares Outstanding 50823800
Shares Floating 19095518
Percent Insiders 62.39
Percent Institutions 36.56

Analyst Ratings

Rating 2
Target Price 25.67
Buy -
Strong Buy 3
Buy -
Strong Buy 3
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Forestar Group Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Forestar Group Inc. was founded in 2007 following its spin-off from Temple-Inland. It operates as a real estate, natural resources, and infrastructure company. The company focuses on acquiring and developing real estate for residential communities and selling timber.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Real Estate: Acquiring, developing, and selling real estate, primarily residential communities. Includes land entitlement, infrastructure development, and lot sales to homebuilders.
  • Natural Resources: Managing and harvesting timber on owned and managed lands.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Donald J. Tomnitz serves as the Chairman of the Board and Daniel C. Bartok is the CEO. The company has a standard corporate structure with various departments focusing on land acquisition, development, sales, finance, and operations.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Residential Lots: Forestar's primary offering is finished residential lots sold to homebuilders. Market share data is difficult to pinpoint precisely due to the fragmented nature of the residential land development market. Revenue figures are reported in their annual statements. Competitors include other land developers and large homebuilders with land development arms.
  • Timber: Forestar also generates revenue from the sale of timber. Specific market share data is not readily available. Competitors include other timber companies and private landowners who harvest and sell timber.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The industry is influenced by housing demand, interest rates, economic growth, and regulatory environment, and timber prices. The housing market is currently experiencing fluctuations due to interest rate changes and economic uncertainty.

Positioning

Forestar positions itself as a leading residential lot developer. Its competitive advantage lies in its scale, land holdings, and relationships with major homebuilders.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for residential lot development is estimated to be in the billions of dollars annually. Forestar is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong relationships with major homebuilders
  • Substantial land holdings in high-growth markets
  • Experienced management team
  • Diversified revenue streams (real estate and timber)

Weaknesses

  • Sensitivity to housing market cycles
  • High capital requirements for land development
  • Dependence on homebuilder demand
  • Geographic concentration in certain markets

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Acquisition of additional land holdings
  • Development of higher-margin residential projects
  • Increased demand for housing driven by demographic trends

Threats

  • Economic downturns and housing market slowdowns
  • Rising interest rates
  • Increased competition from other land developers
  • Regulatory changes affecting land development

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • DHI (DHI)
  • LEN (LEN)
  • NVR (NVR)

Competitive Landscape

Forestar competes with other land developers and homebuilders with land development arms. Its competitive advantage lies in its scale, land holdings, and relationships with major homebuilders. However, it faces competition from larger and more diversified companies.

Major Acquisitions

Theming Materials, LLC

  • Year: 2021
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 18.2
  • Strategic Rationale: The purchase of Theming Materials, LLC allows Forestar to provide better, higher quality amenities to their various residental communities.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Forestar's growth has been driven by expansion into new markets and increased demand for residential lots. The company has also benefited from rising timber prices.

Future Projections: Analyst projections estimate continued growth for Forestar, driven by strong housing demand and strategic acquisitions. Future revenue and earnings growth depend on the overall economy and housing market.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include acquisitions of land holdings, expansion into new markets, and investments in infrastructure development.

Summary

Forestar Group is a real estate and natural resources company focused on residential lot development and timber sales. It benefits from strong relationships with homebuilders and substantial land holdings. However, it's sensitive to housing market cycles. Recent acquisitions have aided growth, and opportunities for expansion exist, but economic downturns pose a threat.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings
  • Industry Reports
  • Analyst Estimates

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share estimates are approximate and may vary depending on the source. Financial data is not real-time and may be outdated.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Forestar Group Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Arlington, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2007-12-12
President, CEO & Director Mr. Anthony W. Oxley
Sector Real Estate
Industry Real Estate - Development
Full time employees 440
Full time employees 440

Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. The company acquires land and develops infrastructure for single-family residential communities. It sells its residential single-family finished lots to local, regional, and national homebuilders. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas. Forestar Group Inc. operates as a subsidiary of D.R. Horton, Inc.